The war in the Middle East has spread to neighboring countries, causing panic around the world and causing concern. From the border dispute between Russia and Ukraine, to the civil wars in Syria, Lebanon, and Iraq, and the dispute between Iran and Pakistan, each war involves the interests and interference of various countries, and the situation is very complex, and it is difficult to predict the future direction and outcome.
Russia and Ukraine have a long history of fighting, and the two countries have been arguing over the ownership of Crimea and Donbas territories. The United States and the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) are sending money to Ukraine to stop the expansion of Russia's influence. At the same time, Russia is looking for allies that can strengthen its geographic influence, such as Syria and Iran. Syria has also been mired in more than a decade of civil strife, with all forces fighting for power, including terrorist groups such as **, rebels, Kurdish militias, and the Islamic State. The United States, Turkey, Saudi Arabia, Iran and other major powers have launched large-scale wars against Syria, triggering a series of humanitarian disasters and a massive influx of refugees. Friction has also erupted frequently in the border areas between Iran and Pakistan, in large part because of the confrontation between Iranian-backed Shiite militants and Pakistan-backed Sunni militants. India has also secretly financed certain terrorist groups in an attempt to destabilize the situation between Pakistan and Iran in order to maintain its dominance in South Asia.
The war in the Middle East has had a serious impact on international economy and trade, especially Europe and East Asia, the two largest cooperative countries. The Middle East is the world's largest energy supplier, accounting for more than half of the world's oil and gas exports. The trade routes between Europe and East Asia, mainly the Suez Canal, the Strait of Hormuz, and the Strait of Malacca, are in danger of being cut off or even attacked because of the war in the Middle East. This will bring huge energy and transportation costs, and will have a heavy impact on Europe and East Asia. Europe may face a shortage of energy and a rise in energy, while East Asia will face a dilemma of overcapacity and sluggish growth. India will also be hit by its energy imports, which rely heavily on Russia and Saudi Arabia, and it will be difficult for these regions to reach India.
The United States is in an awkward position in the Middle East war, and must make a difficult choice between intervention and withdrawal. If the United States decides to get involved in this war, it will have to strike Iran by force, and Iran is a powerful and well-equipped power with its own nuclear program, missiles, unmanned drones, underground bases, etc., which the United States cannot ignore. If the United States wants to defeat Iran, it will not only spend a lot of manpower, material and financial resources, but will also intensify anti-American sentiment and trigger more terror and violence.
If the United States withdraws, it will lose its rights and influence in the Middle East, and at the same time, it will also lose its alliance and trust in Europe, and its hegemony in the world will be severely tested, and its domestic economic and political situation will also suffer, and the United States may have to rely on arms, gas, food, etc. to live a basic standard of living, so that the United States will become as powerful as Brazil, which may be intolerable to the United States.
The war in the Middle East continues, Jordan, Turkey, Afghanistan, India, etc., all have their own ghosts, each with its own goals and opponents, coupled with their involvement, the whole war will become extremely complicated, which side wins, it is difficult to say, perhaps only the old man knows.