Want to understand the policies of the three rural areas, interpret the new regulations of the three rural areas, get the latest information on the three rural areas, listen to the rural stories, and know the latest benefits of farmers for the first time? Hurry up and click above to follow!Editor's note:March got off to a good start, which made many pig farmers feel warm. With the blessing of the release of the news of the round storage, the higher disk level, the entry of Eryu, pork stocks and the latest data of the Ministry of Rural Affairs, pig prices are unstoppable during this time. At present, 3 million pigs have disappeared, and the shortage of pigs is a foregone conclusion? The pig bonus has been opened again? Will pig prices go all the way up in March?
According to the latest data recently released by the Ministry of Rural Affairs, in January 2024, the number of fertile sows in China will be 40.67 million, which is the first time in the past three years that the number of fertile sows in China has broken away from the regulatory range of 41 million.
I still remember that in 18 years, an African swine fever turned the pig industry upside down, and the scale of pig farms were not spared, and it was precisely because of the epidemic that there was an extreme shortage of pigs in my country, and pigs in 19, 20, and 21 years were flying in the sky. Later, the Ministry of Rural Affairs set a target of 41 million sows that can reproduce, so as to prevent a phased surge in the future.
And now, when pig farmers continue to lose money and the bottom of the pig cycle is lengthened, the number of sows that can reproduce is decreasing, but it gives pig farmers a reassurance. In a single month, the number of fertile sows decreased by 750,000, a decrease of 3 million compared to last year.
In 2021, the highest number of fertile sows was 45.64 million in June, and the lowest was 42.07 million in January;
In 2022, the highest number of fertile sows was 43.9 million in December, and the lowest point was 41.77 million in April;
In 2023, the highest number of fertile sows will be 43.67 million in January, and the lowest point will be 41.42 million in December;
At the beginning of spring this year, the number of fertile sows fell below the lowest number in three years. So, who exactly was taken to give birth? Judging from the data obtained so far, the number of fertile sows of large-scale players has declined, and small and medium-sized ***。The top bosses in the country, Mu, Wen and others can breed sows, and they do not decline but increase.
The pattern of pig shortage has been opened, so can pig prices rise sharply in March?
Judging from the current piglets, the number of piglets in the country began to decline in October last year, which means that the number of pigs in March will be further reduced.
On the demand side, as soon as the Spring Festival passed in February, pig slaughtering also entered a flat period, with average sales of white strips and weak market performance.
It cannot be ignored that the recent piglets have quietly increased, and there is talk about the purchase of piglets is also in full swing.
An African swine fever has changed the pattern of pigs, and the pig cycle is not accurate.
According to the news of the breeding boss, last year, Wen's comprehensive breeding cost was about 83-8.4 yuan catty, down 03 yuan, at the same time, Wen said that this year's breeding cost will be reduced to 7 under the condition that the dead raw materials remain unchanged5-7.8 yuan catty.
Xin also said that this year's breeding and fattening costs will be fully entered within 15 yuan per kilogram. Some pig farmers said that the price of pigs is less than 75 per catty, isn't the breeding boss also losing money to raise pigs? Why are they still insisting on not taking the initiative to give birth?
This is mainly because most of the breeding bigwigs are not relying on the breeding project to support the flow of funds, and more breeding bigwigs have been able to do the industrial chain from pig breeding to sow production, piglet fattening, pork segmentation, and deep processing of pork products. And there are a lot of subsidies that can be obtained by breeding bigwigs every year. Once they take the initiative to give birth, it represents the risk of being swallowed up by other bigwigs. So, what do you think of today's pigs? Let's talk.
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