4 reasons why the wave of homecoming has disappeared Reality analysis in 2024
The "Year of the Dragon" is approaching, and the news everywhere is about the return of migrant workers. However, on the whole, there will be fewer Chinese New Year holidays this year than ever before. Many scholars are puzzled by this phenomenon, arguing that the number of rural labor returning will drop sharply this year, and a large number of "homecoming waves" will also dissipate.
And we feel that there are many ways for today's migrant workers to celebrate the New Year, no longer like migrating birds as before, but like migrating birds during the Chinese New Year, they will return to the city to work. There is no doubt that by 2024, the "return wave" of migrant workers will come to an end, and some of the important factors are:
First, it is more expensive to return home.
In 2022, all industries are in recession, migrant workers' wages are getting lower and lower, and their incomes are getting lower and lower. But if they go home for the Chinese New Year, someone in the village will invite them to dinner, give them gifts, and give them red envelopes. If you include the cost of the round trip, you won't be able to save much in a year. As a result, many migrant workers are reluctant to go home because they cannot afford the living expenses in the countryside and the round-trip travel expenses.
Second, there is mental tension.
For many migrant workers, it is already a very happy thing to go home and reunite with their loved ones after a busy year. However, they are not happy about this, and when they return to their hometowns, they always meet some familiar people who ask them what their job is. What is the monthly income? Let's be honest, I can't get over my face, don't say it, I can't get over my face. This kind of familiar person can be contacted less if you can contact less.
In addition, during the Chinese New Year every year, many blind date conferences are held in the village, the original intention is to find a partner for young people, but this situation is becoming more and more serious in the countryside. But at the request of his father and mother, he had to participate in such activities. As a result, some people decided to stay in the city for the New Year in order not to let themselves go home and were dragged on a blind date by their parents.
Third, stay in the city and work overtime during the Chinese New Year.
The reason why some migrant workers do not return to their hometowns is because of the need for employment in the city, and most of them are engaged in catering, manufacturing, construction and other industries. They can't go home because the company will not only buy them New Year's goods, but also invite them to dinner, and if they are in the New Year, they will have double overtime pay and bonuses. As a result, some migrant workers prefer not to go home during the Chinese New Year to earn more money. I plan to go home to visit my family after the Chinese New Year.
Fourth, some migrant workers have already returned to their hometowns to develop.
With the lifting of lockdowns in early 2022, there are fewer jobs in the city. Many migrant workers look everywhere but do not find a suitable job. Therefore, many migrant workers will return to their hometowns to do business and work in factories in the village to escape the separation of their families.
As a result, there has been a significant drop in the number of immigrants who have come to work in the city over the past year and the number of immigrants who have returned during this festival. In addition, some enterprises let workers go home for the New Year in advance because of poor business conditions, and many workers returned home half a month early, so they did not show up during the Spring Festival holiday.
Compared with previous years, the flow of visitors during the Spring Festival has dropped significantly, and there is no longer a "homecoming wave" of a large number of floating populations. Therefore, some people will ask: will the "return wave" end in 2024, and will people not have enough money to return to their hometowns? In fact, there is a reason why this "homecoming wave" has not come for a long time.
Some people are reluctant to return to their hometowns for the New Year, the biggest reason is that they are afraid of the high cost of the New Year and all kinds of pressure. There are also some people who have to work overtime during the Chinese New Year in the city. Of course, there are also many migrant workers who have returned to their hometowns early. Therefore, today we are not seeing a large number of migrants "returning home".