There are many wars in MyanmarRefugeesThey flocked to India for safe haven, but the reality they faced was far from friendly. According to reports, India** plans to build walls in places such as Mizoram and Manipur, which border Myanmar, to prevent Burmese people from entering India. The move sparked controversy and criticism. India's Home Minister Amit Shah acknowledged that the India-Myanmar border would be protected in the same way as India's border with Bangladesh and considered abolishing the free movement regime for border residents between the two countries. This move means India to MyanmarRefugeesThe attitude is even harsher.
However,RefugeesFlocking to India is not an easy task. The tragic experience of the people of Myanmar who have fled their homes and been ravaged by the devastation of war is truly poignant. They had to go through an arduous journey of escape, facing all kinds of risks and difficulties. Not enough food and drinking water**, no safe shelter, manyRefugeesand even had to survive by illegal means. In this case, in order to maintain law and order at the border, India** has to invest a lot of police force. However, social governance and economic burdens are making it increasingly difficult for India to withstand such pressures. India's population, which spends less than $2 a day per capita, is too large to afford to receive MyanmarRefugeesHuge expenses. Therefore, India** can only take drastic measures to restrictRefugeesEnter.
India** did not take these steps out of impulse, but based on multiple realities. First of all, MyanmarRefugeesThe influx into India has brought serious concerns about social governance. According to statistics, since the turmoil in Myanmar began in February 2021, the Indian state of Mizoram alone has taken in about 30,000 MyanmarsRefugees。However, as the situation continues to deteriorate,RefugeesThere will be a significant increase in numbers, which poses a threat to the stability of Indian society. ManyRefugeesLack of skills and inability to provide for their own livelihood has led to their inability to integrate into the local society and even caused some security incidents. In order to maintain law and order on the border, India** has to increase its efforts and invest more police force.
Secondly, India's economic situation is not optimistic and cannot afford to be affected by the receivingRefugeesand the huge expenses that come with it. It is understood that India has a population of about 1 billion people and spends less than $2 per capita per day. In such a situation, it is difficult for India to defend MyanmarRefugeesProvide adequate supplies and assistance. If the state's approach is adopted, I am afraid that it will cause dissatisfaction and social unrest among the people at the bottom. As a result, India can only shift the blame to Indian families close to the Myanmar border and ask them to take on the responsibility of guarding the border. In this case, India would have to distance itself from Myanmar, although that may not have been Modi's original intention.
Some observers believe that India's introduction of these measures may not only be aimed at maintaining border security and reducing economic pressure, but also may be an opportunity to intervene in the chaos in Myanmar. Myanmar is the main position of competition in China-India relations, and China hopes to strengthen cooperation with Myanmar to realize the plan of direct transshipment of Middle East oil from Myanmar ports; India, on the other hand, believes that establishing friendly relations with Myanmar can limit China's development and curb its influence in Indochina. Due to the different political positions of the two countries, China and India are inBurmese Civil WarDifferent strategies have been adopted on the issue. China advocates neutrality, while India provides assistance to the Myanmar military and actively intervenes in the war. However, despite India's support even from Russia, the Myanmar Army** has not performed well and has lost large swaths of territory. MinAung HyeThe performance in this situation also fell short of Modi**'s expectations, which led India** to decide to distance itself from Myanmar.
In addition, India's important project in Myanmar - MinAung HyeThe launch of the port has been confirmed, which is a significant strategic opportunity for India. India not only participated in the ribbon-cutting ceremony, but also claimed that the project would strengthen Myanmar-India interconnection and provide an opportunity to counter China. Given the situation of the Burmese military**, it is likely that they will again seek India's cooperation, which explains why India has abruptly halted the mutually beneficial "free movement system" between Myanmar and India. MinAung HyeThe power of the weakened he has becomeInternationalamong the objects of contention, which makes MyanmarRefugeesIt is even less optimistic.