The normal index of A-shares in 2024 should be above 10,000 points!
Compared with the same currency issuance, compared with the total GDP of the same period, and compared with the same period of the world's **
The normal index of A-shares in 2024 should be above 10,000 points
1. Compared with the same currency issuance, the Shanghai Composite Index should be 1132544 points!
In 2008, broad money (M2) was only 47 trillion, but by the end of December 2023, the balance of broad money (M2) soared to 29227 trillion yuan, a sharp increase of 245 in 16 years270,000, an increase of 622 times.
In 2008, the index was 182081 points, if *** keeps up with the growth of the currency, the index should be 1132544 points!
In 2013, our M2 came to the first 100 trillion, and it took us 15 years to go from 10 trillion to 100 trillion. In 2020, M2 is two hundred billion, and it took us seven years to do so. In the first quarter of 2024, if nothing else, it will exceed 300 trillion yuan, and we are about to witness the 300 trillion mark. And this 100 trillion we only spent 4 years.
It is the history of the over-issuance of a magnificent RMB.
But why do we still see no investment and no consumption now? Where the hell does the money go?
Increase this by 24527 trillion funds are gone, assets should skyrocket, and everyone should have money.
But the reality is that everyone has no money, everyone is in debt, the real estate is thundering, the first is sluggish, consumption is downgraded, and low-cost consumption is dug up.
You say that this huge amount of currency issuance has gone to **?
Who is taking up such a huge amount of money? In the end, all these funds have gone to **?
2. Compared with the total GDP in the same period, the Shanghai Composite Index should be 2859908 o'clock!
Now 16 years have passed, and China's GDP has increased from 27 in 200701 trillion yuan, growing to 126 in 20230582 trillion yuan, GDP soared by 467 times.
On October 16, 2007, **6124 points, if the magnitude of *** keeps up with the GDP growth rate in the same period, the index should be 2859908 o'clock!
A-shares have been around for 16 years, owing hundreds of millions of investors a big bull market.
The Shanghai Composite Index has been hovering at 3,000 points for more than 3 years, more than 8 years, more than 12 years, more than 14 years, and what is even more interesting is that it has been not moving at 3,000 points for more than 16 years.
In the past 16 years, 50 3,000-point defense battles have been carried out, but the 50th 3,000-point defense still ended in failure, and the 3,000-point ** stock market crash continued.
3. Compared with the same period in the world, the Shanghai Composite Index should be conservative at 3641620 o'clock!
From 2009 to 2023, the world will be the same, **different, **two heavens.
According to the world's lowest 20 times increase, the A-share index should also be at 3641620 o'clock!
1. The German DAX index reached a maximum of 17,003 on December 14, 2023At 28 points, Germany** hit a 36-year all-time high, and the benchmark point was 1,000 points, 17 times that of 36 years**.
2. India** rose by 2 on December 4, 202305%, closed 68865At 12 o'clock, it rose 1383 in one day93 points (only 3,000 points for all A-share indexes), more than 5,700 points in a month! The SenseX and NIFTY 50 indices are both **21%, a record high, and the Indian stock index is also an A-share index of 297223 times 30 points.
India** has recently hit a record high every day, soaring from 549 points at the starting point in 1986 to 71,602 on December 15, 202396 points, up 7105396 points, 37 years**130 times.
3. The United States** hit a new all-time high on December 15, 2023, and the Dow Jones starting index from 40 in 188494 points, skyrocketing to 3728750 points, up 3724656 points, 139 years **911 times.
Other countries** are roughly the same, except for Hong Kong stocks and A-shares, which have come out of the financial crisis in 2009 and have walked out of a magnificent and epic super long bull market.
According to the average growth of the above three data over the same period, the Shanghai Composite Index should be 2544691 points.
Fourth, the death of A-share investors: listing to make money, delisting to evade responsibility!
The world's ** has hit a record high, but A-shares are the world's largest IPO money, and the number of A-shares and Hong Kong stocks delisted has reached a record high!
The Science and Technology Innovation Board is even easier to list and delist, and there are special provisions for the fifth set of listing and delisting on the Science and Technology Innovation Board!
Provisions on the delisting of the Science and Technology Innovation Board of the Shanghai **Stock Exchange (Revised in December 2020):
12.4.1. If a listed company has one of the following circumstances and obviously loses its ability to continue operating and meets the standards specified in these rules, the Exchange will initiate a delisting procedure for it: (this is different from the main board, the Science and Technology Innovation Board is more likely to be delisted, but it is being listed if it meets these delisting conditions, "no income, no profit, insolvency", etc., which is really incomprehensible).
1) Most of the main business is stagnant or the scale is very low;
2) Significant reduction in operating assets, resulting in inability to maintain daily operations;
3) The operating income or profit is mainly related to transactions that do not have commercial substance;
4) The operating income or profit is mainly related to the business unrelated to the main business;
5) Other circumstances of obvious loss of ability to continue operations.
As of November 12, 2023, 46 Hong Kong companies have been delisted from the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, with a market value of HK$118.9 billion, and investors' HK$118.9 billion public wealth has been wiped out.
There is also a 1 yuan delisting rule is causing market panic, although the stock price is 1 yuan, but the market value is more than a billion, billions, which are investors' "real gold" huge public wealth, and the company is also from billions, tens of billions of market value all the way down, the result of delisting, all the public wealth instantly turned into nothing.
What's worse is that the delisting rules will be revised in 2020, and refinancing will be launched in 2023, allowing capital to short and run away, resulting in more than 200 delistings and more than 5,000 delistings
Once it becomes ST and once it is delisted, it will not be included in the index, but it will not necessarily rise in the index, and it will be withdrawn in vain, and it will be wronged to retreat!
The money and assets of the IPO circle have been transferred, and the major shareholders have pledged it, and now the delisting has only become the market of delisting investors, and the delisting of investors! Investors are the biggest delistings!
What A-shares need is absorption, merger, reorganization, and optimization, rather than forced delisting and market value clearance!
If you don't dare to face the problem realistically, you will never be able to solve the problem!
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