Hello everyone, today is December 11, Monday, last Friday evening, the United States November non-farm data exceeded expectations, the dollar index sharply **, RMB**, brought some adverse effects, coupled with the decline in domestic CPI data in November, today A shares have a high probability of opening low, but A shares closed the bottom signal after bottoming out last ThursdayLast Friday, the three major indexes of A-shares were comprehensively ***, which made the bottom of Thursday more certain, and the trading volume of the two cities reached 976 billion throughout the day, which was obviously large, and A-shares were at the relative bottom below 3,000 pointsWhether it is up or down, it is a good thing that the transaction is obviously large, indicating that the multi-party faint force, the probability of stabilization increases, and today should be a trend of low opening and high walking, and red Monday can be expected. Are you bullish or bearish?Feel free to leave a message in the post!On the trading day, I will analyze and interpret the trend, and make a prediction, around 2 o'clock in the afternoon will announce their own operation strategy, and hope that friends will pay attention, together, you can leave a message to me, I will reply to you at the first time, I am grateful.
U.S. stocks closed higher last night
Interpretation] last night, the three major U.S. stock indexes were low open, and then low open high, and finally all of them were *** Technically, U.S. stocks rose twice in a row, the trend is very strong, all hit a new high this year, since the end of October, U.S. stocks have risen for 6 weeks, this wave of ** has lasted for a long time, and is currently at a high level in the year, but there has not yet been an obvious peak signal, and the specific rise and fall of the three major indexes is Dow Jones +036%, NASDAQ $+045%, S&P 500 +041%, good news.
A50 refers to **Offshore Renminbi
Interpretation] A50 refers to last night's -014%。London Gold -117%, currently $2004, **average**, of which light** +274%, currently 71$24, Brent** +216%, currently 7565 yuan, offshore yuan - 031%, the current USD 71863。The news is good for **, negative for A-shares, and negative for **.
U.S. stocks released non-farm payrolls data for November, and the results exceeded expectations
Interpretation] Last Friday evening, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics released data on the same day showing that the number of non-farm payrolls in the United States increased by 19 in November90,000, higher than the consensus estimate of 180,000-190,000 and also well above the 150,000 in October. The non-farm payrolls data exceeded expectations to tighten the Fed's interest rate policy, and the time of interest rate cuts next year will be delayed, and interest rates will remain high for a long time.
The CPI fell 05%, PPI fell by 3% year-on-year, and the possibility of interest rate cuts and RRR cuts increased in the short term
Interpretation] The latest data from the Weekend Bureau of Statistics shows that in November, the national household consumption ** index (CPI) fell by 05%, and the industrial producers** index (PPI) fell 3 percent year-on-year0%, down 03%。The decline in CPI is not conducive to economic growth, moderate inflation is more conducive to economic growth, Guosheng ** said that prices in November fell again more than expected, CPI negative growth for two consecutive months, looking ahead, CPI may remain at a low level in the next 1-2 months, and the possibility of interest rate cuts and RRR cuts will increase in the short term (as soon as December). The interest rate cut and RRR reduction are conducive to increasing market liquidity and helping corporate financing, so we can still look forward to the favorable policies.
Guohai** said that the A** field is expected to rise in 2024
Interpretation] Guohai** released the strategic outlook for the 2024 A** field, pointing out that the asset side is supported by the moderate economic recovery, and the liability side is still under certain pressure, but as the U.S. interest rate hike is nearing the end, the outflow of foreign capital will slow down, which will also have a certain positive impact on A-shares. The market is expected to rise in 2024. Personally, I think that 2023 is coming to an end, it can be said that it is significantly lower than people's expectations, and the outlook of Guohai ** is also relatively conservative, not full of words, A shares will fall for two consecutive years from 2022 to 2023, and there is a high probability that it will be better next year, with an annual increase of 10% is still possible, and the performance of some growth sectors will be better, wait patiently.