1. Review of views: Last week, it was pointed out that this week's adjustment is inevitable, but it should be a strong adjustment, or a first-class adjustment. However, the actual situation is stronger than I expected, from the time point of view, only Monday and Wednesday adjusted for two days, but the next day is immediately recovered, if Tuesday's recovery, has not exceeded expectations too much, then Thursday's strong recovery, is greatly beyond my expectations. I thought that at most I would collect a small yang, and it was even possible to continue to collect yin, but it turned out that the big yang pulled back. But it is precisely because it is unusually strong, so Friday's morning review pointed out that the adjustment caused by the potential reversal point is likely to be over, and the remaining days are still upward, and the next point in time will become a high. On the one hand, our weekly review last week pointed out that there may be a ** adjustment, and on the other hand, we pointed out that the medium-term operation continues to be dominated by shares, which is also in line with the actual trend of **. In short, this week's trend, from the perspective of the medium term, is completely normal, but the time structure is much more than expected, which also shows from another perspective that the current **level is definitely not small.
*Aspects, especially **relay stocks, because except for Wednesday, the relay sentiment has always been relatively high, so the front row ** top word at every turn, there are not many opportunities to buy low even the board, and because the index is a day ICU, a day KTV, which makes part of the ** operation is also very difficult. Compared with the overall market performance, this week's stock picking, I personally think it is still passable.
Monday: Three shares were elected, Zhongnan shares on the main board, Yahua Electronics on the Growth Enterprise Market and Jike shares on the Beijing Stock Exchange. As a result, because of the large decline in the main board, the central south of the main board ate a medium face. However, the Yahua 20cm limit on the Growth Enterprise Market and the mechanical technology shares of the Beijing Stock Exchange rose by 22 points, and the performance was still very good.
Tuesday: Because the bidding sentiment is not high, only one Beijing Stock Exchange ** Haidar was selected, and the stock rose to a limit of 30cm on the same day, and the highest on the next day rushed to 24 points. Sunsea Intelligence, which was supplemented with a main board in the intraday, also successfully rose to the limit, and also hit the daily limit the next day. It can be said that the stock pick of the day was the most successful. The bidding only selects one Beijing Stock Exchange**, without any selection problems, and can guarantee the transaction, with a maximum increase of 50% in two days.
Wednesday: Three were mainly selected, Claus and Tianyong Intelligent on the main board, and Huayan Precision Machinery on the GEM. The first one eats noodles, and the second one has a daily limit on the same day, but the next day it walks out of the ground and sky, and it is a little difficult to hold. But I won't lose anything. Even if you go at a loss, it is not a bad operation, not a bad stock selection. The third Huayan Precision Machinery is tenacious in the *** 20cm limit, although it did not go well the next day, but it is no problem to eat some small meat. However, the fourth branch is deliberately placed behind the gem **Ruineng Technology, the old people must know that this must be observation-based, and it is also particularly emphasized that this can not be directly on. Because of the multiple one-word boards in the front, the performance of such stocks is not particularly good, or very poor, and the opening of the time-sharing is urgent, and there is definitely no buying point, but even if it is bought at a low level, and if you can stick to it, there is not necessarily no opportunity to make money, because the price limit is up again on Friday. Considering that there are only more than 200 in the three cities on Wednesday, our first three large and small numbers have a daily limit, and only one is a noodle, which is also very good.
Thursday: On this day, no large ** was selected, and three small high ones were selected, namely Tianyuan Intelligence, Standard Shares and Beijing Shares, and the last one was Lanke High-tech, which has broad long legs. The first one is up and down on the same day, the next day is connected to the board, the third one is up on the same day, and the next day there is a chance to go on the board, and the last one is open and closes up two points, and the next day gives the opportunity to earn more than ten points. But I never imagined that the standard shares that were the first to rise on the day were blocked the next day after the limit was smashed, and they couldn't get out, and they had to be withdrawn on Monday, which really had no way. Overall, looking at the success of three of the four stocks, it is not too bad.
Friday: On Friday's main board stocks, only one Gauss Bell was selected and successfully rose to the limit, but the GEM ** selection was unsuccessful. Because the time spent on the main board is a bit much, the gem ** is a little rushed, so the most should be selected Siquan new materials but not selected, and the selected two Teng Seiko and Guanghong Technology are the day before the limit, generally speaking, I never choose stocks like this, if the gem chooses two, there must be at least one of the Bo Shou board. And Siquan is the only bidder who meets the conditions of the first board of the Boda**. So, Friday's GEM stock pick made me very chagrined.
