The 11-year-old restriction on the purchase of singles from other places has finally been relaxed, and it seems that only the outer ring area has been opened, but the whole area of Shanghai is calculated, accounting for more than 67% of Shanghai's area. We've also countedIn 2023, about 75% of new homes** will be built outside the outer ring.
Shanghai's outer ring is loose, it turns out that it involves such a large area, I didn't expect it, right?
8 into ** loosened
The area of Shanghai is about 6,340 square kilometers, the outer ring inner city area is about 660 square kilometers, and Chongming, which is not within the scope of the policy, has 14.11 million square kilometers (what a big Chongming!). and, therefore,The area outside the outer ring road involved in this relaxation accounts for nearly 4,269 square kilometers of Shanghai's area, more than 67% of the area.
Among them, the Puxi part, the traditional city center 7 districts out of 3 districts-Xuhui, Changning, and Putuo all have one foot outside the outer ring. Xuhui is Huajing, Putuo is Taopu, and Changning is Xinjing
Schematic diagram of the single purchase restriction area this time.
The two main urban areas of Baoshan and Minhang, most of which are outside the outer ring road.
The traditional suburbs of Shanghai Jiading, Qingpu, Songjiang, Jinshan, and Fengxian are all outside the outer ring, and all of them are included in the scope of the relaxation of single purchase restrictions.
According to statistics, in 2023, the number of new houses** will account for 75% of the total number of new houses. Three out of every four suites meet the scope of being able to purchase a single person with five social security in other places.
Let's take a look at the first batch of new houses in 2024**, a total of 22 plates, except for Wufang Garden in the inner ring of Huangpu, the "double seals" in the two inner rings of Putuo, Suhewang in the inner ring, Manyun Shanghai in the inner central ring of Yangpu, Chenyang Mingdi in Pudong New Yangsi, and Gubeiyue Mansion in Minhang, the remaining 15 plates are all outside the outer ring, accounting for 68%. If you look at the number of sets, there are a total of 3,573 sets outside the outer ring, accounting for about 82% of the total number of 4,335 sets.
There is a lot of data, but no matter how you look at it horizontally and vertically, you can get a basic valueShanghai's optimization and adjustment is not just a simple "outside the outer ring" three words, at least 8 percent of the new houses have been loosened
85% of the inventory
Why are these areas loosened? In fact, a picture can be understood, online real estate shows that there are currently 62,681 new houses for sale in Shanghai. How to understand? Shanghai sold 80,000 new houses last year, and there are still more than 60,000 units in stock, and if there are no new ones, these stocks will take about 10 months to digest. From the perspective of major cities across the country, this de-escalation cycle is not long, but for Shanghai, the leader who still has a continuous supply of land and wants to lead the national market, this number also needs to be continuously de-regulated.
The inventory tramples on each other in the more obvious area**? Looking at the table above, it can be seen that the number of units available for sale outside the outer ring has reached 53,661 units, accounting for 85% of the total inventory. Why did the purchase restriction be relaxed and the outer ring was drawn? In fact, the data gives the basic answer.
Is it worth buying after untying?
As soon as the purchase limit is relaxed, for single buyers, the first question is very straightforward - is it worth buying?
To this end, I put together another set of data overnight, and there are a few highlights to share with you.
In 2023, among the administrative districts with a certain number of ** and transactions outside the ring line, Songjiang will perform the most eye-catching. You read that right,Songjiang, which basically never triggers points in the new housing market, is the most "in short supply" outside the outer ring in 2023
There were 4,064 new houses in Songjiang throughout the year, but 5,093 were sold. To put it simply, it means that the number of houses sold in a year is almost a thousand more than the number of houses. Some time ago, some netizens asked me, why did Qingpu, which has repeatedly triggered points, and Fengxian first loosened restrictions on the purchase of talents, while Songjiang, which has a mediocre popularity of new houses, is not among them? Now you can see the reason,Songjiang is like a student in the class, who is not outstanding in a single subject, but as soon as the total score of the final period is added, he stands out
Let's take a look at Baoshan, which is also performing well, with 7,119 new houses in 2023, and 6,569 units sold throughout the year, and the removal rate will also reach 92%.
Dapudong, which many people care about, is also very interesting, with 22,653 units and 18,865 units sold, with a removal rate of 83%. However, in terms of breakdown data, the decontamination rate between the outer suburbs of Pudong is only 69%, while the removal rate outside the suburbs is more than 86%. A large part of this is due to the slight deceleration of the first end, and the continuous increase in various housing purchase policies to talents.
The return of the house to the value itself, in the final analysis, is up to the market. It is gratifying that the shackles in the market in the past to restrict speculation are being untied one by one in the era of housing and living. This is an era of policy management, is it enough for singles outside the outer ring to be released? Everyone has the final say, the market has the final say, and the policy is directed in only two words: results!