It is said that the economy is sluggish, why do you spend 600 billion on travel?

Mondo Finance Updated on 2024-02-23

After the fires in Zibo and Harbin, many people**, the old tourist resort of Hainan, may fall out of favor. But the true king is never afraid of a challenge. During the super long Spring Festival holiday in 2024, Hainan not only refreshed the tourism revenue data with its strength, but also successfully "retained" many tourists.

The "stay" here is not only an attraction, but also a kind of physical retention that you can't leave when you come. Due to the conformity of the islanders, the mentality of those tourists who did not book a return ticket collapsed. The moment they opened the booking app, they found that the economy class was all sold out, leaving only the expensive business class to soar.

Friends in Urumqi are even worse. If they don't want to miss the good day of work, the family needs to pay nearly 100,000 yuan for air tickets to go home.

Under the skyrocket, there will be brave men. In order to ensure the cost-effectiveness of the trip, passengers have shown their magic and have turned on the "curve home" mode: some people found that it costs more than 10,000 to fly from Sanya to Shanghai, but it only costs more than 3,000 for Sanya to Seoul and stop in Shanghai, so you can book this ticket and go home halfway.

Some netizens claimed that he and 19 tourists spent 30,000 yuan to charter a yacht and escaped from Sanya smoothly.

However, follow-up found that it may be fake news. More pragmatic tourists choose to save the energy of making jokes to recharge their energy, because they are about to go home to work by changing trains, trains, high-speed trains, and planes.

(Report by "Blue Whale Finance").Looking at it in a circle, it is still the self-driving people who have been hit the hardest. The congested port and more than 10 hours of queuing are estimated, so that some car owners decide to abandon their cars for the time being, and wait for the holiday to check in their cars.

We can't tell whether this is an "adventure" or a "torture". And the natives of Hainan calmly say that they have long been accustomed to all this. Grabbing tickets with tourists when returning home, and fighting with tourists when returning to work is a compulsory course for their holidays. According to Hainan netizens:"During the Spring Festival, Hainan is the Jerusalem of all tourists, but it is the locals' own Gaza. ”After watching the epic congestion on Hainan Island, many people are asking these three questions:

"Why not add flights? ”

Why not build a bridge across the Qiongzhou Strait to ease the pressure on ferries? ”

The standard configuration of holiday travel is crowded, "why can't the trapped people be predicted in advance and travel at staggered peaks"?

First, the airports in Sanya, Haikou, and Qionghai are so big that the planes have to be crowded to increase flights. According to the official data disclosed by Hainan Airport, the daily traffic volume of these three airports around February 15 hit a record high. The second question has also been discussed for many years. The Qiongzhou Strait does not look wide, but the geological environment is complex, and the difficulty of building a sea-crossing bridge is much higher than that of the Hong Kong-Zhuhai-Macao Bridge.

(The Qiongzhou Strait, which was crowded with ships during the Spring Festival...) Moreover, considering the GDP of the whole province of Hainan, it is not cost-effective to spend a huge amount of money to build such a channel.

As for asking, why do you travel well? It can only be said that this is the fate of most migrant workers.

Hainan's "blockage" is just a microcosm.

The data shows that during the Spring Festival this year, domestic tourism across the country traveled4.7.4 billionthe number of passengers, an increase of 19 compared with the same period in 20190%;

The total cost of domestic tourists6326.8.7 billionyuan, an increase of 47 percent year-on-year3%, an increase of 77%。

Per capita travel spending has also increased compared to 2019.

The population of Europe is only 7400 million, 47.4 billion people travel, which is equivalent to most of the people in Europe running out to travel, can the road not be blocked? It is said that the economy is sluggish, but you can flip through the recent news, and everywhere is the "historical peak":

2020-2022, can't go out; 2023 has just been healthy, and it is not appropriate to go out; Everyone who is suffocated can only go crazy in 2024. Some netizens went to Qingming Shanghe Park in Kaifeng, and the scene was like this:

I thought it was crowded enough, but I didn't expect it to be in 2024, and it was still a big deal. Zhang Zeduan saw this ** amount, and he had to lengthen the "Qingming Riverside Map" overnight.

Equally conservative is "The Prosperity of Gusu". Stimulated by the half-price discount of the scenic spot and the free bus, many tourists sighed that there were "100 million people" who came to Suzhou to travel.

