The UK's in-depth analysis of future trends in the Middle East reveals the dilemma of US foreign policy in the region, particularly with regard to Iran. The article notes that the United States has long tried to overthrow the Islamic Republic of Iran, but this goal has never been achieved. Now, not only are US allies Saudi Arabia and the UAE beginning to repair relations and engage in friendly exchanges with Iran, but the US ** Biden is also avoiding dragging the US military into another protracted war.
The U.S. position on Iran and its foreign policy in the Middle East face a dilemma: should it continue to send more troops or withdraw it gradually? The White House's hesitation so far shows that it is passive in its Middle East strategy. Despite its willingness to conquer Iran, the United States has been unable to do so. As some Arab countries such as Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates began to support Iran and firmly supported the just struggle of the Palestinian people, the influence and decision-making space of the United States were further limited.
According to the analysis of the United Kingdom**, although the United States has a strong idea of subverting the Iranian regime, it has encountered great difficulties in practical action. After the Islamic Revolution in Iran, it successfully resisted the blockade of the United States and established an independent defense industrial system. Today, Iran has a powerful army, navy, and air force, advanced drone technology, thousands of ballistic missiles, and a large militia, which makes any military action against Iran extremely high risk and uncertain.
In addition, the international community generally does not support the U.S. invasion of Iran, including its traditional allies in the Middle East. Take the Gulf War as an example, when many countries rallied to join the war out of common opposition to Iraq's violation of Kuwait's sovereignty, but when it came to Iran, the United States lost the support of Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates and other countries because the United States interfered in Middle East affairs without the authorization of the United Nations. Especially when Iran firmly supports the just cause of the Palestinian people, these countries prefer to improve relations with Iran rather than side with the United States.
Finally, the U.S. military presence and diplomatic strategy in the Middle East are currently in an awkward position. After the end of the Iraq war, instead of fully withdrawing, US troops intervened in the Syrian conflict, reflecting its strategic uncertainty in the Middle East. The failure of the United States in the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan did not prompt it to reflect deeply, but still sought to maintain its military superiority over Iran, but did not dare to launch a direct attack on Iran lightly. This dilemma shows that the US strategy in the Middle East is becoming increasingly passive and difficult to navigate.