Hou Youyi and Ke Wenzhe broke up in two, can Lai Qingde really win ?The outcome of the scuffle is s

Mondo Social Updated on 2024-01-19

In next year's general election, the Kuomintang and the People's Party originally planned to join forces to fight against *** by integrating resources, however, after nearly two months of long games and tugging, the two sides failed to reach an integration due to issues such as uneven distribution of interests. As a result, Hou Youyi, the candidate of the Kuomintang, and Ke Wenzhe, the candidate of the People's Party, had to break up and go their separate ways.

It is worth mentioning that in the process of integration, both sides showed great sincerity. In particular, the Kuomintang and Hou Youyi attach great importance to integration, and even say that they are willing to cooperate with Ke Wenzhe as long as they can prevent Lai Qingde from being elected. However, the eventual failure of the negotiations to reach an agreed outcome was not surprising, although somewhat unexpected. In the process of integration, who is willing to give up the opportunity and be willing to play a supporting role?The Kuomintang has always wanted to bring down *** to come to power, if in the end, even the blue and white battalions are sent to power after the integration of Ke Wenzhe and the People's Party, then what is the meaning of integration?Therefore, although Hou Youyi is willing to be the second child on the surface, he must want to become a candidate after the integration of the blue and white camp, and let Ke Wenzhe become his supporting role. As for Ke Wenzhe, he is also unwilling to be the second child, after all, in the process of integration, his poll support on the island is not lost to Hou Youyi, and there is no reason to compromise.

The rupture of the Blue and White Battalion was indeed beneficial to Lai Qingde to a certain extent. After all, the purpose of integration is to defeat Lai Qingde. However, the break between the Blue and White Battalion does not mean that Lai Qingde and the Green Battalion will definitely win. Faced with a three-way scuffle, the outcome is difficult to predict.

According to the "pro-green"** poll, after the split of the blue and white camps, Lai's support rate did not rise, but declined. At the same time, Hou Youyi, who previously ranked third in the support rate, has surpassed Ke Wenzhe to second place, and the gap with Lai Qingde is narrowing. For Ke Wenzhe, his hope of victory is slim, but his presence cannot be completely ignored. He chose Wu Xinying as his partner, wanting to use her influence in the business world to increase the probability of winning the election.

However, Hou Youyi's approval rating has relatively much room to continue to rise, while Lai's fundamentals are almost fixed. The reason why Lai Qingde took the lead is that after the failure of the integration of the blue and white camps, some "neutral" voters have not yet decided whether to support Hou Youyi or Ke Wenzhe. If Hou Youyi performs well in the coming months and can win the support of more "neutral" voters, then his campaign will be even more favorable. And Lai Qingde and *** have been in power for 8 years, and the people's fatigue with them is becoming more and more obvious. In addition, in the past few years, ** has not achieved significant political achievements, and even pushed the Taiwan region in a more radical direction, which makes it difficult for the people on the island to continue to support Lai Qingde.

In addition, Lai Qingde chose Xiao Meiqin, who has deep cooperation with the United States and strongly promotes "**", as his partner, which is regarded by many people as "independent and independent". If the people on the island hand over the future of the Taiwan region to this pair of partners, then both the situation in the Taiwan Strait and the prospects of the island will face huge risks.

Although the integration failure of the Blue and White Battalion is good news for Lai, it does not mean that he can win on his own. In a melee situation, the final result is still more difficult**. Hou Youyi's support rate continues to rise, Ke Wenzhe still has some influence, and they all have the opportunity to change the election situation. Regardless of the final outcome, we hope that the new leader of the Taiwan region will be committed to maintaining peace and stability in the Taiwan Strait and pushing the country back on track. At the same time, this election is also a test for the Taiwanese people, who need to choose their future carefully. After all, the future of the Taiwan region is related to everyone's interests and well-being.

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