Introduction:
The game between China and the Philippines on the South China Sea issue has been in the thick of major news recently. The Philippines' abrupt statement by China over control of Second Thomas Shoal has sparked speculation about whether the South China Sea issue will eventually end. However, there are many reasons for the Philippines' move, including the situation in the South China Sea and domestic political reasons. The change in the political stance of Marcos and Duterte has been hailed as the "Year of the Dragon", and the struggle between them involves the contradiction between national interests and the regime. This paper analyzes the development trend of China-Philippines relations, and analyzes its causes and development trends, leading people to enter the complex and complex issue of China-Philippines game in the South China Sea.
Reasons for the changes in the situation in the South China Sea between China and the Philippines.
The Filipino senior ** participated in the Chinese New Year banquet in the Philippines and sent a friendly message to China. Caring fighters delivered supplies and broke into many islands and islands in the South China Sea, causing storms in the South China Sea. However, later the Philippines** recognized the need to show goodwill to China, so they gave them the previous hostility as a "gift for the Year of the Dragon". Is there a deeper reason for this unexpected move that has attracted a lot of attention?
1. The interweaving of diplomatic games and internal crises.
The Philippines chose to show goodwill to China not only because of the situation in the South China Sea, but also because of its domestic political conflicts. The Marcos regime and Duterte's party are fiercely fighting, and civil conflict is on the verge of eruption. Duterte's support for Marcos brought Marcos to power, but the relationship between him and Duterte's family has become strained. Dutt's son has openly attacked Marcos, while Marcos, who is riddled with internal contradictions, has shown goodwill to China in an effort to stabilize the political situation. The turning point in the situation in the South China Sea may be closely related to the crisis in the Philippines.
2. China's position and plans**.
China resolutely upholds the rights and interests of "Renai Jiao", coast guard vessels continue to patrol, and CCTV's "South China Sea Islands" "historic" "unveiled". The column exposed the infidelity of the Philippines, exposed the illegal beaching incident of the Philippine side, and alluded to the "real culprit behind the scenes". Such a rare attitude by China has put the Philippines in the public eye and increased pressure on the Philippine side. At present, when dealing with the South China Sea issue, the Philippines must recognize the current situation and try to resolve its internal and external contradictions.
3. The intersection of diplomatic background and political reality.
The Marcos regime's goodwill toward China is partly due to the situation in the South China Sea, but also due to its own political considerations. Due to the difference between domestic and foreign positions, Marcos** reflected on China's policy. A change in the Philippines' stance on China, the fact that it is disputed in the South China Sea, is also unavoidable by its policy. Marcos must find a new breakthrough in China's stance in order to achieve steady development at home.
The potential consequences of the evolution of relations between China and the Philippines.
The evolution of the situation between China and the Philippines in the South China Sea will inevitably have a major impact on China-US relations and regional stability. The change in the Philippines' China policy is a new challenge for Sino-Philippine relations. In this regard, we must consider both domestic and international aspects.
1. Enhance the pressure of regional stability.
The turning point in the Philippine-China-South China Sea issue poses a new challenge to the stability of the region. The Philippines' goodwill toward China is likely to provoke strong opposition from other countries in the South China Sea, which could further escalate tensions in the region. The development and changes in the dispute between the Philippines and China in the South China Sea will bring new changes to the region and the world, so the relevant parties should be cautious.
2. There are more uncertainties between China and the Philippines.
The contradictions between China and the Philippines may add new uncertainties to the relationship between the two countries. China must take practical steps in the Philippines, not just rhetoric. The Philippines should demonstrate its sincerity with concrete actions and rebuild the foundation of mutual trust and cooperation. The direction of China-Philippines relations still depends on the good relations and willingness of the two countries to cooperate.
The conclusion is that the turning point between China and the Philippines in the South China Sea is not only a complex political game, but also a severe test of reality. The adjustment of the Philippines' foreign policy has been carried out under the dual influence of the external environment and the domestic environment. The Philippines should not only resolve the South China Sea issue, but also take into account its internal and external interests and find the best way to achieve its own stability and development. The future direction of development of Sino-Philippine relations depends on both rational exchanges and pragmatic cooperation, so as to ensure regional peace and stability. Let us be concerned about the development of China and the Philippines and make our own efforts to promote peace and prosperity in the region.