In November, the Harbin property market entered a "trough period".
The deal is only 1110,000, down 56% month-on-month.
From January to November 2023, the transaction area of commercial residential buildings in Harbin totaled 22570,000 .
The data comes from the online signing and filing system In 2023, will the transaction volume of commercial housing in Harbin exceed 2.61 million?
First of all, we need to know why this year is "250"?
According to the record data of commercial housing transactions in the past 3 years:
In December, the tail of "low price and volume increase" has always existed, and it is expected that the transaction area in December this year will only be 250,000.
The data comes from the online signature filing system.
The total transaction area in 2023 is likely to be 2.4 million to 2.5 million.
There is still 1 month to go until 2024, and the hope of the property market sprint is in
It is closely related to the three things that people are most concerned about:
1. Will house prices fall?
Don't think about the general drop in housing prices on the bright side, and now the property market has "no way to fall".
It is a common trend at the end of the year that special offers replace ** wars.
Hundreds of sets of ** houses, buy a house to send a parking space, a property fee, a home improvement gift package, ......
Behind the trick specials, it is actually the "dark drop" of the property market.
There is no way, people buy more wait-and-see, and developers are eager to return the moneyReal estate companies can only obtain capital flow with phased special offers to complete this year's tasks.
Until the end of the year, this big porter will not stop.
2. Will you still buy off-plan housing?
The property market has been upgraded, and the "volume delivery period" has intensified.
Harbin has entered the passive "existing house era".
For developers, the sooner the delivery is hot, the more intense competition can be avoided and the people's wait-and-see concerns can be dispelled.
For home buyers, seeing is believing, and buying an existing house is buying peace of mind, which can reduce the cost of rent.
For example, Greentown Yangliu County, which was delivered on December 1, has been recognized by the people.
The current sales office is constantly crowded, and 55 sets have been sold so far, which is the embodiment of the trust of the people.
Existing houses and quasi-existing houses are YYDS!
At the end of the year, a large wave of houses were delivered centrally, with contrasting qualities and discounts, which is indeed suitable for sale.
3. Do you still care about subsidies?
Just need to buy at the total price, and 10,000 more is not because you don't want to buy it, but because you can't afford it.
It's still a cliché, the seven major subsidies will end soon!
There is a high probability that such a large house purchase subsidy will be gone next year.
No matter how small the fly is, it is also meat, 10,000 is not too little, 30,000 is not too much.
Especially when buying a house, we can earn 10,000 more if we spend 10,000 less, and we can save it.
Three opportunities are here, as for where to "rush" in December, everything is left to "confidence".
The property market in 2023 has been brilliant and "confused".
Regardless of the "final grade".This "ups and downsThe year is coming to an end.
What will happen to the property market in 2024?
1. Will the room ticket really come?
On December 18, the Finance Office proposed when interpreting the macroeconomic regulation and control policies formulated by the Economic Work ConferenceIt is necessary to be proactive, and the fiscal policy should be moderately strengthened, and the quality and efficiency should be improved.
In terms of real estate, there are three key aspects:
1. Actively and prudently resolve real estate risks.
Meet the reasonable financing needs of real estate enterprises with different ownership systems without discrimination;2. Accelerate the "three major projects". The three major projects include:It is necessary to strengthen the supervision of pre-sale funds to ensure the smooth completion of projects under construction.
Transformation of urban villagesAffordable housing construction and public infrastructure construction for both ordinary and emergency purposes.
3. Accelerate the construction of a new model of real estate development.
Increase the construction and supply of affordable housing, and accelerate the construction of a housing system that provides basic security based on the market and meets multi-level needs.The "transformation of urban villages" and the affordable housing policy of "exchanging the old for the new" may become a major "hot spot" next year. In 2024, the "housing ticketing" of the property market will be the general trend.
For Harbin, this will inevitably unleash a large wave of housing demandCoupled with the basic data, the sales area of commercial residential buildings in Harbin will achieve a "new breakthrough" next year.
2024 will be a "big turning point" in the national property market, and it will also be a new opportunity for the Harbin property market.
2. Will there be many new projects next year?
This year's land, next year's house. ”
The 14 land transactions this year will all be "potential stocks" that will enter the market next year.
The transaction area was about 1.05 million, 5 percent higher than the same period last year6 times.
The annual turnover reached 3.8 billion yuan, 15 percent higher than last year5 times. The land price of these new projects is low, and their housing prices will be relatively cheaper, coupled with the new products and the acceleration of iterative upgrades, which will attract a wave of traffic.
The advantages of next year's new projects are very obvious.
LikeThe capital of Huilong No. 1On August 22, the temporary sales office was opened, and it has now entered the market.
One on the Bund, Transaction in May, before approval in September, the progress is fast, and it is about to enter the market.
Kunlun Real Estate, wholly-owned 900 million, wonQunli West Donghu Road plot. On October 24, the construction of Kunlun's Qunli West plot officially started, and it is expected that there will be new news soon.
Huizhi Real Estate & Xinxinyang Real Estate jointly wonQunli West Qingshan Road plot, Huizhi Xinyue Mansion,The project is currently in preparation.
Co-build a Taoyuan productJiang Cheng Taoyuanli、Qunli East Langjiang Road plot,Rongjin Street plot in Xiangfang District, etcare expected to enter the market next year.
Now, to improve the demand "momentum", there will be a large wave of demand release next year.
There are many new projects in Qunlixi, and most of them are improving, which is a hot spot among hot spots.
In 2024, new projects may be the "peak" of transactions.
Overall, there are a lot of new changes in 2023, which will be reflected in the new housing market next year.
2024 is the most important "turning point" of the property market and a "new opportunity" for the development of the property market!
In the change of the property market, a new situation is about to open!