The war in northern Myanmar continued to escalate, and the Myanmar army led by Min Aung Hlaing was overwhelmed by the war, and the low morale at the front line spread to the army, and then the "big speechless incident" broke out. According to the Global Times, since November 27, the PLA Navy escort group has come to Yangon, Myanmar for a goodwill visit. For Myanmar, which is suffering from internal and external troubles, this is an important diplomatic reception mission, but as soon as the Chinese ** ship docked, the Myanmar Navy broke out a "desertion incident". According to a report by Myanmar Chinese Network, nearly 50 Burmese soldiers have lost contact with guns, and the large-scale flight of soldiers is most likely affected by the war in northern Myanmar, and many are afraid of being sent to the battlefield to become cannon fodder.
The "desertion" took place at the Saram Township (Tamrim Township) Naval Base in Yangon Province, which is also home to the Myanmar Naval Training Center. According to the Myanmar** report, in addition to 17 Burmese soldiers who fled directly with guns, another 29 had asked for leave from their superiors, but have not been heard from since. It is worth mentioning that some of the middle and lower-ranking officers of the Burmese army soldiers who fled also included. It can be seen from this that the Burmese ** army is currently full of internal problems, its morale is very low, and its combat effectiveness can be imagined.
We know that since the military coup d'état launched by the Myanmar military in 2021, a large number of high-ranking Myanmar leaders, including Myanmar's ** Win Myint and State Counsellor Aung San Suu Kyi, have all been detained by the military. Since then, state power in Myanmar has been controlled by the National Defence Forces, and the commander-in-chief of the Myanmar Defence Forces, Min Lai Aung, has officially become the country's decision-maker. It stands to reason that the status of the military in Myanmar is very high at present, so why is there still an incident of "desertion"?The reason is very simple, the war in northern Myanmar continues to escalate, the war is unfavorable, and many soldiers do not want to become cannon fodder in the civil war.
Since the Kokang Allied Army launched a military operation in northern Myanmar under the banner of "anti-wire fraud", the armed forces of wire fraud groups and militia groups that have been entrenched in northern Myanmar for many years have been uprooted. As the Kokang Allied Army became more and more courageous and marched forward, various states in Myanmar, including Rakhine State, were also in turmoil, and the United Wa State Army, the Kokang Allied Army, the Kachin Independence Army, the Kachin New Democratic Army, the Karen National Liberation Army and other local armed forces all moved on to the wind, and the battle line began to extend from the original northern Myanmar to the deep inner part of Myanmar. There are wolves everywhere and battlefields everywhere, which puts Min Aung Hlaing** under tremendous pressure.
It can be said that Myanmar has been one of the countries with the longest civil war in the world since the end of World War II. Since the establishment of the country in 1948, the Burmese ethnic group has dominated the political, military and economic power of Myanmar, and since then, the contradictions between Myanmar's ethnic minorities and the Burmese have continued to escalate. Myanmar is a multi-ethnic country, with almost every ethnic minority having armed forces, and with the deep-rooted and irreconcilable contradictions, ethnic local armed groups and the Myanmar National Defense Forces have also experienced more than half a century of confrontation, which has seriously affected the development of the entire country.
Although Myanmar has made efforts at all levels to promote peace in the country, and signed ceasefire agreements with various armed forces in 2015 and 2018, the conflict has once again intensified with the rise of Min Aung Hlaing's army**. Previously, the Kokang coalition had pointed the finger at Min Aung Hlaing, accusing the Burmese army of being the backers of the "four major families" in northern Myanmar and the wire fraud syndicate. Therefore, at present, the major armed forces have once again formed a joint force to jointly target the Burmese army**, and Myanmar is once again in the crisis of civil war.
On the issue of the civil war in Myanmar, China has made its position clear before. On the basis of paying close attention to the situation of the conflict in northern Myanmar, we have not interfered in Myanmar's internal affairs, but called on and urged all parties in Myanmar to cease fire as soon as possible and resume peace talks. Of course, Myanmar, as our neighbor, has also taken a series of effective measures to ensure the security and stability of the China-Myanmar border through actual combat exercises and other means to avoid the escalation of the war and spill over.
Judging from the current situation, it is difficult to end the civil war in Myanmar in the short term. Because in addition to a number of Myanmar ethnic minority forces, the Myanmar ** army will also face a blow from the People's Protection Army led by the NLD. Since Aung San Suu Kyi and other NLD leaders were detained by the ** army of Burma, the NLD has been in a-for-tat confrontation with the ** army. Since the previous Democratic League ** was elected by the people ** and itself had a certain mass base, the People's Defense Army that made a comeback this time also won successive battles. In the face of the double blow of the ethnic minority armed forces and the NLD armed forces, the Myanmar Army led by Min Aung Hlaing needs to think carefully about the way back.