The number of graduate students is declining, and the truth behind the rise of public ***.
According to **, the number of candidates for the 2024 exam is 4.38 million, and the number of candidates for the 2023 exam is 4.74 million. Compared with objective data, this year is 360,000 fewer than last year, and even the number of exams this year is less than the 4.57 million in 2022.
According to statistics, college graduates are expected to reach 11.79 million in 2024 and 11.58 million in 2023, although there are only 210,000 fewer graduates, but this number is not optimistic. Because according to the current economic and employment patterns, the number of college entrance examination candidates this year has decreased significantly, although millions of people still sign up for the college entrance examination every year, but overall the number of college entrance examination has decreased, is this good news or bad news?
First of all, let's take a look at the relevant information of the exam, in recent years, both the number of applicants and the number of graduates, after all, there has been a clear downward trend, 50% in 2021, and it will drop to about 37% in 2023, these data are relatively intuitive.
In addition, looking at the national examination in 2024, there are a total of 26130,000 candidates confirmed their registration before the exam, and finally 25220,000 people entered the examination room, it should be noted that there are 360,000 people who withdraw from this year's national examination, but this is very normal, because every year, from registration to confirmation, the last to enter the examination room, there will definitely be hundreds of thousands less, then these hundreds of thousands of people due to various subjective factors, finally withdraw. Last year, there were 152 candidates who actually took the national examination50,000 people, and the ratio of plans to hires who actually took the test was 41:1.
There is one thing that many people do not understand, all along, the popularity of public examinations has been very high, and this year, in the case of a sharp rise in temperature, the sharp increase in the number of public examinations is actually only proportional to the decline in the number of exams. In the national examination alone, the number of people who actually took the exam this year has increased by more than 700,000 compared to last year. And this is not counting the provincial exam, if you add the provincial exam, the number will definitely be more.
Speaking of which, I think some people will ask: in that case, can one prepare for the graduate school exam and the public *** at the same time?Theoretically, it is possible, but in fact, a person's energy is limited, whether it is a graduate exam or a public examination, you have to invest a lot of time, energy and money to re-Xi, you can do any of them, even if it is done, not to mention that while re-examin Xi ing the Xi graduate exam, it is a bit unrealistic.
Through the comparison of the public examination and working graduate students, you can know which acceptance rate is higher, and there is no doubt that the acceptance rate of working graduate students must be higher, because as long as you look at the acceptance rate of 57:1 in the national unified examination, you will know that the gap between the two is **. At the same time, you will also know whether you can do both, because in the process of preparing for the exam, many people were originally preparing for the postgraduate examination Xi, but suddenly at a certain moment they could not hold on and directly turned to the postgraduate examination Xi. Generally speaking, exam Xi for public exams is more expensive than postgraduate Xi.
It stands to reason that the difficulty of the college entrance examination will be a little lower and a little easier, but the difficulty of the public examination is much higher, and most of them have thousands of people competing for a place, such an admission comparison is really terrible.
However, in recent years, the recruitment of civil service positions has been expanding, taking the national examination as an example, the number of recruits from 2019 to 2024 is 1450,000 people, 2410,000 people, 2570,000 people, 3120,000 people, 3710,000 people, 3960,000 people. The number of people planned to be recruited in 2024 will increase by nearly 1 compared to 202140,000 people.
Not only is the national examination expanding, but the provincial examination in Guangxi, Gansu, Yunnan, and Inner Mongolia has also exceeded 50%, which has also attracted a large number of fresh graduates to apply for the examination, and many people in the society have joined the public examination team.
There is a strange phenomenon worth mentioning, that is, although the eligibility requirements for public *** have increased, on the contrary, the number of applicants has also increased.
In 2024, for example, after the final exams and other national exams, university students can apply for 56 places, 106 fewer than last year;There are 2,046 places available for master's degree students and above, an increase of 814 from last yearPhD students can apply for 24 places, 14 more than last year.
According to this data, it is becoming more and more difficult for public students, and more people should apply for graduate studies, but at present, the number of graduate students applying for the examination is decreasing, and the number of civil servants applying for the examination is increasing.
In fact, the most fundamental reason is that it is becoming more and more difficult for graduate students to find a job, especially the higher the academic qualification, the more difficult it is to find a job.
It's not that these graduate students don't have high academic qualifications, they are all good graduate students with excellent academic qualifications, but 90% of graduate students have different situations, such as some graduate students are pretentious, high or low, and short. Some only understand theoretical knowledge, but can not be qualified for the actual job, to put it bluntly, is the current university education has cultivated a lot of intellectuals, but does not meet the needs of social development, many enterprises recruit people, generally need a college degree is almost, because college students do not have high requirements for academic qualifications, but also easy to cultivate, unlike many graduate students with high requirements, but also pretentious, such a character, unless the ability to work is particularly prominent. Otherwise, no company wants to hire them.
A well-known research institute conducted a study on the difficulty of finding a job for today's young people and concluded that the higher the level of education, the harder it is to find a job. And, once in the labor market, master's degree holders earn not much more than bachelor's degree holders.
Although in most companies, graduate students generally earn $1000 more per month than undergraduates, but know that graduate students spend at least 2-3 years studying Xi, and three years will cost you a lot of social experience, and you will not even be able to get a salary increase for three years.
So, overall, there has been a significant drop in the number of applicants for the 2024 exam, mainly due to the increasing difficulty in finding a job for graduate students, and even if they do manage to find a job, the income is not ideal.
The decrease in the number of candidates is not good news, but it is also not bad news, because it is not because of a change in the employment situation of graduates in the labor market. On the contrary, it is good news if many graduates give up on exams because of employment, which shows that many people no longer attach so much importance to the pursuit of higher education.
Actually, it cannot be said whether the decrease in the number of exams is good news or bad news. Because it is difficult to generalize, but if you say that you are admitted to the civil service, it is actually equivalent to directly finding a stable job. If you choose to continue to graduate school, although your academic qualifications may improve, it is nothing more, because after grad school, you have to study in school for two or three years, and after graduation, you have to go out with your resume to find a job.
Therefore, the most important thing is the competition for civil service positions, but now many people choose to lie on the table after entering the civil service. Nowadays, civil servants have two promotion paths, job and rank, and more and more civil servants are giving up competing for managerial positions and competing for rank promotion, because the latter does not actually require much effort.
Now, it is unlikely that there will be a wave of civil servants, and although it is difficult to take the civil service exam now, there are still many people who choose it. Because the public *** is the income of direct promotion, it costs a lot of money to take the test. It's not a good deal. Therefore, there are fewer people who take the postgraduate examination, but more people who take the public examination.
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