In these turbulent times, war and strife seem to be endless. Recently, the Turkish Minister of Defense made a shocking speech that attracted the attention of the whole world. He said very simply: "Actually, the third war has already begun, but neither side has officially started the war." This is a straightforward statement, but it is not entirely unreasonable. Russia's invasion of Ukraine, the conflict between Hamas and Israel in Gaza, the civil war in Myanmar, the turmoil in Sudan in East Africa, and tensions in neighboring countries have left any continent in the world tormented by conflict and war in the last year. Now, the contradictions between Azerbaijan and Armenia have once again intensified, adding new fuel to the already unstable territory.
Armenian Prime Minister Pashinyan told his cabinet members that Azerbaijan is ready to start a "full-scale war". This remark comes as a result of the recent increase in artillery fire on the border between the two countries. A week ago, Azerbaijan claimed that its border forces had been attacked by Armenian forces in the southern Sunik region, and one person was wounded. The Foreign Minister of Azerbaijan immediately issued a declaration condemning the provocative actions of Armenia, which caused significant damage to the peace process between the two countries. However, the Armenian side refused to admit it, insisting that there had never been an army in the Sunik region, and that those who dared to shoot against the orders of Azerbaijan would be severely punished.
While the two sides are arguing at loggerheads, the situation on the border between the two countries is becoming increasingly tense. The Deputy Minister of Defense of Azerbaijan and the Commander of the Army personally went to the border guard units to inspect and gave important instructions. Although there are no specific reports on the redeployment of troops, this action is a clear sign that Azerbaijan is fully prepared for a full-fledged war.
Azerbaijan's military preparations, along with its military preparations, have also put great pressure on Armenia to proceed with the process of constitutional amendment. The amendments to the Constitution proposed by the Prime Minister of Armenia are aimed at enabling the country to better face the new geographical situation and to enable the country to continue to exist and be competitive. However, the provisions of the amendment to the Convention relating to the attribution of Nagorno-Karabakh have given rise to considerable controversy. The original Constitution included Nagorno-Karabakh as part of the territory of Armenia, but this provision has been deleted. It is widely believed that this move was forced by Pashinyan under pressure from the Azerbaijani side.
In fact, since Armenia proposed to amend the Constitution, Azerbaijan** Aliyev has put pressure on Armenia on several occasions and threatened that the two sides would not be able to conclude a peace agreement unless Armenia agreed to Azerbaijan's land ownership. These threatening words kept Pashinyan awake, especially as the border dispute intensified, and he finally said what he had said.
Today, Armenia is in a state of loneliness. The United States has lost interest in this meaningless power, and Russia itself is a mess and does not want to get involved in it at all. European countries have been following the United States and turning a blind eye to this war. In this case, Pashinyan looks like he has no choice but to offer a caveat.
However, Azerbaijan has not yet ended its intensifying war. Not only did they increase their forces on the border, but they also interfered in the internal affairs of Armenia. Such a tough posture is deeply worrying for Armenia and worries the rest of the world for the future of the region.
In general, the war between Azerbaijan and Armenia is in a very critical situation. If the differences between China and the United States cannot be properly resolved through dialogue and consultation, the shadow of "all-out war" may befall this devastated country. We hope that the international community will promote cross-strait peaceful dialogue and prevent the situation from continuing to deteriorate and expand.