The Chinese population is expected to experience negative growth in 2028, peaking at 144.2 billion, how authentic?
In recent years, China's population issue has attracted widespread attention. One prediction has sparked a huge debate: China's population will reach 1424 million by 2030. Is this prophecy correct? What are the impacts and challenges of this event for China? Let's take a look together.
Let's look at the source of this prophecy. This conclusion follows the publication of the World Population Prospects report. This report is a major annual report, which is part of the United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs (DESA) and provides a snapshot of the world's population, based on the country's demographic data and development direction.
It should be noted, though, that population forecasting is not a strict science. Fertility policy, economic development, social and cultural and many other uncertainties work together. Therefore, all population forecasts should be seen as a possibility, not as a complete reality.
To get back to the point, what if China's population growth is negative by 2030?
At the same time, China is also facing the negative effects of population decline. In recent decades, China has had a huge demographic advantage, which is a powerful engine for its development. When labor supply is insufficient, companies will face hiring challenges, which in turn will reduce the performance and creativity of the company. In addition, China's demographic structure is also changing, which will bring a greater burden to China's pension insurance system.
On the other hand, a reduced population would also be beneficial. For example, it relieves the pressure of residents, which is beneficial to improving the quality of the environment; Changes in the supply and demand conditions of the labor market play an important role in promoting scientific and technological progress and the optimization of the industrial structure.
This effect is not always necessary, but depends on the measures taken by countries** in the face of the problems caused by demographic change. For example, strengthening academic qualifications and technical training can promote the supply and supply of human resources; Only by establishing a sound social security system can we effectively alleviate the various problems faced by the elderly population.
We must point out that although China is currently in a state of negative growth, it still has a huge foundation. Although China's population growth has slowed, it still has one of the highest numbers in the world. As a result, China still has a significant position in the world, and there is also a huge consumer demand. In the face of potential population decline, how should we think about and meet such challenges?