Erdogan is the incumbent of Turkey, and he faces serious challenges in this time: the domestic economy is in crisis, and corruption is exposed;Abroad, the United States is dissatisfied with Erdogan, and Western countries want a new leader in Turkey.
Erdogan, who has a wealth of experience in governing and campaigning, not only used his administrative advantages to increase his campaign support, but also played the sad card to accuse the United States of interfering in Turkey's internal affairs and wanted to get rid of Erdoğan. In this way, he was able to inspire patriotic sentiment and national pride among the Turkish population, which made them choose Erdogan in order to oppose foreign intervention.
This strategy paid off in the polls before the first round, where Erdogan did not receive more than half of the support in the first round of the election, but he received 49The high approval rating of 4% gave a blow to the confidence of the opposition and also created favorable conditions for Erdogan's victory in the second round of elections.
We believe that as long as Erdogan can maintain his lead in the first round, then the chances of him winning the second round will be high. And at this stage, the more pressure and influence the United States and the West exert on Turkey, the more voters will be inclined to support Erdogan.
In fact, Erdogan's re-election is beneficial to Turkey's stability. In the current world environment, what is least needed is the big moves and unstable changes after the new leader takes office, and what is needed is experienced leaders and more robust domestic and foreign policies.
Erdogan's administration did not allow Russia to take too much advantage in the Russian-Ukrainian conflict, nor did it let Ukraine suffer too many losses, let alone let the actions of the United States and NATO in the Black Sea be too restricted and hindered.
If Turkey had a new leader, Russia would be uneasy, the United States and NATO would face more trouble, and Ukraine would not feel safer.