Although the final official count of the number of tourists received was 14 million, which is still far from the small goal of "100 million", it is also double that of last year. Netizens always say that 2023 is a "big year of layoffs" and "a big year of returning to poverty", but when everyone celebrates the Spring Festival, they don't look ahead and search as they imagined. The data released by Meituan tells us that the average daily consumption scale of this year's Spring Festival holiday increased by 36% compared with last year, and increased by 155% compared with 2019 before the epidemic. Moreover,Consumption power is particularly strong in areas below the fourth tier.

Even if you don't go out to pursue poetry and distant places, everyone is willing to invest the small money they usually save into eating, drinking and having fun. Watching movies, eating and shopping, setting off fireworks, ......Everything is worth all your might. The meme tells us that the amount of gunpowder consumed by the Chinese people's fireworks during the Spring Festival is enough to deeply shock the United States and NATO

However, we who love peace do not want to talk about international politics during the holidays, and we are most concerned about our own small lives. A netizen in Liuyang said that the fireworks industry has developed, and the local people are becoming more and more hopeful. The firecracker factory can give an annual salary of 12-150,000 yuan, and can also give a year-end bonus. In the past, there were many idle "street walkers" in the village, but now they all rely on working in the fireworks factory to live and work in peace and contentment. Like Liuyang, Cao County, Shandong Province was hit by the splashing wealth and wealth. The horse-faced skirts made there sold more than 7 billion yuan last year, and more than 300 million New Year's dresses worth more than 300 million yuan were sold during the Spring Festival this year.

The sound of firecrackers is the people's tribute to the fireworks in the world. Wearing Hanfu to receive the God of Wealth is a sense of ritual for young people to pursue "a good start to the dragon line".

Seeing that more than 400 million Chinese played Jinhua's GDP for more than a year in eight days, foreign media, who have not been optimistic about China's economy, have to admit that China's Spring Festival economy this year is indeed far better than expected. Of course, they still secretly came to a twist-

"However, this does not mean that China is completely out of the predicament of deflation. "Real estate is still under pressure, and local government bonds are still under pressure. ”
There are also some voices in China who feel that we should still look at the hot and hot economy of the Spring Festival rationally. First, the boom in tourism reflects the status of China's 400 million people with spending power, which is not of universal significance. (The soul of a netizen who cut his salary).Second, the Spring Festival can really make people consume impulsively. When I returned to my hometown, I ate and drank like money, and when I pulled out the charger, I still had to live a life of "diligent and thrifty social animals + turning off the lights and eating noodles" when I returned to the city to work. This strong consumption trend may not be sustained. In fact, people with spending power are willing to stimulate consumption, which is a good thing for everyone. If one day they are not willing to spend money in China, it will be annoying. If the Spring Festival data is bleak everywhere, are you still in the mood to start work? Do you still hope to get the boss's red envelope? Moreover, there are other service industries in the cultural tourism industry that need to recover urgently after three years of the epidemic. The 632.6 billion yuan is not only real gold for the industry and its practitioners, but also a real incentive. Taking a step back, some of the middle-class whose consumption has been downgraded have saved money from overseas travel and engaged in domestic travel, which can be regarded as contributing to economic data in disguise.

Of course, how to improve your travel experience and your own itinerary planning ability is another huge topic. A friend went to Canada to visit relatives and friends during the Spring Festival, and came back to tell us an anecdote:

He called an Uber one day and chatted with the driver for a while.

The driver said that before the pandemic, he could earn $300 a four-hour workday.

But now from 6 a.m. to noon, you can only earn 150 Canadian dollars.

Later, he also met a driver who was a PhD in urban planning. Because I didn't find a corresponding job after the epidemic, I did this job for the time being.

On the issue of jobs, the world is hot and cold. In any case, we are now out of the "pandemic era". Rotated by static,Things will always get better. After all, the family background is still there, the population size is still there, and everyone's yearning for a better life is still there. Clothing, food, housing, transportation, travel, shopping and entertainment can all provide outlets for the economy. In economic terms, there are"A lot of pent-up demand is waiting to be released".

How to release, we can't do it now, it depends on the performance in the next few months of this year. As for structural problems such as real estate and local government bonds, there are other transformation pains, which must be solved on the basis of development and rely on the vitality and resilience of the economy to resolve. Let's hope that development can solve more problems.

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