In the long vein of urban transportation, buses are rushing like blood, carrying people's travel and expectations. In recent years, the rise of new energy buses has been regarded as a symbol of technological innovation, however, there is now an unexpected trend - new energy buses in many places have changed back to fuel vehicles. What is the underlying reason behind this?And how will it affect our imagination and planning for the future of transportation?This chapter will analyze this phenomenon from different perspectives.
1. Changes in subsidy policies and high battery maintenance costs
According to reports, Hubei, Hebei, Nanjing and other cities have decided to replace new energy buses with fuel vehicles due to changes in subsidy policies and high battery maintenance costs. There are two important aspects behind this: subsidy policy and battery maintenance costs.
First of all, the change of subsidy policy is one of the main reasons for the switch of new energy buses to fuel vehicles. Looking back on 2015, the battery technology of new energy buses at that time was still in its infancy, and its battery attenuation was serious and the replacement cost was high. In Huangshi, Hubei Province, for example, the local bus company faced serious battery wear and could not turn on the air conditioner even in summer, which undoubtedly greatly reduced the comfort experience of passengers. With the tightening of the subsidy policy, the procurement cost of new energy buses is higher than that of fuel buses of the same level, which makes fuel vehicles seem to have more advantages in the short term.
Secondly, the problem of battery maintenance cost is also one of the reasons why new energy buses are changed back to fuel vehicles. The battery maintenance cost of new energy buses is high, on the one hand, because the battery attenuation is serious and needs to be replaced frequentlyOn the other hand, because the battery maintenance of new energy buses requires professional technology and equipment, which also increases operating costs. Under such circumstances, many cities have found that it is more economical and feasible to return to fuel vehicles after actual operation tests.
2. Cost differences and economic considerations
The higher procurement cost of new energy buses compared to traditional fuel vehicles is another factor that has led to the switch to fuel vehicles. Especially in the context of the tightening of subsidy policies, the cost difference of new energy buses is more obvious. From an economic point of view, gasoline vehicles seem to have an advantage in the short term.
In addition, in terms of maintenance and operating costs, there are certain advantages for combustion vehicles. Compared with new energy buses, the maintenance and maintenance of fuel vehicles are relatively simple, consumables are easier to obtain, and they do not require too much professional technology and equipment. This makes combustion engine vehicles more advantageous in terms of cost control and operational efficiency.
3. Safety issues and endurance considerations
Safety concerns and endurance are two other key factors influencing the shift of new energy buses to fuel vehicles.
In recent years, as the weather warms, spontaneous combustion incidents of new energy vehicles have occurred frequently, causing public concerns about battery safety. Although the battery safety of new energy buses has improved, it still cannot completely eliminate people's concerns about safety. In contrast, the safety of combustion engine vehicles has been proven in long-term practice, which makes combustion engine vehicles more attractive.
In addition, the range of new energy buses is often limited by battery capacity and vehicle load. In the field of public transportation, which requires long-term operation and wide coverage, stable range is particularly important. Especially in the low temperature environment in the northern region, the decline in battery performance further weakens the attractiveness of new energy buses. In contrast, the performance of fuel vehicles in low temperature environments is more stable and the endurance is more reliable, which makes regions with higher requirements for endurance more inclined to choose fuel vehicles.
4. Consideration of the purpose and demand of the bus
The purpose and demand of buses are also one of the factors to consider in determining the direction of new energy buses and fuel vehicles.
Unlike private cars, buses focus more on stability, durability, and cost-effectiveness. Although new energy vehicles have advantages in intelligence and comfortable experience, these are not the main pursuit of buses. The investment in intelligent and comfortable experience of new energy buses is relatively high, and relatively speaking, fuel vehicles can better meet the main pursuit of buses in terms of purpose and demand.
To sum up, the phenomenon of new energy buses changing back to fuel vehicles in many places does not mean the failure of new energy technology, but shows the trade-off between cost and efficiency in the field of public transportation under the current technical and economic conditions. This phenomenon reminds us that while pursuing the popularization of new energy vehicles, we also need to pay attention to the maturity of technology and the needs of practical application scenarios. In the future, with the advancement of technology and the reduction of costs, new energy buses are expected to show their advantages in more fields. At the same time, the coexistence of fuel vehicles and electric vehicles is reflecting the diversified transportation development direction to meet the needs of different users and scenarios.
1. Influence the imagination and planning of future transportation
The phenomenon of new energy buses turning to fuel vehicles in many places has aroused widespread public attention and thinking, and has also brought a certain impact on the imagination and planning of future transportation.
First of all, this shift reminds us that while pursuing the popularization of new energy vehicles, we should also pay attention to the maturity of technology and the needs of practical application scenarios. Although there are some problems in some aspects of new energy buses, with the advancement of technology and the reduction of costs, new energy buses are still expected to show their advantages in more areas, including environmental friendliness, energy consumption and emission reduction.
Secondly, the coexistence of fuel vehicles and new energy buses reflects the diversified direction of transportation development. Buses in different regions, on different routes, and with different needs, may use different forms of energy to suit different environments and needs. This also makes us realize that the bus of the future may not be just an option for a single form of energy, but a trend for multiple forms of energy to coexist.
Finally, this shift also reflects the deep-seated challenges of urban transport management. New energy buses have obvious advantages in environmental protection, which is in line with the global trend of carbon reduction. However, in practice, the immaturity of technology and cost issues become constraints. This contradiction demonstrates the art of balancing the need to promote the adoption of new energy vehicles: environmental protection and economic sustainability at the same time. Policymakers need to carefully consider the adjustment of subsidy policies to ensure that new energy vehicles receive sufficient support in the early stage, while promoting the development of related technologies and cost reductions to better meet public demand and sustainable urban mobility.
2. Future planning and development trends
Although the current phenomenon of new energy buses changing back to fuel vehicles has a certain impact, the development of new energy vehicles is still an important direction of future transportation planning. Here are a few aspects of future planning and development trends.
First of all, new energy buses will continue to develop and improve. With the advancement of technology and the reduction of costs, the performance and stability of new energy buses will be improved. In particular, breakthroughs in battery technology and fast charging technology will improve the endurance and charging efficiency of new energy buses, and further improve their competitiveness in the field of urban transportation.
Second, diversified forms of energy will lead the development of future transportation. In addition to gasoline and new energy vehicles, hydrogen, hybrid, and other alternative energy sources are also expected to play a role in the transportation sector. This will create more options for different types of transportation needs and environmental conditions, enabling more efficient and environmentally friendly urban mobility through flexible combinations and combinations.
Finally, the application of intelligent technology will become an important trend in the future development of transportation. With the development of artificial intelligence, big data and Internet technology, intelligent transportation systems will slowly become a reality. Including autonomous driving technology, intelligent dispatching system, intelligent road network, etc., will improve traffic efficiency, reduce traffic congestion and accident rate, and bring more convenience and safety to urban traffic.
In conclusion, the phenomenon of new energy buses switching back to fuel vehicles in many places reveals the trade-offs between costs and benefits in the field of public transportation under current technical and economic conditions. This phenomenon reminds us that there should be a greater focus on technology maturity, the needs of real-world applications, and environmental sustainability in future transportation planning and development. New energy buses still have a broad space for development, and will coexist with fuel vehicles and other forms of energy to jointly promote the intelligent, efficient and sustainable development of urban transportation.