After the Spring Festival holiday, the market will open for trading today, which is expected to usher in a good start to the Year of the Dragon. During the closure of A-shares due to the Spring Festival holiday, it is **common** in the world, especially in the Asia-Pacific market. This is expected to have a positive effect on the start of the A-share Year of the Dragon and continue to stimulate the fierce performance before the holiday.
From the point of view, it is also biased in this direction, and a number of consumption data during the holiday period are eye-catching, which is also a good promotion effect. However, in terms of objective structure research, it is still difficult for us to get rid of objective contradictions, and we still think that we will face great upward resistance and inevitable technical predictions.
According to the pre-holiday analysis and deduction, after the holiday, there is still no ability to change the medium- and long-term technical downward trend, and the index will maintain the current regional horizontal fluctuations, it will take more than 2 weeks to reconcile the medium-term technical relationship, before that, the probability will be shaken.
Considering that the 120-day cycle is a technical relationship that cannot be reversed in the short term, we still maintain the original judgment, and will face medium and long-term technical fetters after the holiday. Moreover, in order to give full play to the advantages of the short-term structure, it is also necessary to smooth out the orderly arrangement of multiple cycles, otherwise it will also be repeatedly ups and downs.
All of these circumstances make it difficult for us to continue to advance and elevate our technical relationships. But there is no need to be afraid of turbulence, the strong effect generated before the Spring Festival has brought a positive effect, and it has a positive effect on the smooth development of the post-holiday period and the continuous optimization and improvement of technical relations.
Before the foundation obtained before the festival is significantly destroyed, we should maintain the development logic of bottom expansion and horizontal bottom expansion, and actively look at the development momentum of the bottom breakthrough breakthrough. In this way, we will maintain the development relationship of the first trend and the first one to the second.
In terms of investment selection, we should continue to pay attention to the growth route of high-quality blue-chip and technology, especially when the economic problems are still confusing, and pay more attention to the long-term value of low-valuation high-quality enterprises, and actively avoid garbage. Strategically, the beginning of the Year of the Dragon is expected to usher in a good start, but the technical pattern is still contradictory, you can take this opportunity to adjust the first structure, do not blindly chase the rise and chase the high, in order to wait for the low layout, grasp the swing trading opportunities, and grasp the initiative in operation.
Specific to the selection and operation of the first class, we must always understand that we should not be in the company of falling stocks, do not take junk stocks, do not play with themes, do not play with concepts, do not listen to news, do not fantasize, and follow the principle of "weekly line-based, only quantity is asking, four conditions, trend is king, eliminating the weak and keeping the strong, and returning to zero every day" to examine and actively respond to the changes and development of the market.
*There are risks and investment should be cautious.
Disclaimer: The content of the article is purely personal views and theoretical arguments, and is only for your reference and should not constitute investment advice; **The analysis description is not a recommendation, a review, or a recommended operation, and investors should make their own judgment at their own risk. ）