The United States in 2024 is fiercely competitive, and the confrontation between the two parties is becoming increasingly obvious, with the Republican Party repeatedly blocking Biden's $60 billion aid bill for Ukraine submitted by Biden and proposing to require Biden to undergo cognitive ability tests.
However, since Biden is over eighty years old, he frequently slips of the tongue, gets lost, and is in a daze, which indicates that he may have cognitive problems, and the cognitive ability test may be a "lore" problem for him, and he will probably not accept it. However, this situation has further reduced Biden's trust, which has affected his approval rating to some extent.
In addition to internal problems, Biden** lit a series of fuses in Eastern Europe, the Middle East and the Asia-Pacific region, causing the situation to gradually spiral out of control. Biden is already "in trouble." Among them, the Russia-Ukraine conflict is the most serious.
The first powder keg, the Russian-Ukrainian conflict.
The root cause of the Russia-Ukraine conflict is that NATO and other Western countries are trying to carry out the sixth eastward expansion in an attempt to weaken Russia's strength and then encircle and suppress China. Ukraine has become a key pawn in the conflict provoked by the West, and they induced Zelensky to suppress the Russian-speaking population in Ukraine by promising that "if you defeat Russia, you can join NATO", and take the lead in the conflict in the Donbas region, Russia could not tolerate this situation, so it launched a military operation against Ukraine.
After the outbreak of the conflict, Russia was blockaded like never before in the Western world, leading to a stalemate in the war. However, as time went on, Western military assistance gradually weakened, and Russia, with its abundant energy resources, survived the most difficult times and gradually gained an advantage on the battlefield.
Recently, Avadiivka, Ukraine's "last barrier", has been breached. After this city, the Donbass region stretches vast plains. Without this important line of defense, the Ukrainian army will find it difficult to withstand the wave of Russian offensives.
If Ukraine continues to reject peace talks, Russia may expand its offensive beyond the Donbas region. Along the 2,000-kilometer front between Russia and Ukraine, about 700,000 Russian troops will pass through this gap to launch an offensive on Kharkiv, Mykolaiv, Odessa, Sumy and the entire left bank of the Dnieper.
Although the EU has approved a 50 billion euro military aid package, this aid will come in the next four years, of which 33 billion euros will be provided in the form of loan sharks, which will not be enough to change the situation in a short period of time.
Biden has been pushing a $60 billion aid bill for Ukraine since last November, but the Republican-controlled House of Representatives has been blocking it as it approaches. As a result, Ukraine will not be able to receive any assistance from the United States in the short term. If the situation drags on until the summer, the risk of Ukraine's defeat will increase significantly, and Biden** may also be blamed for his diplomatic failures, and his road to re-election will become even more difficult.
The second powder keg, a new round of Palestinian-Israeli conflict broke out.
In fact, the conflict originated from Israel's forcible control of the Gaza Strip, and Hamas's pre-emptive actions, while unreasonable, turned the Gaza Strip into an open prison and the living conditions of Palestinians deteriorated significantly. The inhabitants of Gaza have lost hope for a long time under Israeli oppression and exploitation. Without revealing this status quo to the world, many people may not realize that such a humanitarian catastrophe exists around the world.
Initially, the United States did not want to get involved in this conflict, but Iran took the opportunity to provoke a first-class war, and Israel also understood that the United States could not stand idly by, so it took an unprecedented hardline attitude, and finally involved the United States into the conflict.
However, as the conflict spread, the Houthis blocked the Red Sea, triggering a Red Sea crisis. The U.S.-British airstrikes on Yemen failed to weaken the Houthis and were countered.
Faced with the current situation, the United States has begun to withdraw its troops from Syria and Iraq, but the Iranian-led resistance front continues to thwart the United States' withdrawal plans. The plight of the United States in the Middle East has sparked discontent among politicians and the public, who see it as a sign of Biden's incompetence.
The third powder keg, Asia-Pacific.
After the withdrawal of U.S. troops from Afghanistan, the focus was on the Asia-Pacific region, with the main goal of containing China's rise. In order to achieve this strategic goal, the United States has taken various measures to destabilize the regional situation.
On the Korean Peninsula, South Korea's Yoon Suk-yeol has maintained close cooperation with the United States, holding successive military exercises. The United States has also used strategic nuclear bombers, nuclear submarines and nuclear-powered aircraft carriers to exert pressure on North Korea. However, North Korea has also shown a tough stance, frequently conducting intercontinental missile tests and conducting nuclear ** simulated strikes, and the situation on the peninsula could be on the brink of war at any time.
In the South China Sea, Marcos Jr. of the Philippines has opened four military bases to the United States, used illegal means to occupy Ren'ai Jiao, and plans to militarize nine Chinese territories, including Ren'ai Jiao, Scarborough Shoal and Mischief Island, in an attempt to launch a full-scale confrontation with China in the South China Sea.
In the East China Sea and the Taiwan Strait, as an outpost of the United States in the Asia-Pacific region, Japan has repeatedly provoked the Diaoyu Islands, made radical remarks against Taiwan, and plans to purchase 400 "Tomahawk" cruise missiles to be deployed in the Miyako Strait around the Okinawa Islands to block the sea communication arteries from the east and pose a threat to China's eastern coast and the area east of the Beijing-Guangzhou line.
The United States has pursued a global strategy for a long time and has adopted a strategy of "three-front warfare." However, the United States is at a clear disadvantage in Eastern Europe and the Middle East, and it is unable to accurately assess China's military strength in the Asia-Pacific region, so it has been slow to take a wait-and-see approach to the South China Sea. Despite the unpleasant provocative actions of the Philippines and Japan, their influence does not determine the overall situation.
In addition, North Korea has a nuclear weapon that can strike the US mainland, and the close relationship between Russia and North Korea also discourages Biden**.
In this case, Biden**'s "three-front operation" strategy has been frustrated, and instead he is trying to put pressure on China to show a "fair position" in the Russia-Ukraine conflict, play an active role in the Middle East, and stop asymmetric pressure on the South China Sea issue. However, it is doubtful whether such behavior is justified, and the United States still seems to see itself as a global hegemon and trying to dictate to China, and in fact should reflect on itself.
All these conflicts, contradictions, and disadvantaged situations are caused by Biden. As the proverb goes, "the bell must be tied to the bell", if Biden really wants to resolve regional disputes and increase his political achievements, then he should take the initiative to abandon the idea of provocation, which is the right way to solve the problem. Otherwise, Biden can only wait to be completely defeated by Trump and then forced to leave the White House!