Last night's U.S. stock market had a carnival, and the Dow Jones index rose by 14%, * at 37,000 points, a record high, the Nasdaq index showed an accelerated upward trend in the pattern, and last night also rose by 138%。Judging from these phenomena, if the Fed does not raise interest rates in the future, or even starts a cycle of interest rate cuts next year, I think it is not only good for the US capital market, but also for other economies around the world, which means the possibility of currency repatriation, which is really good.
The Federal Reserve is on hold as scheduled to hint at a 75 basis point interest rate cut next year, stimulated by this news, U.S. stocks continued to rise overnight, hitting a record high, envy?Or is it jealousy?There is a new record high in Germany in front, and then there is a new record high in Asan, and then there is a new high in the small days, but our big A is a child who is not angry, and he is still hovering around 3000 points, and because of this, everyone is numb to the so-called good!
Today's **weak**, market sentiment is sluggish, and it is expected to appear next week**. At present, the market is in the stage of grinding the bottom, and you need to be patient. The two core main lines for next year are technology and consumption, with a focus on artificial intelligence and consumption upgrading. The short-term market will see catch-ups**, and cyclical resource stocks are expected to perform. Now we need to remain calm and seize the opportunities of the future.
Can A-shares close above 3,000 points this year?It is not possible to analyze the fundamentals now, because the more thoroughly the analysis is, the less likely it is to send it out, and you can only judge for yourself. And from a technical point of view, the weakness can be seen at a glance. Of course, the overall judgment is that this is the bottom area, and it is impossible to say whether the bottom area is up or down, and I personally think that it is objectively in the position of a little higher than the bottom area. If you look at the long term, you don't care if there will be a downward range in the future. If you talk about strategy alone, it is basically meaningless, and the vast majority of them live a lot, and they don't have money to consider increasing their positions. It's just that for those who are shallow in the hedge, they can adjust their positions and swap shares.
Today, stock index holdings hit new highs, while bank stocks continued to inaction, causing the market to continue to be suppressed. Tomorrow is the delivery day of the stock index, and the main intention is obvious, let all the bulls cut the meat out today, and go long again tomorrow, and you can sweep the bears again!The bottom range, absolutely can not compromise, can not admit defeat, otherwise will cut the meat on the floor, now is the psychological game level, and the technical market has little value.
And I think the bottom of the second retracement is between 2950 and 2970 points of the Shanghai Stock Exchange. It is expected that the vanguard of tomorrow will be big finance dominated by bank stocks. With a stern warning to the bears, and today the bears are still trying to short, then tomorrow is expected to usher in a retaliatory counterattack.