As the fertility rate continues to decline, experts have also begun to offer suggestions to solve the population problem, for example, some experts have recently suggested that family planning should be restarted.
As soon as this news came out, it immediately caused controversy among netizens, and many people did not understand this suggestion put forward by the experts. Let's take a look!
01 Expert: Family planning restarts.
As we all know, China has been the world's most populous country for a long time, but with the decline in China's birth rate in recent years, the population will decrease by 850,000 in 2022, and the throne of the most populous country is also occupied by India.
According to the published data, since the full release of the second child on January 1, 2016, the domestic birth rate has been 14 in 20169%, * 7. by 20225. Cut it in half.
It is worth noting that the newborn population in 2022 will even be only 9.56 million, which is the first time in nearly 60 years that the number of births has fallen below 10 million, and its natural population growth rate is even only -06, which means that China's population has entered an era of negative growth.
However, the declining birth rate is only one of the current dilemmas, and there is also the overlay that we are in an era of increasing aging. In 2022, the number of elderly people over the age of 60 was 2800 million, because the baby boomer generation in 1963 has now begun to evolve into a retirement boom, which also indicates that by 2025, China's elderly population aged 60 and above is expected to reach 300 million, accounting for more than 20% of the total population. The imbalance in the demographic structure is not conducive to economic and social development at the national level. Such a serious population problem has also attracted a lot of attention and heated discussions in society. For this reason, some experts have proposed that the family planning policy should be restarted, of course, this "family planning" is not the other "family planning", the experts' suggestions this time, mainly aimed at planning to have more children, suggesting that each couple should have more children, have two or more children, so as to solve the problem of China's birth rate continues to decline.
02 If you don't want to give birth, you have to give birth? There are those who support and those who oppose this suggestion of the experts. Proponents believe that the resumption of family planning can ensure China's birth rate, optimize the population structure, increase the proportion of the labor force, ensure the stable and healthy development of the social economy, and provide more demographic dividends for China's future economic development in the next 20 years. But more people do not agree with this point of view, many people feel that the expert's proposal means that young people want to have children in the future, but after all, having children is their own choice and reproductive freedom, and they should take into account the situation of each family and make their own decisions.
However, we also believe that with the current concept of young people's fertility, it is obviously unrealistic to restart this plan! If we want to implement multi-child family planning, it is necessary to first carry out birth registration management for existing couples, and in a populous country like ours, it is obvious that a lot of manpower, material and financial resources will be spent to achieve this work. Moreover, many young people today do not even have any children, and if they are forced to have more children, they may instead usher in more discontent and even seriously affect stability. Therefore, the resumption of "family planning" can only stay at the level of suggestions and supervision, and cannot be enforced. Besides, in recent years, in order to encourage childbirth, many regions have even adopted cash subsidies, but even if the subsidies are large, the birth rate in the past two years is still showing a trend. This is enough to show that letting go of childbearing cannot stimulate people's enthusiasm for childbearing.
03 The root cause of the decline in the birth rate No. 1: The young people's conception of childbearing has changedWith the improvement of the level of education, the concept of childbearing among young people has changed greatly. Especially for modern women, more and more people pay more attention to their personal careers, and they even give up or delay childbearing in order to promote themselves. In addition, children need to be taken seriously and responsibly after they are born, and now that the cost of raising is high, young people are not prepared or have stable financial strength, and they dare not have a hasty baby.
No.: With the continuous improvement of the economic level, people's living burdens are also increasing, for example, a huge mortgage pressure makes many young people dare not consume, dare not take holidays, and even dare not get sick. In addition, there are various expenses such as education, medical expenses, and pensions, and young people are already under a lot of pressure. Of course, in addition to the pressure of life, they also face many troubles at work, such as endless shifts every day, countless worries every day, after all, the pressure of competition in the job market has increased in recent years, and no one knows when they will be replaced by a newcomer with lower income requirements and more work experience; No one knows if companies will survive this recession...In this case, young people have neither the time nor the energy to take care of their children, so they are naturally reluctant to have more children.
In fact, for the working class, raising one child requires a heavy burden, and I dare not imagine the pressure of raising multiple children. According to the data, it takes at least 450,000 yuan for urban families in China to raise a child to the age of 18, and at least 600,000 yuan if they raise a child until they graduate from university. Moreover, under the influence of traditional Chinese family ethics, it has become a common social phenomenon for parents to fund the purchase of houses for their children, and it has also become the primary choice for their children to solve the problem of buying houses. The pressure of raising a child is already great enough, and in the future, you will have to buy a house for your child and save money for the bride price, which has exacerbated the worries of young people about having more children, and many people have to choose to have fewer babies.
Section: Changes in values Today's society has ushered in diversified development, people no longer regard marriage and childbirth as the primary choice in life, many people tend to be single and free, unwilling to be bound by tradition, and will not get married because of marriage, so they choose not to marry or marry later. In addition, many people are not even sure whether they will be able to run a small family after marriage, and they are not sure whether they will be able to take on their responsibilities, so they are not so urgent about marriage. To put it bluntly, if you don't even want to get married, you are even less likely to have children.
For example, over the years, the marriage rate in China has also shown a downward trend, and in 2013, the marriage rate in China was 99. By 2022, the marriage rate has dropped to 48‰。
Furthermore. In stark contrast to the declining marriage rate, the divorce rate has been rising in recent years, and before that, the divorce rate in China was only 096, and by 2020, the rate had risen to 31%。It was not until the official cooling-off period policy was introduced in the past two years that the divorce rate dropped to 2. From the marriage rate and divorce rate alone, it can be seen that young people's view of marriage and love has changed, and more and more people are no longer willing to be married**, and pay more attention to a free and easy lifestyle.
Finally, it is well known that the continued decline in the number of newborns is detrimental to both socio-economic and developmental development. For example, population decline may lead to a "labor shortage" in enterprises; Population decline will also weaken consumer demand, which in turn will affect economic development; Population decline will inevitably intensify the aging of the population and increase the burden of social pensionsTo this end, in recent years, China has introduced incentive measures to stimulate childbirth, specific measures include: improving the reimbursement mechanism of maternity insurance, giving second and third child birth allowances, giving multi-child families housing subsidies, one-time cash incentives....
In addition to financial support, it is also necessary to ensure the stability of women's employment, even if they take leave for giving birth or raising a baby, and to ensure that the competition for women to return to the workplace is fair and just. In addition, it is also necessary to provide more resources for families with many children, such as providing more education, training, medical and other services, so as to effectively reduce the burden of parents raising children.
As for the restart of family planning recommended by experts, I personally feel that it is more important to respect personal choices, respect everyone's concept of fertility, and not forcibly interfere with their behavior, so that the society can have more happiness. Of course, on the basis of respecting the wishes of individuals, flexible measures and policies can be adopted to stimulate fertility according to the overall interests of society and the demographic structure, so as to ensure the stable development of society. Wan Ziwen said:Every word of the article was typed out by me, and I clicked it outLookingLet me know that you are also working for lifeDo your best