Kunpeng Project
A new round of demolition and relocation is coming? It is expected that 4 types of properties may be included in the demolition list
In fact, everyone has their own reasons for the discussion of "stopping large-scale demolitions" and "wanting to continue demolitions", one is because the demolition in the past few years has cultivated a lot of huge wealth, and the other is because of the abnormal turmoil in the property market, which has led to housing prices in more than 100 cities at more than 10,000 yuan.
As for the second reason, everyone knows that houses, like any object, will deteriorate over time, which will not only affect the comfort of life, but also make people feel uneasy, just like the kind of porous prefabricated panels that often appear on the Internet, in the eyes of the owners, the number of floors of this kind of house is not high, if it is demolished, it is beneficial to the owners and developers, and they want to demolish it as soon as possible.
A person's opinion does not necessarily represent the will of a nation. This is due to the fact that a nation must have an eye on the present as well as the future, and must have a big overall situation to plan and develop.
As we all know, five years ago, when the relevant departments held a meeting, they made it very clear that the "large-scale demolition and construction" has ended, that is to say, the current housing can meet the living needs of all people, in order to protect the environment, in order to save energy, but also in order to save energy, we should not carry out large-scale demolition.
So, what is the disposal of old neighborhoods, old houses, and old houses? Since then, almost every work report has mentioned the "renovation of old communities", and given a time limit, basically all old communities over 20 years old must be "new". If all goes well, he'll keep that pace for the rest of the day.
However, the world is unpredictable. But no one expected that the real estate market, which has been steadily rising, will have a "Waterloo" in 2021-2023, with three red lines requiring real estate companies to reduce debt, the sequelae of the epidemic, and Americans frantically raising interest rates to try to puncture our real estate market.
Despite all our efforts, the scale of deregulation in the real estate market is far greater than in 2015-2018. However, as everyone expected, as the impact of these measures waned on them, interest in the war grew. For example, before the Spring Festival, major cities began to relax the purchase restriction policy, hoping to have a certain impact on housing prices in other cities. Next, thousands of "white lists" have been introduced, in the words of property market commentators, is to boost the confidence of all parties, whether it is buyers, real estate developers, or even banks, everyone must work together: stabilize the property market and promote the market to warm.
Although I don't know if it will work, what is certain is that if there is not enough money, everything is empty talk. Some strategists proposed that at present, funds are tight in various places, and all parts of the country are facing a huge funding gap, and if you want to restore the real estate market, you can use the land, but the premise is to figure out who has the eggs first to make the real estate market recover, which is very clear.
Therefore, at this year's two sessions, we proposed to treat the financing needs of all kinds of enterprises equally, and to accelerate the implementation of the "three major projects", such as the transformation of urban villages, which are all aimed at solving the problems of the real estate market. In fact, the financing problems of real estate enterprises have become high-frequency and very strong. And the "three major projects" are also one of the key points, according to the meaning of the Ministry of Construction, this is a project, a project, a project, a project, time is pressing, time is pressing.
Why is there so much emphasis on promoting the development of "urban villages"? Wang Feng of the China Institute of Housing and Real Estate estimated that the direct investment in 21 megacities exceeded 10 trillion yuan, and the total investment exceeded 25 trillion yuan, including the pull of other industries. Not to mention if you take into account the GDP share of these places. In short, we need to hurry.
For ordinary people, developing their own economy is the biggest problem, but for him, the biggest problem is demolition, which can not only make his life better, but also make a lot of money. Although ** does not explicitly equate urban renovation with demolition, judging from the situation on a national scale, this large-scale demolition will definitely not be less than in 2015.
According to the Economic Observer, Shenzhen, as a pilot city for the reform of urban villages in China, has recently issued two points in the "Regulations on the Renovation of Urban Villages": First, the construction of urban villages must be supported by more than two-thirds of the real estate owners before the construction can begin, compared with the previous 80% support rate, this measure is undoubtedly lowering the standard, and the goal is obvious, that is, to reduce the pressure of demolition work and accelerate it. The second is to define "urban renewal and transformation", in addition to the original "old reform", but also "old to old" and "old to new" combined, "new and old reform" renovation area has increased significantly, "four kinds of houses" are "preferred" included in the "demolition" object:
Description (no more than 18 words).
The first is the important functional areas, development areas and rail hub areas delineated in the national economic and social development plan, territorial spatial planning and various special plans;
second, in the national, provincial, municipal and other levels of all kinds of major livelihood projects and infrastructure construction projects;
the third is concentrated in more than 20 high-tech industrial development zones (note: according to the "Shenzhen 20 Advanced Manufacturing Parks Spatial Layout Plan"), key industrial projects;
Fourth, the health and safety risks of urban residents are relatively large, there are many hidden dangers in housing safety and fire safety, poor supporting facilities, dirty and messy environment, and social governance is difficult, or relevant institutions deem it necessary to update.
In fact, everyone can compare the demolition situation of their own houses according to their local situation, and basically all the houses to be demolished can be included. In addition to the demolition and relocation carried out in accordance with a certain urban development plan, the old and unsafe houses we often say are also included, and even include the poor environment and backward supporting facilities, which can be said to be "demolished if you can, and demolished if you want to". As a result, a reporter made a statistic that according to Shenzhen's new regulations, nearly 40% of the houses will be demolished.
But such a large-scale demolition project will definitely not be completed in a short time and a half. 14 shantytown renovation projects in Baiyun District, Guangzhou, received loans of 142.6 billion yuan, Jinan received loans of 94 billion yuan, Shijiazhuang received loans of 40.5 billion yuan, and 17 cities in Shijiazhuang received loans of 40.5 billion yuan, and in just one month, there were more than 800 billion loans. Therefore, several tens of trillion funds from the aforementioned experts should be visible.
Another thing is that the current urban demolition is still very different from the previous demolition. Similarly, Guangzhou, Nanjing, Shenyang, Guiyang, Shijiazhuang and other cities issued the first batch of special loans for urban shantytown reconstruction, all of which included previous shantytown reconstruction projects, including expropriation and resettlement compensation, resettlement housing construction, etc., but from the perspective of local reforms, some of them have begun to replace physical and monetary resettlement with housing resettlement. The reason why I say this, I think you all know, is because this city is not simply used to stimulate the economy, but to clean up real estate.
Therefore, by pooling some unsalable houses together, allowing those who have been demolished to exchange these houses for houses, and clearing out all the inventory in the houses, so as to maintain the supply and demand relationship in a city, and let the real estate industry return to a stable development path, this is the real purpose of their re-starting demolition.
Of course, there are also some people who think that if the compensation is not paid, it will be a loss. As for whether you can make money, it depends on the situation, however, judging from the current room ticket system in various cities, if you choose a room ticket, you have to add two percent to the assessed house price, which is also an incentive. Even if you don't buy it, it doesn't matter, because most houses can be exchanged for cash for a year to a year, at most a discount, with no 20% markup.
As mentioned before, in the future, house demolition will still be a major way for many people to improve their quality of life, not only to meet their own needs, but also to meet the stable development of the real estate market, and to promote the economic development of our country, which is the result of many factors, not human power.