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In the big game of international politics, every country is making careful calculations for its own interests. Recently, India's move has been really eye-catching, and perhaps a little embarrassing, this time their opponent is China.
However, the intentions and possible consequences behind this matter, we have to talk about it.
India intercepts Chinese ships.
Looking at this news, I can't help but ask: is India in a hurry to make headlines, or does it really think that it has become an international policeman?
On March 3, Indian security agencies stopped a ship bound for Pakistan from China at the port of Navasheva in Mumbai, and then said in all seriousness that it had seized "dual-use" cargo.
This sounds quite shocking, but dig deeper, and you will find that the story behind this is more tortuous than the TV series.
Let's take a look at what exactly this so-called "dual-use" cargo is.
Pakistan says it's nothing more than a commercial lathe. Ah, yes, you heard it right, it's the kind of equipment that is used to process metal in machining. Does this have anything to do with "dual-use"?
It is estimated that even the lathe is about to cry, but I didn't expect that my ordinary life was suddenly given such a big mission by India.
The Indian side has been emphasizing that this CNC machine will be used by Pakistan to make missiles. But if you think about it a little, it's outrageous.
The Indian media themselves have said that the "Pakistan Space Engineering Company" is the recipient of this goods, and they make metal and automobile parts, which are far from missiles.
You say, does this logic match?
In addition, the so-called "heat treatment furnace shell system" that was investigated is said to be produced by a private company in China.
This thing, to put it bluntly, is part of an industrial furnace, and it is not half a star away from military supplies.
China's merchant ships and cargo owners did not hide from the Indian side, and they all reported it clearly in advance.
This makes me wonder, is India feeling too good about itself?
I regard myself as the gatekeeper of the world, and I have to go up to "check the water meter" when I see anyone who is not pleasing to the eye. Is this self-styled international police role really bought?
Seeing this, you may ask, why is this in India? Is it just to show your face internationally and show that you have a strong presence? Or is there a deeper consideration behind this?
For example, do you want to take this opportunity to create some trouble for China and Pakistan, after all, these two neighbors are not so harmonious with India?
China and Pakistan responded calmly.
Speaking of this, it really makes people laugh and cry. India's trick is like a climactic scene in a movie, but in reality, it seems a bit of a farce.
The reaction of China and Pakistan was quite calm, which added a bit of absurdity to the play.
Pakistan's response is simply a model of rationality. To be clear, they just bought a lathe to supply parts to Pakistan's automotive industry.
This thing, the specifications are written to be purely commercial, you say that we are sharpening our knives and going to the missile?
This logic, compared to the fairy tales I listened to when I was a child, is weak.
Then look at China's side, the emphasis is on the image of a responsible country and strict compliance with international non-proliferation obligations.
This kind of great country demeanor, to be honest, is quite admirable. It's like the kind of neighbor who has been misunderstood in the community, but can still maintain his demeanor and explain with a smile.
But you say, if there are really any "dual-use" goods, why do the good buddies of China and Pakistan have to take the road of India?
Isn't that the sentence, knowing that there are tigers in the mountains, and preferring to go to the tiger mountains, neither of them is stupid, so why do you have to ask for trouble?
Let's talk about India, not to mention adding drama to myself, but also acting quite devotedly. No, if the boat is arrested, it will have to be investigated for half a day. If this is in India, India naturally has the right to find out.
But the problem is that this ship is going to Pakistan at all, this operation, just like the express delivery at your doorstep, was stopped by the old king next door, the reason is that you are afraid that you will buy a blade and hurt yourself.
Judging from India's consistent style of doing things, this seems to be more than simple. This is obviously prepared, and the purpose is to set off some waves between China and India.
We are not professional detectives, but the political purpose behind this is not difficult to guess.
According to the efficiency of the Indian military, the ship is estimated to be berthed for half a year or more. In the end, India may come to say, "Ah, I checked, I found nothing, so let's go." "Then who will pay for the losses in the middle?
It's not just a loss of time, it's more likely to be liquidated damages due to delivery delays, and a host of other ripple effects.
Modi was embarrassed this time.
Modi's actions this time, many people are speculating about what is the real intention behind it?
Some people say that this may have something to do with India's **.
Think about it, on the eve of **, such a big move is not just to increase your popularity and improve your international image.
However, the price behind this seems to have not been carefully calculated by Modi.
This interception, which seems to be righteous and said to be for the sake of ***, may actually bring a lot of trouble to India itself.
In the arena of international politics, every move must be made with caution.
For the sake of temporary pride today, you may have planted the root cause of the back, and no one can say whether Modi's little abacus can really bring him the desired effect.
Modi's trick is simply a double-edged sword of nationalism. If you use it well, you can really add points to yourself; If you don't use it well, it's to shoot yourself in the foot.
Last year's series of "harassment" of foreign companies, ostensibly to protect the domestic market, may actually have damaged India's own image.
In the face of such behavior by India, China and Pakistan will naturally not sit idly by. The first step may be to go through diplomatic channels and appeal to the international community to show everyone what is going on in India.
At the same time, economic and strategic cooperation between China and Pakistan may also reach a higher level, after all, unity is the best strategy in the face of common "troubles".
In the final analysis, India's idea of using China as a tool is simply self-deception. What strategic advantage do you think you can get in the short term and suppress China's development?
This is simply a fool's dream, which will not only fail to solve the problem, but will further deepen the contradictions between China and India and enter a vicious circle.
My personal advice is simple: it is better for India to release the seized ships as soon as possible and stop playing with fire.
In the face of problems, calmness and pragmatism are the right way.
Only in this way can we truly protect the dignity of the country, promote peace and stability in the region, and ultimately, this is also a responsible attitude towards the Indian people.
After all, in this world, peaceful coexistence and mutual benefit are the last word. I hope India can understand this truth and stop asking for trouble.