On December 25, Israel launched a missile strike on a building in Damascus, the Syrian capital, after Israel sent F35s to bomb the Iranian Air Force Command, successfully killing the commander of the Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps, General Mousavi, who had just arrived there
Mousavi is a senior IRGC general who serves as a senior military adviser in Syria, the oldest and most experienced military adviser and supreme commander of the IRGC in Syria, according to the IRGC.
Iran's Raisi has raised the slogan of retaliation, but in fact, Iran's public statements still leave some way back for itself. According to the latest report from Iran's official news agency IRNA, on the evening of the 25th, Iran's *** spokesman Nasser Kanaani issued a statementHe strongly criticized Israel's assassination of Mousavi, saying that the incident had once again exposed "the terrorist nature of the Zionist regime". The statement also specifically mentioned that Israel "will pay the price for this crime" and that "Iran reserves the right to respond at the right time and place."
In general, Iran is saying, we will definitely settle accounts with you, but we will consider the timing and extent. It seems that Iran is trying to find a balance between saving face and preventing the escalation of the conflict. My conclusion is that a full-scale attack on Israel is not very likely.
I can't even tell how many times the United States and Israel have assassinated Iran. Such an act can be regarded as a serious military provocation in any country.
Although Iran's relations with the United States and Israel are tense to the point of saber rattling, and they are on the verge of war for many years, it seems that both sides have tacitly maintained a bottom line, and no one has really taken a step beyond the minefield - the United States did not send fighter jets to bomb Iran itself, and Iran did not launch missiles at American ships.
Now that Israel is doing this, it is obvious that it still wants to continue to push the United States into the fire pit, and on the Iranian side, we all know that whether it is Allah in Lebanon or the Houthis in Yemen, it will definitely be more fanaticalHoussein does not nod, the shipping lanes of the Red Sea continue to be blocked, how can the United States unite NATO allies in Europe?Then everyone can only continue to fight to the death.
Netanyahu's approval rating in Israel is only 24% anyway, and it doesn't matter if he fights to break the net, a dead horse is a live horse doctor.
Iran doesn't matter, the ** people are fighting happily in the war, and Hamas can put Israel's blood alone, how can it be stopped?
Then the most difficult thing is the United States, if we can't talk about it, if we don't have a chance to talk, will there be another war in the Middle East?
Apparently impossible!Lao Mei is 10,000 unwilling, and now he can't even make up his mind to exterminate a single Houthi, and I even dare to say that he can't win the Houthis!
From the perspective of regional characteristics, Yemen's Houthi rebels occupy a large area of mountainous land in the southwest of Yemen, and the terrain is similar to the mountainous terrain of Afghanistan. If the escort fleet adopts air strikes and the Houthis hide in caves, the effect is the same as that of anti-aircraft artillery to fight mosquitoes, not to mention that the United States now has so many missilesCounting on South Korea?How can the South Koreans make fertilizer (one of the raw materials for missiles) if they don't have it?
Then let's see if we can encircle and suppress from land, and the answer is no. Encirclement and suppression from the ground must pass through Saudi Arabia and other Arab countries. At this juncture, who would dare to allow the US military to borrow the road?The regime is likely to be overthrown, and if it takes another 10,000 steps back, even if the US military is really allowed to attack, it is very likely that the US military will replicate a new Afghanistan and bleed for a long time, is the current US willing?I don't have to withdraw my troops in Afghanistan back then!
From the point of view of equipment strength, the Houthis, which are not good-looking, have always been not bad, and the 870,000 troops have tanks, artillery, and countless drones, and the situation in Iraq will definitely not happen back then!A $2,000 drone for tens to millions of dollars in exchange for an interceptor missile, I'm afraid you'll wake up laughing from your dreams.
The Houthi group has been fighting with the coalition forces organized by Saudi Arabia for more than ten years and has accumulated rich combat experience. The people themselves are strong, and they are located in the Gulf of Aden, and what does the Gulf of Aden produce?Pirate. Living in this harsh area for a long time and fighting every year, the quality of the Houthi personnel is unimaginable to ordinary people, just look at the picture below for the Houthis to see the disabled team in the military parade.
The conclusion is that the Houthis continue to block the Red Sea, let the whole world know about their existence, and step on the face of the United States to brush up its prestige.
On the Iranian side, public opinion is boiling, and the arc of support and resistance is increasing, and there is gradually a posture of a brother in the Middle East.
On the U.S. side, it can't run away if it wants to, and while it is being bled out, it is in a dilemma, and it wants to manage Ukraine and contain East Asia, but it can't do anything!Prestige has fallen again and again!
And when it comes to Latin America launching, there is actually a strange common interest in all sides.
From the Middle East to Europe to East Asia, who doesn't want the United States to play a trick