Recently,InternationalThe subtle changes in the situation give the impression that next year will be eventful. The U.S. has shifted its national strategy, the situation in the Taiwan Strait continues to be tense, the situation in the South China Sea is turbulent, and even the Korean Peninsula is full of gunpowder, and it seems that a major war may break out at any time. In particular, the United States and the Philippines have recently joined forces to stir up the situation in the South China Sea, and have frequently sent aircraft carriers and fighter jets to South Korea for large-scale operationsMilitary exercises。An even more dangerous signal has recently come out that the United States and South Korea are preparing to launch a plan for a "nuclear war" in the Asia-Pacific region. According to official information, the United States and South Korea have agreed to develop and apply nuclear strategic guidelines by the middle of next year and extend the nuclear deterrence system to the Korean Peninsula by June next year. These initiatives give the impression of a "second time."Korean War"Feelings. Although the specific actions are not yet clear, the deputy assistant of South Korea revealed that the United States and South Korea will refine the nuclear combat power docking process, jointly carry out nuclear combat missions, and conduct a joint military exercise next year to practice nuclear combat scenarios. South Korea's move not only showed North Korea's resolve, but also sent a signal of unease with China. The Korean Peninsula has an extremely important strategic position for China, and once the situation deteriorates, China will never sit idly by, and may even get involved in the second timeResist US Aggression and Aid Koreaof the battle. At present, Sino-South Korean relations have fallen to a low point, withU.S.-China relationsThe main reason for this is that South Korea has completely fallen to the United States and that competition with China in the geopolitical, economic, and high-tech fields is intensifying. However, in the face of China's rapid development, South Korea has a lot of areas in the worldInternationalThe market position has been gradually eroded by China. Therefore, from my personal point of view, there is no need to worry too much about South Korea. It is doubtful that the United States will have enough courage to provoke a nuclear war on the Korean Peninsula, and South Korea and North Korea are completely uncertain if China and the United States do not interfere. Even if the United States intervenes, it will need to weigh the fact that 70 years ago China was able to push the United States back from the 38th parallel, and today the United States thinks that China has a good chance of winning and how likely it is to be beaten to the ground. In short, I don't think China needs to intervene, and South Korea will not be able to hold out until the day when a "nuclear war" will be fought on the Korean Peninsula. On the one hand, China's rapid development has eroded all walks of life in South Korea, and on the other hand, the United States has never been soft on its allies, giving South Korea a knife from time to time in the field of chips, and now South Korea's development support is in jeopardy. This is the cruel reality of the great power game, and a small country like South Korea simply cannot resist the wheel of history. Not even as good as Japan.
withInternationalThe situation has changed, and next year is likely to be an eventful one. The United States is gradually shifting its national strategy away from the Asia-Pacific region as its sole focus and toward other regions. In addition, the situation in the Taiwan Strait continues to be tense, the South China Sea is obviously changing, and the situation on the Korean Peninsula is full of gunpowder. Recently, the United States and the Philippines have cooperated to cause trouble in the South China Sea, and South Korea has also done soMilitary exercises, joining forces with the United States to deal with North Korea. These actions gave me a sense of urgency, as if a big war was about to break out.
Against this backdrop, more worrying signals have recently emerged that the United States and South Korea are preparing for a so-called "nuclear war" in the Asia-Pacific region. According to official information, the United States and South Korea have agreed to develop and implement nuclear strategic guidelines by the middle of next year and to extend the nuclear deterrence system to the Korean Peninsula by June next year. To put it simply, the United States wants to infiltrate its nuclear forces into South Korea and help South Korea carry out nuclear deterrence against North Korea, and use its fist, moreover, "nuclear fist" to deter North Korea from acting rashly.
Of course, the specific actions have not yet been clarified. As for whether the United States will deploy nuclear directly in South Korea, and byU.S. militaryMaster the nucleusbutton, we lack clear information. However, South Korea's deputy assistant revealed that the United States and South Korea will continue to refine the docking process of nuclear combat capabilities so that they can conduct joint operations and jointly carry out nuclear combat missions. Next year, the United States and South Korea also plan to conduct a joint military exercise to rehearse nuclear combat scenarios. Such an action is obviously not only a sign of determination to the DPRK, but also a message to China: next year, the ROK and the United States will actually conduct nuclear combat exercises, not just words.
