Shanhai: There are many factors affecting the market this week, and I am optimistic that the ** can break through!
The geopolitical situation is still a factor of instability in the current market, and the ongoing conflict in the Middle East will cause some market attention, but also give the market some feedback, this week's data is more, among them, the US jobs report, the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision and Fed Chairman Powell's press conference will be the main focus of the market. The Fed is expected to keep interest rates unchanged in Wednesday's FOMC statement, but Powell's press conference will be his chance to rein in the runaway rate cut expectations he released at his last press conference. In addition to the US non-farm payrolls report for December on Friday morning, markets will also focus on US consumer confidence and JOLTS job openings on Tuesday, ADP employment data on Wednesday as well as the Bank of England's monetary policy announcement, weekly jobless claims and ISM manufacturing data for December on Thursday.
I have to admit that the US dollar as a whole was still in a strong state last week, although it has been in the range**, but most of the time it has remained high, with the lowest at 1025, the highest at 1036. It is also because of the high US dollar, which has been at a low level and is difficult to break through, coupled with the market environment, ** has remained around 2018. The dollar held at 103 for the week3 opening, the week should still pay attention to whether the dollar can break up and down, and pay attention to 103 at a high level8 104 gains and losses, low focus 1025 gains and losses, of which 102 broke throughAfter 5, pay attention to the strength and weakness of 1016 gains and losses, falling below 1016. Look at the big drop after that. This week's market environment is more complex, there is a lot of data, and the temporary prediction may not be accurate, so we still need to pay attention to the daily real-time analysis.
No matter how dark the night will usher in the dawn, no matter how long the ups and downs will appear on the flat road, with a heart of hope that will never give up, tomorrow there will be warm sunshine sprinkled, and the future will be better to meet yourself, maturity, is a sudden moment, put your pride on the ground. Exercise your ability to act immediately. Make the most of your perception of reality. Don't dwell on the past, don't dwell on the future, focus on the present. Last week**has been kept in the range**, unable to get out of the breakthrough, the high point is in 2026, the low point is in 2009, Shanhai has been emphasizing that in this trend, try to keep it low, look at the upward breakthrough, although last week has not been out of the breaking strength, but in the actual transaction, every day at the low point long, there is a lot of accumulated profits. This week's geopolitical situation is unstable, and the data has more impact, which is expected to open last week's ** range and get out of the big upside. **In terms of Shanghai, Shanghai gold, Rongtong gold long single held for a week, has now appeared profits, Shanghai silver ** long single, and the early long single began to have a good profit, fuel bullish to 3120 has been in place, soda ash as scheduled**, next wait for the target, look at this week's changes.
The opening first gives the direction and important points of the day's **: Monday *** up, above 2030, 2040, below 2015, trading to low long. Last week**in the 2026 2009 range**, although the mountains and seas have been looking at the upward breakthrough failed, but the daily low long trading has a good profit, the end of Friday gave more than 2018 orders, the morning opening in 2028, long single direct profit of 10 US dollars, at present**out of the fall, but this week the mountains and seas are still optimistic about the strength of the upward breakthrough. This week's focus is no longer on the technical side, but on whether the geopolitical situation is heating up, how is the risk aversion, and at the same time pay attention to this week's major news, small non-agricultural ADP, the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision, and the impact of non-agricultural data, which will have a greater impact on **volatility, and we should also pay attention to risk control in reasonable transactions. For the beginning of the week, in the state of last week, this week will still remain in the range for the time being, and it is expected to be difficult to break through the temporary pattern on Monday and Tuesday, so Monday and Tuesday can maintain the previous range trading. From a technical point of view, the ** of the daily cycle is still weak below the Bollinger middle track, and before breaking through the Bollinger middle track suppression, I am not optimistic that ** can get out of the big rise, therefore, Monday and Tuesday are weak as long as they are below 2030. The H4 cycle is currently the standard ** performance, the upper and lower ranges are in 2030 2015, and it is likely to be difficult to break this range on Monday. However, the mountains and seas are optimistic about the upward break, therefore, the low long trading can be held to see the upper break, while the high-altitude trading needs to pay attention to whether 2030 is broken, and then look at it.
