With the development of China's reform and opening up in the New Year, the concept of "one country, two systems" has also been tested by history, which has given us more hope for the peaceful reunification of Taiwan.
However, because of the provocation of the United States and the troublemaking of "the most powerful forces," the peaceful reunification of the two sides of the strait has never been completed.
Up to now, as the international situation continues to deteriorate, the possibility of "peaceful reunification" has gradually decreased, but the probability of "armed reunification" has gradually increased.
So for the current PLA, is it ready for the battle of reunification?
In fact, a slogan of the People's Liberation Army can answer this question, that is, "always be ready".
Since the founding of New China, the mainland has been making preparations for "armed reunification."
Before the War to Resist US Aggression and Aid Korea, the Military Commission planned to send 600,000 troops to launch an operation in 1951 and 1952. It's just that the outbreak of the Korean War disrupted China's deployment, making China have to resist US aggression and aid Korea.
Later, after reform and opening up, economic construction became the primary task of the mainland.
At this time, although the mainland proposed peaceful reunification under one country, two systems, it only said that there was an option for peaceful reunification, not that it had completely abandoned military reunification.
Later, around the 21st century, the military gap between China and the United States became particularly huge because of the generation gap, but the mainland still did not give up protecting its sovereignty by force.
For example, in 2016, the United States launched the "South China Sea Arbitration Case" in an attempt to deter China by force and make China relinquish its sovereignty over vast areas and islands in the South China Sea.
At that time, China was ready for warIf the United States dares to take action, China will fight back, even if it goes to war with the United States.
It can be seen that even in the era when there is a large gap between the military strength of China and the United States, China still has not given up its military preparations.
In modern times, the PLA is more prepared for the issue of Taiwan.
At present, in the Eastern Theater facing Taiwan, China, the mainland has prepared the First Group Army, with a total strength of about 200,000 troops. Once the Taiwan issue breaks out, the 200,000 PLA ground forces will be able to cross the Taiwan Strait at any time and carry out landing operations.
In addition, the PLA is now becoming more and more prepared, the firepower of the ground forces is getting stronger and better, and the amphibious combat equipment is also increasing.
In December 2023, the PLA's 4th 075 amphibious assault ship was launched, which further enhanced the PLA's amphibious landing capabilities.
The launch time of the third 075 of the PLA is 2021, which shows that in peacetime, China also has the ability to launch one 075 in two years.
If China increases its investment in related fields, the PLA is fully capable of launching one 075 amphibious assault ship in half a year.
That is, it is possible that the PLA will have more than 2027 amphibious assault ships by 10 075.
Even if 2 ships are launched in 1 075 now, the PLA will have 6 075s by 2027.
ThereforeWith the passage of time, the PLA's superiority in "armed reunification" will become greater and greater, and the gap between the PLA and the United States will become smaller and smaller.
As a matter of fact, as far as the current issue of China's Taiwan is concerned, if the PLA really wants "armed reunification," the main problem it will face will beAsian layout as well as ** problems.
Many people believe that the United States will be the biggest challenge to the PLA's actions, but judging from the current actions of the United States, it is very likely that the United States will directly sell the Taiwan authorities.
After all, China's Taiwan and the Taiwan authorities are only pawns used by the United States to suppress China's development, and when the cost of protecting this chess piece by the United States is far greater than the benefits that this chess piece can bring, the United States will not hesitate to give up this chess piece.
Just as the United States invaded Afghanistan in order to control the Middle East, only to withdraw its troops because of the huge investment in the war in Afghanistan.
At present, the US military strength in the western Pacific is not comparable to that of the PLA, and if China and the United States start a war in the western Pacific, the United States will have no chance of victory.
In this context, the United States and China will do it, and it will definitely be an act of death. Therefore, when the People's Liberation Army (PLA) comes out to resolve China's Taiwan issue, the United States is likely to run away.
In the Russia-Ukraine conflict, the United States directly gave up on Ukraine first. The follow-up was that Ukraine blocked the Russian army, and the United States saw that Russia's military strength was not enough to push Ukraine, so the United States came to Ukraine's military aid.
If the PLA ends up solving the Taiwan issue of China,Unless the PLA is caught in a war situation and cannot get out, it is very likely that the United States will not make substantive moves.
Therefore, the hidden dangers behind the issue of China's Taiwan are mainly the layout of Asia and the first problem.
The layout in Asia is mainly the stability of the South China Sea.
Now China is laying out Southeast Asia and transferring low-end production capacity to Southeast Asia.
From a macroeconomic point of view, Southeast Asia is now "integrating" with China, which is equivalent to expanding China's influence and raising the ceiling of China's economy.
Now, from China's point of view, China's layout in Southeast Asia cannot be interrupted. Therefore, China's current strategy is to focus on stability, and as long as stability can be ensured, other issues can be discussed without touching the bottom line.
Therefore, China's Taiwan issue can be postponed, and now the mainland side will take the initiative to detonate China's Taiwan issue to undermine the stability of the South China Sea, which is obviously not in China's interests.
On the issue of **, the ** of the People's Liberation Army, the possible damage caused by the war, and the ** of the people of Taiwan, China, in military operations will all affect ** and have an impact on the subsequent perfect reunification of China.
SoThe mainland side very much hopes for peaceful reunification, so as to minimize the risk of the situation deteriorating and avoid problems.
As a result, although the mainland has been making preparations for "military reunification," it will not take the initiative to do so. Taking the initiative will cause the mainland to fall into a "moral trough", and the West will not let go of this opportunity to smear China at that time.
It can be said that the pursuit of the mainland at present is the best peaceful reunification, and the pursuit of the second order is that the United States will fire the first shot, and then the PLA will "fight back in self-defense."
Again, the pursuit of the first class is "the ** force is rampant to the extreme, so that the PLA has a reasonable reason to end."
The worst-case scenario is that the People's Liberation Army (PLA) will take the initiative to reunify China's Taiwan by force.
Project Sword
References: 1] The launching ceremony of the people's ** domestic 075 amphibious assault ship is currently only made by China and the United States
2] Xinhuanet, "What do foreign media say about China's establishment of five war zones? 》