Recently, signals from the US and Japanese militaries at the same time have made people very worried.
Let's start with the United States. Recently, the U.S. Indo-Pacific commander is ready to start changing. And Biden's nominee for the new Indo-Pacific commander is Admiral Samuel Paparo, commander of the U.S. Navy's Pacific Fleet. At the congressional hearing, Admiral Samuel Paparo's attitude towards the "Taiwan Strait issue" was quite arrogant! He went so far as to say that their mission is to help Frog Island develop "self-defense capabilities" and prevent the use of "force" or "threat of force" to resolve the island's affairs. At the same time, the U.S. military is also ready to "come to the aid of Frog Island" if necessary...
This is completely contrary to Biden's previous commitment to China. According to Admiral Samuel Paparo, the United States will not only prevent Chinese mainland from entering the island of "Wutong", but will even be ready to provide military assistance to the island when necessary. It can be said that this is naked interference in our internal affairs, and it is also a war bark against China!
What is more serious is that this is not only the attitude of the US military, but also the recent Japanese side has also expressed its firm position that "if there is something wrong with Taiwan, there is something wrong with Japan." A few days ago, according to reference news reports, the "Japan Times" and Kyodo News quoted Japanese ** sources as saying that the US military and Japan's Self-Defense Forces listed Chinese mainland as an "imaginary enemy" for the first time in the joint command post computer ** exercise "Sharp Blade" launched since 1 February.
What is even more serious is that the assumption of this exercise is that "something happens in Taiwan", which shows that the United States and Japan are already eyeing Taiwan and are ready to plot against it!
Moreover, this ambition of the United States and Japan has become more and more blatant, and they do not even wear the necessary masks. In the past, the U.S. and Japanese military exercises used maps that were slightly different from the actual country and terrain to avoid angering the countries concerned. However, the "Sharp Blade" exercise not only explicitly marked the imaginary enemy country as China, but even used real maps. Although Yoshida Keihide, chief of staff of the Japanese Self-Defense Forces Unified Staff, argued that the "Sharp Blade" exercise did not envisage specific countries and regions, it was no longer possible to conceal the true strategic intentions of the United States and Japan.
However, the White House's China strategy is to both confront and engage. When the United States is unable to meet China's challenge, it can only bend down and hold friendly consultations with China. On February 6, He Lifeng, China's senior in charge of economic and trade affairs, received the American Vice President Chambo and his delegation in Beijing. The Americans are here to participate in the third round of dialogue between the U.S.-China Economic Working Group, and the two sides are prepared to engage in constructive exchanges on several key points of consensus reached by the representatives of the two countries in San Francisco.
This reflects that although many politicians in the United States have been clamoring for decoupling from China, the common interests between the two countries have not only not decreased, but have increased in the context of increasingly fierce competition between China and the United States.
According to data released by China Customs, the amount between China and the United States in 2022 will be as high as 759.4 billion US dollars, although in 2023 this figure will drop to 6,644$5.1 billion, but China is still the most important partner of the United States. In fact, if Chinese goods transiting into the U.S. through ASEAN and Mexico are included, the figure for 2023 is likely to be much larger than in 2022.
At present, China is not only the largest export market for agricultural products of the United States, but also the top three export markets for its 38 states. Moreover, now the initiative of China and the United States has been completely translocated. For China, the United States is reluctant to sell high-tech products to China. China can produce low-end products by itself, so China does not expect to gain much from China and the United States.
However, for the United States, because inflation is still very high, the United States urgently needs high-quality and affordable goods from China. U.S. agricultural products are dispensable for China, because it is entirely possible for China to obtain them from countries such as Brazil, South Africa, and Russia.
That's why Biden said that the United States will not decouple from China. The reality is that decoupling will not be easy for the United States, which simply cannot afford to decouple from China. China's stable chain, huge manufacturing capacity, and reasonable, high-quality goods are the greatest confidence for China to compete with the United States, which makes Americans want to stop.
The funny thing is that even the United States has to bow to China, but Taiwan has recently begun to harden. On February 7, the island's traffic management department announced that it would immediately stop organizing tours to the mainland, although tours from March to May that had already been organized could travel as scheduled.
The reasons given by the Taiwan side are that the mainland has not yet allowed group passengers to travel to Taiwan, and that the recent unilateral adjustment of the M503 route may affect flight safety, but everyone generally believes that this is a retaliation for the mainland's suspension of 12 policies to benefit Taiwan last year.
Recently, in order to alleviate the pressure on cross-strait flight safety, after a long period of research and planning, the mainland decided to open up the M503 route. This provides a more convenient flight path for cross-strait aviation, but what I didn't expect is that it has aroused the worries and ** of the authorities on the island. The fact that the authorities on the island have even stopped organizing tour groups to the mainland on this ground has once again proved that the authorities on the island will not take into account the voices and interests of Taiwan's tourism industry and the people, and that all they want is political calculations and political interests.
The real situation behind this is that the suspension of cross-strait cultural exchanges and the mini three links policy are all preparations for a dialogue with the mainland after Se Qingde is about to take office.
Recently, the so-called countries with diplomatic relations with the authorities on the island have made a counterattack and established diplomatic relations with the mainland, which has made *** and Se Qingde, who is about to come to power, quite embarrassed. According to the current situation, the so-called countries with diplomatic relations with the authorities on the island will soon enter single digits, and there is even a risk of zero.
For this reason, the authorities on the island are very anxious and hope that the United States will exert influence. However, the United States has been in chaos first. Recently, the conflict between the U.S. federal ** and the state of Texas has intensified. Texas Governor Abbott signed a bill criminalizing illegal immigrants crossing the border and erecting barbed wire and fencing along the U.S.-Mexico border to stop the work of the Federal Border Patrol.
And Biden ** will not compromise and has already filed a lawsuit against it. The Supreme Court has now upheld Biden's request to allow the Federal Border Patrol to dismantle Texas' barbed wire. In this way, neither side is willing to retreat, and it is very likely that it will lead to a larger conflict. There are even fears that the United States may be at risk of civil war.
In the face of such a situation, Se Qingde is no longer tough, but has begun to return to his profession and become more pragmatic. In a rare move, he said that the Taiwan side had shown "goodwill" to the mainland, but he did not see a corresponding response from the mainland. Therefore, stopping tour groups to go to the mainland has become a last resort.
This is just the consistent method of *** and Se Qingde. His purpose is to shift the responsibility for the deterioration to the mainland. However, the people on the island can see very clearly, even if Se Qingde wants to play tricks again, no one will believe him!