Spot ** in last week unexpectedly ** to 22, Shanhai in last week decisive **, this wave of trading is very resolute, waiting for Thursday, Friday** changes, the highest in the 23 vicinity, achieved a good profit. At present, it has *** at 228. The previous low long single is not out and can continue to hold, and there are 23 long orders above can also continue to hold, depending on this week's changes. In the same opinion, the spot ** is also optimistic about the upward breakthrough in this cycle, and the upper focus is on 235 highs, if there is an unexpected big rise, it can be bullish to 245 highs.
International ** has been cautious to do transactions last week, because Shanhai is optimistic about the intraday performance to be able to get out of the unilateral breaking, so, after breaking the high above last Thursday, **has been unilateral**, the highest wave of the end of the wave rose to 793. Although the unilateral trend of this wave of ** came within expectations, it was difficult to keep up with the specific transaction, so the bulls appeared last week, but they did not make a large effective profit. For this week, there is no doubt that this week** will continue to keep the bullish trend unchanged, and the trading will also keep falling back to long, and the following will focus on 772，76.2 and the trend support of 75, and the upper focus space is infinite, it is not easy to see the high point above, and you don't need to look at it, it can rise to **is**. The strong support for Monday is at 772. Wait for this point to fall back to long, ** pay attention to the 80 high.
*Aspect: 1: Shanghai Gold 2406 contract.
Shanghai gold long single took three weeks, although last week there was a wave of ** to 477 nearby, but did not affect the determination of the mountains and seas to be bullish, so, last week Shanhai has also been emphasizing a thought, that is, to hold a low long single unchanged, if there is no low long single can continue to be long at 478 479, so far, Shanghai gold is currently ** above 480, long orders began to profit again, therefore, this week Shanghai gold still has to maintain the early bullish, long strategy unchanged. **Pay attention to the 485 high above, as for whether it can rise sharply or how much, pay attention to the release of this week's data. Another point to note is that if it rises sharply as scheduled this week, do not chase long above 485.
2: Rongtong gold.
Rongtong gold last week the same trend, this week's same view, although last week fell back to 476, but the low point of 476 did not break, therefore, did not change the bullish direction of the mountains and seas, the current opening near 479, this week can continue to hold the previous long single unchanged, this week's ** above the focus on the 483 high, there is also a risk of a big rise, but 485 above must also emphasize that must not chase more.
3: Shanghai Bank 2406 contract.
Shanghai silver appeared last week, many people are worried about whether they can get out of the big fall, but the mountains and seas insist on bullishness, but also in the daily analysis to give everyone enough bullish confidence, if you follow the mountains and seas of thought, this wave of Shanghai silver in 5740 bottom, after determining the bottom, mountains and seas prompt 5800 continue to do long, now the price is around 5930, has harvested a very good profit, the same early 5900 more than a single also began to have visible profits. This week's idea is simple, Shanghai Bank maintains the bullish trend in the early stage, waiting for the stimulation of this week's data, ** look at the high point above 6000, and the big rise still remains unchanged at 6150.
4: Fuel 2406 contract.
Fuel emphasized the two-week high of 3120, and the opening of the week directly ** to around 3140, then, the 2900 long bullish trade that was prompted in the early stage was all resolved this week, and there is no need to hold it too much. There may be new trades this week, and then according to the daily** alerts. At present, the fuel is absolutely strong, although it is also a high point now, but ** has not yet gone through, so, for the time being, there is no need to guess, continue to go higher, the apex cannot be seen above, but it is not much point to chase more for the time being, so, for the time being, it is recommended to wait and see the changes at the beginning of this week.
5: Soda ash 2406 contract.
Soda ash fell to 1967 last Thursday, breaking the key support point of 2000, determining the end of last week's soda ash, and this week it has come out of the weakening space again. This week, the soda ash is bearish to 1800 The target remains unchanged, there is no short order on the transaction to continue to short, and there are short orders held by friends in the early stage or short positions, waiting for the target. As for whether it can get out of the previous mountain and sea ** fall below 1600, let's take a look at the market changes this week.
Written by Mountains and Seas.
The above article was originally written by Shanhai, **Please indicate the source. Shanhai warmly reminds that investment is risky, and you need to be cautious when entering the market. The above only represents Shanhai's personal views and is not used as a basis for operation, and the operation is at your own risk).