The general environment has been choppy this week, but stock picks during the sharp decline on Monday and Wednesday were good. This week's particularly successful place is the large **, Monday's Yahua 20cm, Tuesday's Haidar 30cm, and Wednesday's Huayan is 20cm. I didn't choose it on Thursday, and I almost didn't pick it right on Friday. So the individual is generally satisfied.
*Research and judgment: 1. Monthly: From the **form, after the low point of 2635 points in February, the central time point of the monthly line appeared in February, **out of the yang and yin, and this **combination is likely to show that the middle line has bottomed out. And it is now recovering the trend line formed by connecting the three important lows of 998, 1849 and 2440. So it is very promising to get out of a period of monthly level ***. The ** expectation I gave earlier of at least half a year and at most two years is still valid.
2. The time point given before the weekly line is around the Spring Festival, and at present, it is expected to rise to the next weekly time point, and the next time point is in early April. Therefore, our expectation is that before the beginning of April, it should be mainly up, but because the current weekly and monthly lines are still in the bearish range, it is inevitable that there will be a short-term adjustment in the middle, but for medium and long-term operations, most of such small adjustments should be ignored.
3. Daily line: The time structure of the daily line out of the super structure, the first is the short cycle time point after the holiday on February 19, and there is no trace left, although there is a long holiday and the influence of various favorable factors, but such a strong way to go, it has not been seen for many years. And this week, in a short cycle with the most frequent reversals, the potential reversal point and the daily high-nine resonance have not been able to adjust on a larger scale, and the space-time structure is also very rare. This is also one of the characteristics of the larger level**.
Judging from the current trend, from February 19 to the next point in time, this is the longest short cycle, because the ** of Thursday and Friday of this week, finally out of the rules**, and did not form a reversal, then the next point in time will definitely be treated as a high. Spatially, the range of 3027 to 3062 is an important resistance range. This is the most important space-time resistance level that can be seen so far, so there is a high probability that there will still be a correction. On the contrary, if this can be crossed again, it means that the upward momentum is too strong, so from the perspective of time, there will be no too important time resistance in the near future, and it is possible to continue the trend of a flat river. But if you go like this, it will be very abnormal.
Third, about the operation: the middle line or to holdings, if there is a ** next week, pay attention to the dip to make up **, at present** is heavier, pay attention to part of the high selling, and then low absorption backfill. In case there are signs of crossing again in the next week, the part of the previous position reduction would rather chase higher than buy back, otherwise it is very easy to go short.
*In terms of relay, you can only go with the market, and if there is no confirmation of bidding, the accuracy of any analysis will not be too high. In addition, even if you find a strong stock, if it is a word or a high opening point, it is meaningless, because then the vast majority of people will not be able to get on the car. Our ideal ** is like Friday's Gauss Bell, open two or three points higher, and then be able to rise and fall strongly**, bid two points high to place an order, and give the deal to lie down to win. Like this Friday, Thursday's board stocks continue to be promoted on Friday, almost all of them are opened on the top board, so although the promotion rate is relatively high, but it is meaningless, just a feast for holders, it is very difficult to select good stocks that can buy cars at a low price, and it also requires a certain amount of luck. Because there are not many high openings, it is generally not as strong as the high opening more powerful and front rows, which belongs to the big one in the sting, and it needs to be weak to strong in the intraday. In addition, after the opening, there must be a momentum to continue to impulse, rather than exhausting the kinetic energy at the time of bidding, which requires the cooperation of many factors. Compared with the selection of strong leading stocks, I don't know how much more difficult it is.
In the first half of next week, the relay operation should still be less of a problem, but with my expectation, the second half of the week may be a little more careful. Of course, the worst does not mean that you will not be able to choose good stocks, but the success rate will be reduced, and the consequences of choosing the wrong one will be more serious. Overall, as long as the index is in a large cycle, even if the index appears, the relay is completely operable, such an adjustment, and the main decline in the bear market, although the index is down, but the operation strategy should be completely different. Generally speaking, in the index trend, regardless of whether the index rises or falls on the day, the relay can be operated, but it is just a matter of buying more and buying less. Everyone must know this in their hearts.