Introduction: In the context of the outbreak of the global epidemic, the economic development of countries around the world has been severely impacted, with frequent frictions and the rise of protectionism, and the development of global integration has been greatly hindered.
In order to strengthen the economic cooperation between China and ASEAN countries, the strategic concept of "21st Century Maritime Silk Road" was proposed, which can help China solve the problem of overproduction through the convenient location of ASEAN shipping hub, and at the same time promote economic and trade exchanges between China and neighboring countries, and further deepen the friendly and cooperative relations between China and ASEAN region.
With the deepening of the embeddedness of countries in the Asia-Pacific region in the international division of labor, developing countries represented by China and ASEAN are also further integrating into the global production network. In the context of the rapid rise of developing economies, the need of countries in the Asia-Pacific region to enhance their economic strength and cope with the uncertainty of world economic development has promoted the development of regional economic integration.
After 8 years of arduous negotiations, the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership Agreement was officially signed on November 15, 2020, in which the mutual opening of market access, the simplification of customs clearance procedures in the process of customs clearance and the mutual tariff concessions of member countries in the agreement have greatly reduced the cost of member countries in the region, promoted the process of integration, and promoted the growth of investment in RCEP member countries.
However, in the context of the signing of the "Belt and Road" and RCEP, China and ASEAN countries are also facing a series of challenges. Independent enterprises have a greater motivation to export but are difficult to expand overseas due to the limitation of technical level and lack of management experience, while joint venture automobile enterprises with higher technology level and more advanced management experience lack the motivation to expand overseas markets because they have a large market share in the domestic automobile market.
At the same time, due to the backwardness of independent brand building, the popularity and credibility of China's independent auto brands in the ASEAN region are much lower than those of other auto brands. Due to the different levels of economic development, there are huge differences in the automobile markets of ASEAN countries, which increases the uncertainty of China's auto products exported to the ASEAN region. In addition, the lack of experience in overseas operation and management, as well as the high political risk in some parts of ASEAN countries, have further exacerbated the resistance to the export of Chinese auto products to the ASEAN region.
The automobile industry is of great significance to the national economy, is its pillar and strategic industry, at the same time, the development level often represents a country's industrial technology level. In recent decades, China's automobile industry has continuously learned foreign advanced technology and management experience, which has made great progress in China's leading level.
According to the statistics of the United Nations Commodity** Database, China's exports of vehicles and parts and accessories (except railway and tramway vehicles) increased from US$39.2 billion in 2008 to US$120 billion in 2021, with a cumulative increase of 3061%。Reflecting the trend of China's automobile product export scale, and China became the world's largest automobile production and sales country in 2009 with a huge market and abundant labor force.
Although China has become the world's largest automobile producer, compared with Germany, Japan and other powerful countries, there are still many problems in the development of China, such as the lack of technology and the backwardness of independent brand building, which greatly weakens the competitiveness of China's auto products in the international market.
Therefore, if Chinese auto companies seize the new opportunities brought about by the "Belt and Road" and actively integrate into the ASEAN auto market by using other relevant rules such as cargo rules, service rules and investment rules in the RCEP, it will bring new growth momentum to the development of the automotive industry.
Therefore, how to seize the new opportunities and challenges brought about by the "Belt and Road" and the "Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership", in the context of the rapid development of China's advanced technology and the increasing demand of the ASEAN consumer market, the research between the development of automotive technology and exports to ASEAN is of great practical significance.
From the perspective of the technical complexity of the automobile industry, the technical complexity is included in the analysis of the influencing factors of China's automobile exports to ASEAN countries, and the theoretical scope of the analysis of the influencing factors of automobile exports is broadened. From the perspective of existing relevant studies at home and abroad, the background of technical complexity is rarely integrated into the research on the influencing factors of automobile exports.
This paper comprehensively examines the correlation between the technical complexity of China's automobile industry and exports, so as to supplement this part of the theory, so as to enrich the relevant research on the technical complexity of China's automobile industry and the influencing factors of exports. Secondly, there are not many studies on the relationship between China and ASEAN countries, among which there is no research on the automotive products between China and ASEAN countries from the perspective of technical complexity, and this perspective is very novel in the context of the signing of RCEP.
Therefore, in the context of the deteriorating foreign trade environment restricting China's export capacity, we will find an alternative market for China's automobile industry, and take the ten ASEAN countries as the research object, and plan to use technical complexity as the core explanatory variable to conduct in-depth research on the automobile industry in China and the ten ASEAN countries. It not only provides theoretical support for the feasibility of selecting the ten ASEAN countries as China's automobile export market, but also enriches the research on automobile exports.
The core technology of traditional automobiles has been monopolized by developed countries such as Europe, America, Japan and South Korea, and compared with these countries, China's automobile industry is in a weak position. Despite this, with the strong support of China, China has achieved very rapid development, and its market share is also increasing. At the same time, with the deterioration of the foreign trade environment, the world's urgent demand for new energy has promoted the technological reform of traditional automobiles, and promoted new changes in the world competition pattern of the automobile industry.
At this critical juncture, China's automobile industry has made new breakthroughs in the field of new energy technology, and it is particularly important to explore the influencing factors of automobile exports from the perspective of technical complexity. By citing the technical complexity index, this paper analyzes the impact of China's automobile production complexity on China's automobile exports to the ten ASEAN countries, and analyzes what factors will lead to these differences from the perspective of the ASEAN countries' markets, and how these factors will affect China's automobile industry.
Based on this, this paper analyzes the factors affecting the export of China's automobile industry to ASEAN countries from the perspective of the complexity of China's automobile industry, combined with other control variables, and provides suggestions for the export and industrial upgrading of China's automobile industry from the perspective of optimizing the export market according to the analysis results.
At the same time, ASEAN countries are important economic and trade partners for China. Moreover, the ASEAN countries have a high population density, the economies of the countries in the region are developing steadily, the per capita income level is rising, and the per capita car ownership is low, and the ASEAN automobile market has great potential for development.
At the same time, some factors such as the similar historical and cultural traditions between China and ASEAN, the deepening friendly and cooperative relations between the two countries, and the convenient geographical location between the two sides have further increased the development advantages of Chinese auto companies in the ASEAN market. However, as the competition in the automobile market becomes more and more fierce, and with the increase in the number of automobile companies entering ASEAN countries, the development of Chinese automobile companies in the ASEAN region will also face greater pressure in the future.
The analysis of the market development of China's automobile industry in ASEAN, on the one hand, can more clearly understand the internal logic of the changes in China's automobile technology content and the export of automobile products, which will help the first department to formulate more targeted policies for the development of the automobile industry in the critical period of automobile industry transformation. On the other hand, it is of great significance to study the relationship between the technological content and exports of China's automobile industry to improve the technological advantages of China's automobile industry and get rid of the technical dilemma. **10,000 Fans Incentive Plan