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Editor: Zhang Runchen.
Editor|Introduction.
Warren Buffett, I'm sure many people have heard of it, is one of the most famous investors in the United States. The reason why Buffett is known as the "god of stocks" is because he has the "superpower" of manipulation. Once Warren Buffett takes a fancy to a**, then many people will follow him**, and then the stock price will soar all the way, and vice versa.
This miracle is commonly known as the Buffett effect. Warren Buffett once again made a "prediction", that is, on April 11 next year. Some people even say that Japan's lost 30 years are finally coming to an end. So what is Buffett's ** like this time?
Warren Buffett
1. Warren Buffett (Buffett of Buffett) "prophecy".
Warren Buffett conducted an exclusive interview with the Nihon Keizai Shimbun on April 11 next year, and Buffett happened to be in Tokyo. Buffett came this time to enter Japan more **, and all he has to do is that the five largest Japanese companies such as Mitsubishi Commercial Bank are also negotiating with him.
In an interview, Buffett also expressed his desire to invest more in Japanese commercial banks. In addition, Buffett also made it clear that the investment atmosphere in Japan and the United States is very good, and I learned about Coca-Cola, I learned about American Express, and I also learned about the five major Japanese companies.
Warren Buffett
In addition, Warren Buffett also said that it does not matter whether the Japanese ** market will rise or fall in the next three years. There is no doubt that in another 20 to 50 years, the United States and Japan will become even stronger. Warren Buffett is still very confident in Japan's long-term development.
As Warren Buffett put it, "For investors, understanding that this is not a permanent time, and we need to think about what will happen in the next 10 to 20 years." Now, Warren Buffett seems to be really thinking about how it will develop in 10 years.
However, will Buffett's actions really bring benefits to Japan?
Mitsubishi Corporation).
2. Buffett's "conspiracy" - Buffett (Buffett).
Warren Buffett said, "When the flood passes, you know who's swimming naked." Warren Buffett also said in a visit to Japan: "I will buy a lot at the same time that someone sells their assets at a low price out of panic." ”
Warren Buffett
The crux of this argument is that investors are selling their assets at extremely low levels due to panic. This is just a signal that Japan's economy is in trouble, and Buffett's speech also indicates that Japan's economy will not recover in the short term, and even Buffett's influence is unlikely to reverse this situation.
Indeed, as a result of Warren Buffett's picking, Wall Street is currently aggressively buying shares in Japanese companies. However, Wall Street's "frenzied sweep" of Japanese assets is not good news for Japan, because it means that Japan's best assets will fall into the hands of the United States.
Wall Street) From this point of view, the more "powerful" Japan is, the happier the United States will be, after all, Japan is also part of the United States. In fact, the United States is the only real power. Buffett did not do this in favor of Japan, but on Japan.
With Warren Buffett's "assist", Japan's economic recession will continue in the next three decades, and it may even enter a lost era. But those people on Wall Street are making a lot of money on Japan's **, and at the same time they are full of praise for Japan's "strength".
So, if you shift your attention from Japan to China, how does Warren Buffett view China?
Japan) 3. Warren Buffett's views on China.
Warren Buffett has always had great confidence in China, and since 2019, Buffett has been optimistic about the development of 5G in China. Warren Buffett did not have the high praise of China's 5G and artificial intelligence in the United States, as most people think.
Warren Buffett sees China as a huge market whose potential has not yet been fully exploited. Warren Buffett has a soft spot for big people, and he believes that China will bring him more benefits. In recent years, China has gradually risen, and Warren Buffett has even publicly stated"I believe in China, and the rise of China is unstoppable. "
Warren Buffett
According to Buffett's vision, China will definitely become stronger like the United States in the future. Warren Buffett has never made such a judgment about Japan. Unlike Warren Buffett's performance in Japan, Buffett has always been more conservative in China.
Warren Buffett once admitted that his understanding of Chinese technology is not thorough enough, and he also admitted that he will spend 15 years redeploying in China. Buffett treats China "cautiously" because he considers China an "adversary" of equal status, and can even be said to be a ** partner of equal status.
Warren Buffett made it clear in 2013 that China is not competitive and that you have to be extra careful when investing in China, otherwise it will be difficult to achieve the desired results. In contrast, Feng Yu is more interested in investing in the United States. Warren Buffett's comments on this made ordinary people not optimistic about China's future, and the "China collapse theory" was popular for a while.
However, now, the true meaning of Buffett's words has been misunderstood by many people. The reason why Buffett called China uncompetitive is largely not because China is not competitive, but because Wall Street is not competitive in China. It is not Wall Street or foreign capital that dominates China's economy, but China's ** is the real master.
5 g) Warren Buffett's first stake in China was PetroChina, a large conglomerate, but fundamentally more for China than for a company that provides benefits to its shareholders. PetroChina's most basic goal is to deliver oil to the Chinese, not to make more money for its investors.
However, with the progress of China's science and technology, there are more and more opportunities in China, and even Buffett cannot sit idly by, which is why Buffett has frequently extended an olive branch to China in recent years. However, for our part, we must ask ourselves: Do we really want Buffett?
Warren Buffett
References. Warren Buffett predicted that China's rise is unstoppable, and it will become a power like the United States, leading the world into a new century.
Xinhua. Warren Buffett: China's first prospects are optimistic for 15 years or there will be big moves.
ObservationsWarren Buffett said that China lacks a competitive advantage, and China has not lived up to people's expectations.
Shanghai ** Daily. From Warren Buffett to Wall Street predators, why are they betting on the Japanese market?
Beijing Business WeeklyIncreasing investment in Japanese stocks, what did Buffett sniff out from it?