Since 2019, ** at 244091 points entered a slow upward trend, and in three years, the Shanghai Composite Index has risen by nearly 1,300 points.
By February 2024, there was a large increase, and the starting point of the Shanghai Composite Index was exactly the lowest level in 2019.
The historical trend is so consistent, if this year's ** can continue to be stimulated by the positive, can the Shanghai Composite Index repeat the rally in 2019?
The good news is here again
Good 1: After this year, 10 institutional investors have summarized the analysis of the trend behind the **, some institutional investors believe that after the winter, the spring is still there, indicating that the ** is already the bottom of the transaction, and this short cycle is expected to continue.
Other institutional investors believe that the style change remains stable, and the probability of upside is high. It is believed that there is a good chance that northbound funds will continue to buy in March, and the CSI A50 will end its issuance, and it will start to build positions later.
In addition, institutional investors also generally expect that value will be on the stage, growth will be great, and pro-cyclical will prevail, but medium-term high prosperity will prevail. As long as the sentiment of A-shares is still heating up, the upward trend will continue.
Peony believes that institutional investors are generally bullish on the trend. The reason for this is that the fluctuations of the three major stock indexes are very healthy, and the Shanghai Index and the Growth Enterprise Market are in the first and second world, so that the turnover has increased.
If it is in 2023, the Shanghai Index will be alone, the GEM will not be able to sing and follow, and A-shares will also return to the situation of killing and falling.
It is gratifying that in February this year, the turnover surged by more than 3 trillion yuan, and even the board stocks also appeared more than 10 stocks with more than 10 boards, and the overall environment has changed greatly compared with 2023.
All the summaries of the organization summarize the short cycle**, if there is**, it will not end immediately**.
Good 2: The first private placement of insurance capital is coming, and the two insurance companies listed on the A-share market will each invest 25 billion yuan, a total of 50 billion yuan, which will be invested in high-quality listed companies.
It is certain that if 50 billion funds are invested in high-quality listed companies, it will allow the large-capitalization sector to continue to maintain the leading trend.
The reason for this is that insurers will choose companies with good liquidity, large market capitalization and high market influence, so it seems that high-quality companies with core assets will attract capital participation.
The good news of peony analysis funds will support the stock prices of large-capitalization listed companies.
If the large-capitalization sector continues to rise in the near future, no matter whether 3000 points will start a big rise or a short-term cycle, the environment will still be a small fall and a big opportunity, and the trend of big fall and big rise will not change.
** Likely to go through another 22-year history
News 1 is that institutions are actively bullish, which may accelerate the participation of institutional investors' funds, and the three major stock indexes will rise sharply under the increase of medium and long-term funds.
News 2 is the advent of 50 billion insurance capital, and the beginning of investment in high-quality listed companies is good news for core assets, which will amplify the trend of large-capitalization sectors, and the Shanghai Index will have a new high.
Peony predicts that ** is likely to go through another 22-year history. If you talk about a big bull market in the back of A-shares, how high will it be this time, and it's a bit far to talk about it now.
From a recent point of view, we can talk about the current ** that began to rise sharply, you can first copy the ** of October 22, which rose by 600 points first, and then analyze whether it will replicate the bull market trend in 2019.
The article is a peony investment idea, the content is for reference only, does not constitute investment advice, thank you for lighting up the little thumb below!