CornAs one of the most important food crops in our country, its fluctuating pairsFarmersand the market have a very big impact. In recent times,Corn**After a sustained period, pessimism is rife and the market is full of uncertainty. In the author's opinionCornThere are some truths hidden behind the **, and we need to analyze and think about these truths in depth.
Judging from the dynamics of the acquisition, from September to December, domesticCorn**Experienced a large amount**. ShandongCorn**Affected by the purchase and sale game, it shows a downward trend that is difficult to hide. In the ups and downs of the first month, the increase in the amount of goods has led to the price reduction of deep processing enterprises, and the price reduction is too fierce will lead to the reduction of the enthusiasm of the first business. According to statistics, the number of arriving vehicles in Shandong fell from the largest 1,882 to the smallest 54, and the acquisition ** also fell from the highest point of 3,052 yuan to the lowest point of 2,579 yuan.
Northeast regionCorn**Shows a clear downward trend over a period of time. Initially, the acquisition ** was stable, but with the strengthening of bumper production expectationsFarmersThey have sold off, causing ** to fall to the bottom. However, due to importsCornThe news of the auction reserve price reduction entered the market, and pessimism was flooded againCorn**From 2464 yuan to the starting point again, it has even fallen below the starting point to 2366 yuan.
And that's not all,CornThe line chart of the average price of acquisitions also shows a change in the mindset of buying and selling. In the haze of falling prices, buyers and sellers are entangled, and if you want to gain insight into the strategies of buyers and sellers, you need to sort out the attitudes of all parties. At the same time, the reduction of the reserve price for grain reserves has also had a certain impact. The procurement entity must follow the market principle, that is, when the floor price is raised, and vice versa. Between October 27 and November 24, the NortheastCornAnd the ** in ShandongFlatThe situation of tidying up. It can be seen that in the context of falling prices, the passivity of first-class merchants and the willingness of grassroots farmers to sell grain have increased.
It's not just grassroots farmers, but the main body is facing itCorn** is also very cautious when it comes to uncertainty. Since the bottom is not clear, there is no large-scale construction, and the first merchant and the drying tower are in a wait-and-see state, executing the orders that have signed the contract, in order to avoid the pressure of storage costs caused by premature construction.
The above analysis shows thatCornThe ups and downs are not without reason, and the factors involved are very complex. In the long run, we should be rightCornStay vigilant, not be confused by the temporary, and not be intimidated by the temporary. Only by understanding the laws of ups and downs can we better respond to market changes.
CornThe rise and fall of ** is not only affected by domestic and foreign market factors, but also by the comprehensive impact of supply and demand, policy regulation and other factors. Therefore, in copingCorn** When changing, we need to consider the following factors comprehensively and develop a corresponding strategy.
First, we need to recognize that there is a lot of pressure at the top. CurrentCorn**The pressure is huge, because the grassroots generally lack the reluctance to sell, the progress of grain sales is too fast, and there will be a large amount of grain in the later stage**, so the pressure is greater. Even if the market reaches the bottom and breaks through the planting cost line, it stimulates a certain reluctance to sell, but in the absence of strong positive factors, the market sentiment is limited.
Second, demand performance is relatively weak. CornThe demand is mainly in the two aspects of feed and deep processing, and the domestic breeding market is in a downturn, operating at a loss, unable to provide sufficient demand support. In addition, the procurement and sales of grain reserves are generally not satisfactory, and importsCornThe sales turnover rate is low.
Third, we need to look at both immediate and long-term troubles and worries. In the near term, the Northeast regionCorn**Continue**, the purchase of relevant areas has fallen below the cost of planting, and the pace of grain sales by grassroots farmers will slow down**. However, the purchase and sale game situation in Shandong is still relatively severe, and the trend is weak. From a long-term point of view, the fact of bumper production has been achieved, consumption support is weak, substitutes squeeze market space, market sentiment is pessimistic, and we can only hope that the introduction of policies and the recovery of market demand will change the trend of the market.
First of all, for:FarmersIt is necessary to arrange the time for grain sales reasonably. In the case of ***,FarmersIt is possible to appropriately delay the sale of grain and wait for the market to get a better one. When deciding the time to sell grain, you can pay close attention to market dynamics and trends, as well as the relevant policies introduced, and make the most appropriate decisions.
Secondly,ChainEnterprises need to strengthen the management of supply and demand. Deep processing enterprises can appropriately reduce the purchase of raw materials** to attract more market demand; Merchants and drying towers can avoid risks through flexible procurement and inventory management, as well as reduce the pressure on storage costs.
Finally, the sector can stabilize the market through appropriate policy regulation. On the one hand, it can be increasedFarmersThe intensity of subsidies and support has been increasedFarmersincome and motivation to plant; On the other hand, it can actively guide and cultivate the demand of the breeding industry and the deep processing industry to stimulate the activity of the market.
In short,Corn**The trend is affected by a combination of factors, copingCorn** Changes need to be taken into account and strategies to be developed. At the same time, it is necessary to keep a cool head and be flexible and adaptable to respond to changes in the market.