Annual production planning from the PMC perspective from demand forecasting to implementation NO 297

Mondo Workplace Updated on 2024-02-12

The annual product production plan of the factory is a very important work in the work of PMC, which is to convert the total annual product production volume into a production plan that can be implemented according to the needs of customers and the various resource constraints of the factory.

This plan needs to be executed, and when formulating, it is necessary to consider the material **, capacity load, various lead times and human resources, etc., generally speaking, the preparation of the annual production plan needs to be accurate

The total production volume in the annual plan of the product is ** the demand for the product, so the collection of product demand information is a top priority.

Different factories may require different resources. For MTS inventory production, the future demand is generally based on historical production, sales and inventory data. For example, future demand can be estimated based on the historical sales volume of each product as a percentage of total sales. For MTO order-based production, the marketing department needs to determine the demand for the product with the expected demand from the customer.

Common Needs**:

Market demand: This is the most common demand**. Through market research, analysis of market trends, competitor analysis, etc., it is possible to understand the market demand for products.

Customer needs: Requests that come directly from customers are also important**. Communication with customers, collecting customer feedback, understanding customers' purchase intentions and preferences, etc., can better meet the needs of customers.

Sales data: Analyze the past sales data, observe the sales volume, sales growth rate, regional sales differences, etc., and find the demand rules and trends of products.

Industry development: Pay attention to the development dynamics of the industry, including policies and regulations, technological innovation, market changes, etc., which may have an impact on product demand.

Internal planning: The factory's own development strategy, production capacity, resource planning, etc. will also have an impact on product demand.

Alternatives and complements: Understand the situation of alternatives and complements for a product and their impact on the demand for the product.

Macroeconomic environment: Macroeconomic factors such as economic growth, inflation, and interest rate changes may also have a certain impact on product demand.

After the total annual production is preliminarily determined through the demand for the product, it cannot be directly transferred to the production plan. What also needs to be considered is the balance between demand and factory resources, adjust according to the actual situation, and organize and prepare a draft annual product production plan. For example, in the following directions:

Capacity and load analysis: Factories need to evaluate their own production capacity, including equipment, manpower, raw materials, etc., to ensure that they can meet the expected product demand. At the same time, it is also necessary to analyze the production load, i.e. whether the production capacity of the factory can meet the product demand at different time periods.

Product structure document: The factory needs to develop the product structure document, clarifying the parts, raw materials, and the proportion of self-made and purchased parts required for each product. This helps the plant determine the bill of materials (BOM) required for production and provides a basis for subsequent procurement and production planning.

Parts inventory documentation: Factories need to understand the inventory of existing parts and raw materials, including inventory levels, consumption rates, etc., to develop a reasonable inventory strategy. This helps to avoid inventory overstock and waste, while ensuring that materials are in the production process**.

Production planning and procurement planning: Based on product demand, capacity and load analysis, as well as product structure documents, factories need to develop detailed production plans and procurement plans. The production plan should include information such as the production quantity, production time, and production location of each product; The procurement plan should include the required parts and raw materials to purchase quantity, procurement time, business and other information.

Quality control and safety management: Factories need to develop strict quality control measures to ensure that the quality of products in the production process meets standards and customer requirements. At the same time, it is also necessary to strengthen safety management to ensure the safety of equipment and personnel in the production process.

After the above comprehensive consideration in various directions, the draft annual production plan prepared by the factory, because it involves the sales, production, research and development, first chain, technology, human resources and other departments of the factory, so it is necessary to hold the annual production plan scheduling meeting of the whole plant to determine the annual plan.

At the meeting, each department shared relevant data and information according to the annual production plan, such as production progress, quality status, equipment operation, etc. Discuss and evaluate the goals and indicators of the annual production plan, including output, quality, cost, etc. and analyze resource needs, such as manpower, equipment, raw materials, etc., and how to rationally allocate and utilize these resources.

Adequate communication and coordination between various departments to resolve existing conflicts and problems. Based on the results of the discussions, after the formal annual production plan has been determined, a specific action plan and responsible persons need to be worked out. Clarify completion times and follow-up measures to ensure effective execution of the plan.

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