According to the domestic oil price adjustment schedule, the next round of refined oil price adjustment will be opened in 2024, and the specific time will start at 24 o'clock on January 3, which will be the first gasoline and diesel price adjustment since the New Year. Of course, according to the latest oil price fluctuations, the first oil price adjustment in the new year may usher in, because the change rate on the second working day of this round of pricing cycle exceeds 470%, it is expected that No. 92 gasoline ** 240 yuan ton, completely exceeding the 50 yuan ton price adjustment red line, in line with the standard of significant increase in oil prices, so, the current oil price is in the first state.
Converted into liter price, ** gasoline and diesel retail price limit increased by 017 yuan liter-022 yuan liters, the whole is in the obvious category, if the owner of the car friends to fill up a tank of 50 liters of gasoline need to spend 8 more5 yuan - 11 yuan or so. Obviously, according to the current range of refined oil prices, a new round of oil price adjustment is more likely, and this may become the first price increase after entering 2024, when the cost of oil for ordinary consumers will increase again, and the cost of filling up a tank of gasoline and diesel will increase, realizing the first time since the new year, as for how to continue to observe, after all, it is now a long time to open the next round of refined oil price adjustment window at 24 o'clock on January 3, 2024.
Secondly, as the first round of refined oil price adjustment in 2024, according to the recent momentum of oil prices, the probability of this round of oil prices is larger, after all, the second working day of the pricing cycle is the rate of change is expanding in the range, and the domestic oil price has broken through the 200 yuan ton mark, and the possibility of continuing to do so is not ruled out, so the probability of the first round of gasoline and diesel price adjustment in the new year is larger. In addition, in accordance with past practice, because the price of refined oil is now expected to rise far more than the red line of 50 yuan tons, coupled with the current market bullish factors, Brent ** all the way up and close to 80 US dollars barrel, superimposed market expectations gradually warmed up, etc., therefore, domestic oil prices It is reasonable, the overall operation is within a reasonable range, so that domestic oil prices may usher in the first increase since the new year, as for the specific is still debatable, because there are still 8 working days left before the opening of the price adjustment window.
In terms of international oil prices, because the geopolitical winds in the eastern region continued to bring support and the United States oil inventories increased last week, the international market fell significantly in the overnight market and early trading on the 20th, and the end of the day rebounded. As of the 20th**, the light ***28 cents for February 2024 delivery on the New York Mercantile Exchange closed at 74 per barrel$22, an increase of 038%；Brent ***47 cents in London, England for February 2024 delivery, closed at 79 per barrel$7, an increase of 059%。
Compared with the last round of oil price adjustment pricing statistical cycle, the recent period of favorable oil price factors in the overseas market has increased significantly, which can also be seen from Brent *** close to the $80 barrel mark, especially the market continues to digest the impact of the increase in geopolitical risks in the Red Sea region, which directly plays a strong supporting role in WTI and Brent, which makes the original ** oil price turn around, international oil prices gradually begin to rise, and the important indicator of the rate of change of comprehensive ** varieties also rises naturally.
To sum up, the next round of refined oil price adjustment will be opened in 2024, referring to the latest oil price fluctuations can be seen, it is expected that 92 gasoline ** 240 yuan ton, 95 gasoline, 0 diesel is also significant, the main reason is that the recent market favorable oil price factors have increased, plus the previous period of decline is larger, therefore, oil prices have rebounded, and according to the current oil price ** increase, the preliminary prediction of a new round of oil price adjustment or will ** , gasoline and diesel retail price limits are very likely to usher in the first round of 2024**.