In the countdown of 2024**, according to the polls of "Beautiful Island Electronic News" in the past 2 times, Hou Kangpei is 9 percentage points behind Lai Xiaopei. Shen Zhengnan, a psychiatrist, said in a Facebook post that the polls did not look that way. Former legislator Guo Zhengliang believes that the blue-green gap should be between 3 and 4 in the polls conducted by ETToToday, TVBS, and the Taiwan Public Opinion Association.
Guo Zhengliang said in a political discussion program today that Shen Zhengnan will not see the polls of the "Beautiful Island Electronic News" that were closed for 10 days at the end, and he may only see the information of the 11 days before the election. Some elections have really changed in the last 10 days, and the "Beautiful Island E-News" is still continuing to do polls, which can be seen by internal talents.
Guo Zhengliang went on to point out that the "Beautiful Island Electronic News" released the poll and estimated votes, which are not the same. The poll released today is 11 percent5, but the estimated difference in the number of votes is 4 percent, which is based on the experience of the election over the past 10 years, as well as to judge the changes of various age groups and regions, and some voters are hidden. They believe that the Kuomintang legislators are more explicit, representing that the majority of the KMT voters have already expressed their positions, but in the leadership election, some people are just unwilling to answer.
Guo Zhengliang said that if only polls are used, the Hou camp will seem to be very angry, and they dare not relax too much, because they have also done polls themselves, and the green camp voters are already very high, and they tend to answer;But some pan-blue people just don't want to answer, but some legislators are willing to answer.