More than ten years ago, when the concept of New Jiangwan City was first built and the development began, due to the high starting point and the special distinctive label, the housing prices were very high at the beginning, of course, a considerable proportion of water and foam.
However, more than ten years later, at the moment, it has experienced a complete cycle process of high foam, squeezing out water, and flattening the growth rate of housing prices in the city.
But being solid and being able to get an acceleration that is higher than the city's housing price trend are two different things.
Today, I will talk about several driving forces of New Jiangwan City from the root, and whether it can continue to exert force?
The [endogenous driving force] that can promote a plate** is roughly divided into four types. Plus an outsider or borrowing.
Four endogenous drivers:
Particularities of concepts, grades and labels;
Planning, including rail transit, schools, hospitals, commercial resources;
As long as the total industrial economy is growing, it can promote the continuous growth of land value.
The development process, put in the property market, is that there are constantly new projects on the market, which can raise the existing second-hand houses through the gradual increase of new land prices and housing prices, and the market heat brought by speculation.
External Drivers Borrowing:Whether the next plate has an increase in land value, this plate can enjoy spillover.
Of course, no matter what the driving force is, in the end, in terms of specific housing prices, it will still be transformed into supply and demand.
White head**1
The unique ecological concept label has been used for more than ten years, and has long been included in the initial and existing housing prices, and the industry does not have it at all.
Ecology is a thing, the tone is quite high, but in the vast majority of places are applauded but not popular, it has not been long after eating, the living standard has not been comprehensively improved, and most people have not yet reached the stage of spending money to pay for ecology.
But, after all, a small number of people got rich first.
What are the characteristics of getting rich?Two of them are "universal": save face and spare your life.
These two items alone are enough to make them pay for a lot of money, as long as it is implied that they can make their bodies healthier, younger, and enjoy the world of flowers for a few more years, and it is not a matter of taking out tens of millions at all.
What's more, it is in Shanghai, which lacks ecology and not rich people.
Therefore, more than ten years ago, the new Jiangwan City just launched the concept of "the only ecological wetland in the urban area", and immediately became the first label of the new generation of luxury residential areas.
In the sales rhetoric and various online advertorials, each real estate will say that the air in the urban area is the cleanest, and only the wetland can produce the content of "negative oxygen ions", which feels like it can cultivate immortals.
Coupled with the entry of Yanlord Yiting Villa project, the luxury residential area was immediately established - because at the same time, the pursuit of the rich was realized
There is face, the only natural wetland in downtown Shanghai, the only one!Scarce resources are occupied!Moreover, Yanlord's villas have passed, and the tonality from natural wilderness to high-end mansions has also risen.
is even more sparing, not leaving Shanghai, and in the traditional urban boundary, it is not a suburb, and he cultivates immortals while making money.
But the problem is that this card was played loudly at the beginning, and it is no longer new after more than ten years. Moreover, the concept as the chassis of luxury housing value has been implanted in the housing price from the beginning of the development of the area, and it has long been completely included in the current housing price.
The unique ecological concept label is no longer possible, or it has not been able to be the driving force for housing prices since a few years ago.
There is no industry in New Jiangwan City, this engine has not existed in the first place, and there will never be any more - there is no land visible to the naked eye, and industrial planning has never been in the plan of New Jiangwan City.
White head**2
Including the planning of the rail transit station, it has already been fully implemented, and there will be no large-scale and commendable additions, and the third engine is not without hope.
From universities to primary schools, from subways to commerce, from parks to sports facilities, all supporting facilities have been landed, and they have been on the ground for several years, and even the final dividends brought by various municipal public buildings in the mature period have passed.
Of course, it's still that problem, there is no land left. There are no new goods in the planning, so there is no new dividend brought by the new municipal facilities and commercial facilities with bright spots, at most it is to change the names of two convenience stores and two department stores, and the store is still the same store, so the planning engine cannot produce new driving force.
White head**3
There are no more new projects, and the lack of sedan chairs and hype is an obvious "fuel shortage" from the perspective of driving force, but from the perspective of supply and demand, it is also a great benefit.
All the land in the entire Yangpu District of Xinjiangwan City has been used up, and it is impossible for any new residential projects to appear, large-scale, small-scale, and not a single building.
Now and later, everyone can see the so-called new Jiangwan City real estate, ten out of ten are Baoshan District, not at all in Yangpu District, where the new Jiangwan City is located - because the Hongkou District next door has a new project, it must be said that cultural accumulation + urban renewal does not look down on Yangpu District at all;On the other side of the Huangpu River, Waigaoqiao, people also directly hit the "Senlan International Settlement", and there is no need to talk about the new Jiangwan City.
The only thing that needs to hug the thighs of the luxury residential area of New Jiangwan City is Baoshan District, which is next door to the bottom of the "lower branch of the traditional urban area".
To put it bluntly, those in Baoshan are all here to rub, to rub the ** psychological water level of the luxury residential area, to put it mildly, to "smear" the social imprint and psychological price of New Jiangwan City, and it is impossible to provide upward gain - the public who do not know the reason will suddenly feel, hey, the house in New Jiangwan City has become 60,000 yuan per square meter
Of course, people who really want to buy luxury residential areas will also look carefully and understand on the spot, and they will not be led astray so easily, is it Yangpu or Baoshan?For actual home buyers, it is still easy to distinguish at a glance.
White head summary
Although there is no new project boost, the good thing is that the status of the new Jiangwan City has been established - for the plate that has been established and widely recognized, there is no new market with tens of thousands of suites. On the contrary, supply and demand are stable, at least in the direction.
The supply is in short supply now, and it will be in short supply in the future, and it will intensify;
If there is an oversupply now, it will basically be oversupply after that, and housing prices will fall for a long time.
Obviously, the new Jiangwan City has been stable in a state of short supply for a long time, according to market experience, basically this state in the future - the texture of the plate has not changed, and there is no new ** quantity, people who like it now will still like it in the future.
As for the "borrowing" from the outside, there is also a sub-center of Wujiaochang City next door, and the economic value of the land brought by the science and technology industry is radiated, and the introduction of new high-end purchasing power in the industry is there.
Therefore, the acceleration of the housing prices of the new Jiangwan City has been outperforming the average level of Shanghai for a long time, and it can continue for at least ten years, and the energy and acceleration are not bad!
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