The Russian-Ukrainian war continues to escalate, NATO countries are clamoring to send troops directly, and Putin is tough and claims that he will not hesitate to start a nuclear war.
In the face of the "group fight" in Russia, the Chechen ** Kadyrov, who has always been very high-profile, has been unusually low-key in recent months, what happened?
After the outbreak of the Russia-Ukraine war on February 24, 2022, Kadyrov was extremely active, taking the lead in sending his own personal guard directly into the war.
Kadyrov's personal guard, the Akhmat special forces on the front lines, had been on the orders of Putin and Kadyrov until the Wagner mercenaries defected last June.
In the battle for the Mariupol steel plant in May 2022, the Chechen troops performed very well and fought very bravely, and it can be said that they were the main force in the capture of the Mariupol steel plant.
In July 2022, Kadyrov sent his three sons (two of whom are minors) to fight on the front line in Donbass to show his loyalty to Putin and Russia.
The three sons returned to Chechnya with the Ukrainian prisoners As the war progressed, the Russian army caused the war to turn from a blitzkrieg to a war of attrition due to the light enemy, and due to command errors, it led to the fact that in September 2022, the Russian army successively lost Kharkov, Izyum and Redman, which also led to great losses in the Chechen troops.
Since then, Kadyrov has been constantly "shelling" the **Ministry of Defense**, accusing them of poor command and "deliberately hiding the true situation on the battlefield from the Supreme Commander-in-Chief."
From the Minister of Defense Shoigu, to the Chief of the General Staff of the Russian Army Gerasimov, and finally to the commander-in-chief of the "special military operation", they all "shelled" it over and over again.
This continued until October last year, and then, Chechen Kadyrov suddenly "very quiet", and in recent months he has not been heard to speak publicly again, what happened?
The author believes that there are two main reasons why Kadyrov is so "quiet":
1. Putin adjusted the combat mission of the Chechen troops to the role of supervising the army, which greatly reduced the ** of the Chechen troops.
The entire ethnic group of Chechnya is less than 2 million people, and there are more than 10,000 Chechen troops sent to the front line, and there is no heavy **, it is a light infantry.
Chechen troops are specifically Kadyrov's personal guards, and at the beginning of the Russian-Ukrainian war, Kadyrov thought that Russia would definitely be able to quickly defeat Ukraine, but he did not expect that it would eventually become a war of attrition.
The war of attrition is very unfavorable to the Chechen troops, because the number of Chechen troops is relatively small, and Kadyrov cannot afford to lose, which is also an important reason why he has repeatedly "shelled" the top of the Russian army.
Putin, of course, understands Kadyrov's inner thoughts very well, and in order to appease him, he arranged the Chechen troops as the task of supervising the army behind the rear, and the other task is urban street fighting.
And urban street fighting is what the Chechen troops are best at, and the Russian army has already learned this as early as the first and second Chechen wars.
Therefore, in the just-concluded Avdiivka storm, the Chechen troops also kept behind the periphery, and it was not until the final stage of street fighting that the Chechen troops rushed into the city to carry out the task of clearing the remnants of the enemy.
2. The fate of Prigozhin, the leader of the Wagner mercenaries, also completely sobered Kadyrov, which is the main reason why Kadyrov has been very quiet recently.
For Putin and Russia, the most dangerous moment is not the Ukrainian army's attack on Russia's hinterland, but the mutiny of Wagner mercenaries on June 22 last year.
The rebellious Wagner mercenaries, and then shot at the Russian army The leader of the Wagner mercenaries at the time, Prigozhin, had already sent troops to Moscow, trying to eliminate the ** Defense Minister Shoigu and other high-ranking military officials who had a serious conflict with him.
If it weren't for Prigozhin's lack of experience in political struggle and his credulity in the promises of Belarusian leader Lukashenko, Putin might really be in danger.
Although the Wagner mutiny was quelled in less than 48 hours, it is clear that Prigozhin also sent himself to the guillotine.
Prigozhin died due to the lack of experience in political struggle, and sure enough, in less than two months, almost all the top leaders of Prigozhin and the Wagner Group died en masse due to an "accidental crash", and the entire Wagner mercenary group was also absorbed by the Ministry of Defense.
Such an ending made Kadyrov frightened, he knew too well what Prigozhin died for, and he had a very good relationship with Prigozhin.
As a "non-institutional force" that is not under the jurisdiction of the first defense, they have joined hands to "bombard" the top level of the Russian Ministry of Defense, and Kadyrov has invited Prigozhin to visit Chechnya twice in a row to recover Grozny, and the heavy equipment in the Wagner group is the most lacking in the Chechen troops.
After Prigozhin's death, Kadyrov quickly chose to cut ties with him, and resolutely supported the Chechen troops to be under the jurisdiction of the Ministry of Defense.
So, you can see that from September last year to the present, Kadyrov has become "extremely quiet", did not "shell" the top of the Russian army again, and did not say anything embarrassing to Russia.
The ultimate question: Will Kadyrov still be loyal to Putin?
Absolute loyalty, no doubt.
Everything Kadyrov has now is a gift from Putin, and Kadyrov has no ability or need to "make Putin's rebellion", unless there is a big change in Russia.
On March 17, Russia will begin *** Putin's re-election is a certainty, and Russia's ** term is 6 years, that is, before 2030, Kadyrov is still absolutely loyal to Putin!