Recently, the domestic pig market gradually got rid of the "declining trend", by the fourth quarter of last year, the pig farm production capacity to accelerate, in the first half of this month, the breeding end of the excessive pessimism, and the group pig enterprises slaughter panic, in the second half of the year, the pressure of pigs eased, and pork consumption has also entered the peak season, the market supply and demand pattern reversed, the farmers subscribed to the mentality weakened, the mentality of chasing the pressure bar became stronger, the slaughterhouse pig collection was not smooth, the phenomenon of price increase and quantity increased, and the domestic pig price showed a significant trend!
In recent days, under the concentration of multiple positive cash, pig prices have shown a significant increase in performance, according to institutional data analysis, on January 31, the price of foreign three-yuan pigs rose to 158 yuan kg, 6 days pig price **133 yuan, an increase of 919%, compared to the low value in the middle of this month, the **cumulative** range is 18About 44%!
At present, the price of pigs "sits on the rocket", showing a significant trend, the latest data shows that the average price of live pigs is 158 yuan kg, 048 yuan kg, the domestic market shows a general trend. Judging from the feedback from the regions, among the 28 regions that are monitored in the country, Jiangsu** has risen to 1755 yuan, Anhui ** rose to 174 yuan, Henan, Shandong** rose to about 17 yuan kg, in Zhejiang, Shanghai pig prices rose to 17 yuan kg, East China, pig prices exceeded expectations**. And in the northeast region, Heilongjiang ** is at 148 yuan, ** only 01 yuan, Jilin and Liaoning ** to 154~15.45 yuan kg, an increase of 03~0.5 yuan kg. In the South China market, the pig price in the two regions is **02~0.4 yuan, Guangdong ** at 1545 yuan kg.
It can be seen that on January 31, the national pig price center of gravity was concentrated in the Middle East provinces and regions, and in the north and south, the pig price performance was average, and most of them were based on the rise!
This time, pig prices continued to rise, mainly due to the rapid pig prices in the Middle East, which drove the fundamentals of national pig prices!
On the one hand, in East China, Central China and some parts of North China, due to the rapid pace of slaughter of the group's pig enterprises this month, the phased scale of pig control is strong and the price mentality is strong. In terms of pig farms, in November and December last year, Shandong, Henan, Hubei, Anhui and Hebei and other places, pig farms are suspected of "small non" phenomenon is more obvious, and some group pig enterprises are damaged by the phenomenon of large pigs and sows.
On the other hand, due to the new range of rain and snow weather, the Northeast low-cost pigs are transferred to East China, and the logistics cost has increased significantly, while in South China, hindered by rain and snow, the transfer of low-price pigs is limited, and the cost of local slaughterhouses and pigs transferred from other provinces has increased significantly.
Of course, the stage of the market "lack of pigs" good support, the domestic consumer market also ushered in the peak season, in the Spring Festival holiday support, the level of domestic pork consumption has increased significantly, some slaughterhouses in order to stabilize the market, the enthusiasm for stocking has been greatly improved, the operating rate of domestic mainstream slaughterhouses has increased to about 45%, and the performance of "lack of pigs" has further emerged!
Therefore, under the support of two-way supply and demand, pig prices "sit on rockets", * showing a sharp rise in the situation, and for the trend of pig prices before the Spring Festival, I personally believe that the market may be based on "rising and falling"!
From a rational point of view, affected by this round of continuous rain and snow, the performance of "lack of pigs" in East China and Central China may be further revealed, and pig prices still have the support of further increases, while in other regions in the north and south, pig prices will also maintain a slight upward trend. With the gradual end of the rain and snow weather, the purchase and sale of live pigs will gradually recover, however, there are only a few days left from the Spring Festival, the slaughterhouse pre-holiday stocking will also gradually end, the demand to follow up weakened, the breeding end of the slaughter pile phenomenon or will heat up, pig prices or will show a trend of rising and falling, close to the Spring Festival, pig prices into the "priceless market" stage, rationally, before the Spring Festival, the average price of live pigs in the country or will rise to 165 yuan or so kilograms!
6 days**133 yuan, the pig price "takes the rocket", how much will the pig price rise during the Spring Festival? **Here it comes! What do you think about this? The above is the author's personal opinion, **from the Internet!