On January 30, local time, Biden announced that he had made a decision on how to respond, indicating that the United States was about to retaliate against the attack on a military base that caused serious human error. While Biden did not disclose specific details, his remarks gave the impression that a storm was coming. The United States has unleashed strong rhetoric and mobilized bombers to reinforce the Middle East, but so far it has not launched substantive action. The attack on a US military base in the Middle East killed three people and injured more than 40 people, making it the deadliest attack on the United States after the Palestinian-Israeli conflict. In the face of strong domestic calls for retaliation, Biden and the Department of Defense have said that they will take action. So far, there has been no substantial progress in the US military's move to mobilize troops and reinforce the Middle East. The impasse has shrouded the situation in an unusual calm, as if a major storm was brewing.
The U.S. military's hesitation has sparked speculation about whether it means that they have accepted the tragedy of the attack and have chosen to give up on retaliation. While the U.S. has stressed that it does not seek war with Iran, it will be difficult to account to angry people at home without taking concrete action. And a lack of action by the U.S. military will make it difficult to deter the militants, which could lead to more attacks. The U.S. military is widely expected to take action.
At the same time, Britain announced that it was ready to send aircraft carriers to the Middle East, which led to speculation about whether it would operate jointly with the US military. Although the United States and Britain have made a series of troop adjustments, which makes people feel that they will take action at any time, there has been no substantive action so far. The British attitude showed their readiness for something big possible in the Middle East.
Iran also seems to have sensed something and has begun to adjust its military deployment in the Middle East. The massive withdrawal of Iran's Revolutionary Guard Corps from Syria is apparently intended to circumvent possible large-scale retaliation by US troops. The evacuation, a rare move in Iran's history, is a sign of tension. Although Iran has denied any involvement in the attack, they are apparently taking precautions against possible large-scale retaliation by the US military.
Against this backdrop of tensions, pro-Iranian forces have also announced the cessation of military operations against US forces. The U.S. military responded that retaliation would continue, despite concessions from both Iranian and pro-Iranian militant groups. A Pentagon spokesman said the U.S. military would respond as it would at the chosen time, suggesting that the U.S. military was not willing to stop retaliating.
The current situation gives the impression that a major storm is about to usher in the Middle East. The U.S. military's hesitation has aroused concern from all sides, and the longer the retaliation is brewing, the larger the scale it may bring. The ongoing response by Iranian and pro-Iranian forces suggests that they have received some kind of information and may have a premonition of what is coming. The whole situation is gradually escalating to the most delicate moment.
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