Personally, however, I don't think China needs to worry too much about this. South Korea simply will not be able to hold out until the day when a "nuclear war" will be fought on the Korean Peninsula. First of all, the situation in South Korea is not rosy. Hit by China's rapid development, many industries in South Korea are being hit hard. Especially in the fields of shipbuilding and chips, China has encroached on South Korea's step by stepInternationalMarket. This is the reality, and without China's deliberate intervention, a small country like South Korea will be crushed by the wheels of history, which is not even comparable to Japan.
Second, South Korea has little chance of winning a nuclear war with North Korea. Even if the United States intervenes, it will need to be carefully considered. Seventy years ago, China successfully pushed the United States back to the 38th parallel, and now whether the United States can defeat China, what is the probability that it will be beaten to the ground?Therefore, even if the United States intends to provoke a nuclear war on the Korean Peninsula, there is absolutely no chance of victory between South Korea and North Korea.
At present, China-South Korea relations have fallen into a trough, even more thanU.S.-China relationsWorse. One of the reasons for this is that South Korea has completely turned to the United States, and competition with China in the fields of geopolitics, economy, and high technology has intensified. With the rapid development of China, South Korea's shipbuilding, chips and other fieldsInternationalMarket share is rapidly being eroded by China.
The Korean Peninsula is strategically extremely important for China. If the situation on the Korean Peninsula deteriorates, China will not sit idly by, and may even get involved a second timeResist US Aggression and Aid Koreain the middle of the battle. South Korea's actions are not only a show of resolve to North Korea, but also a signal to China. However, according to my personal opinion, China does not need to intervene, and South Korea simply cannot hold out until the day when a "nuclear war" is fought on the Korean Peninsula.
In short, the situation in South Korea is not optimistic, and China's rapid development is impacting all walks of life in South Korea. In addition, the United States has never been merciful to its allies, especially in the field of chips, and from time to time it has given South Korea a knife. South Korea's development support is already in jeopardy. Under the cruel reality of the great power game, a small country like South Korea cannot resist the wheel of history, and is not even comparable to Japan. Therefore, I believe that China does not need to worry too much about South Korea, which simply cannot survive until the day when a "nuclear war" is fought on the Korean Peninsula.
however,inmyopinion,chinadoesnotneedtoworrytoomuchaboutthis.southkoreasimplycannotholdonuntilthedayof"nuclearwar"onthekoreanpeninsula.firstofall,thesituationinsouthkoreaisnotoptimistic.manyindustriesinsouthkoreaarebeingseverelyimpactedbychina'srapiddevelopment.especiallyinshipbuilding,semiconductors,andotherfields,chinahasgraduallyerodedsouthkorea'sinternationalmarket.thisisarealitythatevenwithoutchinadeliberatelyintervening,smallcountrieslikesouthkoreawillbecrushedbythewheelsofhistory,andthisisevenworsethanjapan.
secondly,thechancesofsouthkoreawinninganuclearwaragainstnorthkoreaareextremelyslim.eveniftheunitedstatesintervenes,itneedstocarefullyconsiderthesituation.seventyyearsago,chinasuccessfullypushedtheunitedstatesbacktothe38thparallel,buttoday,whatarethechancesoftheunitedstatesdefeatingchinaandbeingbeatenblackandblueitself?therefore,eveniftheunitedstatesintendstoprovokeanuclearwaronthekoreanpeninsula,southkoreahasnochanceofwinningagainstnorthkorea.
three,thelowpointinchina-southkorearelationsandtheimportanceofthekoreanpeninsulaissue]
currently,china-southkorearelationsareinalowpoint,evenworsethanchina-usrelations.oneofthereasonsisthatsouthkoreahascompletelyleanedtowardstheunitedstates,andcompetitionbetweenchinaandsouthkoreaingeopolitics,economics,andhigh-techfieldsisintensifying.withchina'srapiddevelopment,southkorea'sinternationalmarketshareinindustriessuchasshipbuildingandsemiconductorsisrapidlybeingtakenbychina.
thekoreanpeninsulaholdsanextremelyimportantstrategicpositionforchina.ifthesituationonthekoreanpeninsuladeteriorates,chinawillnotstandidlybyandmayevenbecomeinvolvedinasecondkoreanwaragainsttheunitedstates.southkorea'sactionsarenotonlydemonstratingdeterminationtonorthkoreabutalsosendingsignalsofuneasetochina.however,frommypersonalpointofview,chinadoesnotneedtotakeactionassouthkoreasimplycannotholdonuntilthedayof"nuclearwar"onthekoreanpeninsula.