If the market doesn't move, it has to be pushed by foreign aid.
As he spoke, foreign aid came.
This foreign aid is none other than God.
A few days ago, it was already winter overnight, and the snow in the north had fallen for a few days, and it was white everywhere.
But as a resultWho would have thought it was just a side dish, and now the main meal is coming.
According to the weather forecast, next,The strongest cold wave since this winter will sweep across most parts of the country, when many places in the north will be cold to breaking records, and the south will be even more extreme, directly staging a big reversal of cold and warm.
For example, the temperature in many areas of Jiangnan will plummet by 20 in 48 hours.
What is this concept?
You may still be wearing short sleeves one day, and you will have to wear a coat the next.
And it's not just about coolingThe rain followed, and the center of gravity of the rain continued to shift southward.
This means,Next, many places across the country are going to change dramatically.
And when it comes to changing the sky, everyone must think of two things:Is corn going up again? Is the price of pigs going to rise too?
The situation of corn is a bit complicated, and I have to take the space to talk about it alone, so this time I will focus on pig prices.
A few days ago, we posted an article "Pig price ** fired the first shot!" Is it really going to go up this time? mentioned in the bookThe ** pig price this time is not the same as before. How is it different?
It used to be **, up and down, down and up, but this time?
It's also **, but the difference is that the trend of *** is about to open.
Immediately afterwards, the recent pig price showed a pattern of several days of continuous rise.
As of December 15,The average price of three-yuan pigs slaughtered outside the country is 1471 yuan kg, 13 from the year-to-date low set last week56 yuan kilogram accumulated ** 115 yuan kg, an increase of 848%。
Although it is said that with the continuous increase in pig prices, it has begun to show fatigue again, but the next wave of weather changes are very beneficial to the trend of pig prices.
On the one hand, after the sudden change in weather, transportation and logistics will inevitably be blockedThe transportation of live pigs was blocked again, and the pressure of live pigs was relieved in stages.
On the other hand, demand has picked up after the temperature plummeted.
The temperature in many places in the north has dropped to record-breaking, which has also made itDownstream enemas and other demand have improved, driving the operating rate of slaughtering enterprises in North China and other places to rebound moderately.
And the bigger positive is in the south, as temperatures plummetThe rapid and large-scale opening of pickled meat in the south will play a supporting role in pig prices.
Although it is inevitable that pig prices will still have to go back and forth, butIt is unlikely that it will fall below the previous low again, because the next pig market will continue to be good, and the baton of pig price ** will most likely be caught.
One is that after this wave of cooling has passed, inAround mid-to-late December, there will be a wave of strong cold air that will continue to hit, and the temperature in some areas will continue to drop, and the local temperature will still be above 10.
Calculating the time, it is already halfway through December, which means that this wave of cold air is likely to be cold to the end.
This is a good thing for the hog market and is conducive to the continuation of downstream demand.
Second, according to the past tradition, pickling will gradually reach its peak around the winter solstice.
Although the demand is generally weak this year, but the weakening demand does not mean that there is no demand, coupled with this year's pig prices continue to grind the bottom, the confidence of farmers has been greatly lost, the price mentality of the fence has been significantly reduced, and the secondary fattening has also declined significantly.
This means,The rhythm of market supply and demand has not been disrupted, and with the gradual opening of downstream demand, it is conducive to the support of pig prices.
Third, New Year's Day and Spring Festival continue to be good.
Immediately after the pickling is the New Year's Day and the Spring Festival, although the festival effect before this year has hit the streets, such as the Mid-Autumn Festival, National Day and other major festivals, pork consumption is also mediocre.
But New Year's Day and the Spring Festival are not the same, especially the Spring Festival is the most important traditional festival in China, the demand for procurement and stocking during the Spring Festival still exists, as long as the end does not step on the footsteps, then the pig price stabilization is very promising.
It's just that the magnitude should not be too high, so the order of farmers slaughter is good, this year's market is not suitable for gambling, can not be gambled, a lot of things go naturally, is the best choice. Pig prices are readyEnd of this article, thanks for reading! Feel free to like it and give it a support.