The Russia-Ukraine conflict has been going on for two years since February 24, 2022, and its impact and dynamics are constantly evolving. The following is an overview of the current state of conflict:
Situation in Ukraine: Ukraine launched and successfully regained some areas in September 2022, but did not make as much progress as expected in the 2023 large-scale**. The strong defense line of the Russian army prevented the further advance of the Ukrainian army, and the goal of cutting off the supply of the Russian army on the southern front was also not achieved. The Ukrainian army then switched to tactical defense, facing the challenges of battlefield decline, reduced and sluggish Western aid, and lack of troops. In addition, the intensification of domestic political struggles in Ukraine has frustrated social confidence in victory and regaining lost territory.
Russia's situation: After adjusting its strategy and tactics, the Russian army gradually grasped the initiative on the battlefield. Although Russia is suffering from Western sanctions economically, its GDP will increase instead of falling in 2023, with a growth rate of more than 3%, showing the resilience of the economy. Russia has also maintained political and social stability, and the war has not caused a major political crisis. Russia's closer ties with some countries such as Belarus, North Korea, Iran, etc., indicate the failure of Western diplomatic isolation strategies.
Europe's response: Europe is under multiple pressures from the energy crisis and economic recession due to the Ukraine crisis. Anti-war demonstrations broke out in many countries, calling for a peaceful solution to the conflict between Russia and Ukraine. Challenges facing Europe include energy*** inflation, and the burden of public services on Ukrainian refugees.
Characteristics of the conflict: The Russia-Ukraine conflict is characterized by a protracted, war of attrition, and locality. At present, neither side has the idea of further spilling over the conflict, and more is controlling the battlefield within a certain geographical range. Despite the growing support of the international community for a peaceful settlement of the crisis through dialogue and negotiation, there is still a lack of an effective solution.
The impact of the Russia-Ukraine conflict has gone beyond the countries involved, with far-reaching implications for the global economy and security. Future developments will depend on a number of factors, including the policies of Western countries, the strategies of Russia and Ukraine, and the response and actions of the international community.