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Property market: Wenzhou, loushiwenzhou
Supply and demand is one of the bottom layers, and this logic also works in the property market.
Wenzhou's housing prices have been declining since reaching a high point in the first half of 2021. Including luxury houses, school district housing, and just-needed housing, there has been a decline of about 20-35%.
Only most of the low-density townhouses and double-detached villas have not declined, and even single-family villas have also contrarian trends.
The reason behind this is mainly supply and demand. In the context of the villa restriction order, the single-family homestead cannot be approved, and the first amount is stuck from the source. After the Century Splendid Garden and the Seven Overseas Chinese Villas, there are no new single-family villas in Wenzhou, and the purchase of single-family villas can basically only be second-hand houses, and the single-family second-hand houses listed for sale in the entire main urban area are only about 30 sets.
Seven Capital Villas. The amount of townhouse ** is slightly better, someResidential land with a lower plot ratio can be made in the form of high and low allocation. High and low configuration is that there are high-rise and townhouses in the community at the same time, and most of the construction area is eaten up by high-rises, and the floor area ratio space is freed up to build townhouses, such as Huahong Wanshu, Capital No. 1 Courtyard, Kyoto No. 1, Dacheng Jinting, etc.
However, this situation is about to be broken, and this year's low-density residential land ushered in a blowout, and a large number of townhouses or courtyard products will be introduced to the market in the future, which will have a structural impact on the market.
Property market: Wenzhou, loushiwenzhou
As of the date of publication, there are 4 districts of Lucheng, Ouhai, Longwan and Haijing, totalThe transaction plot ratio is 10-1.1There are 7 residential plots between them, which are plot 12-a-05 of Yaoxi South Unit, about 573 acres;Plot B-19, West Unit of the Development Zone, about 547 acres;Lot 12-F-28, Yaoxi South Unit, approx. 624 acres;
Lot A-19, South Unit of Ouhai Center, about 1047 acres;Lot 12-a-10 of Yaoxi South Unit, about 451 acre;Plot B-12a of the Peninsula Start-up Area, about 1524 acres;The first phase of the old Tu plot on Qidu Island, about 2253 acres;
On December 11, the first phase of the land plot of Laotu on Qidu Island was sold.
The 7 parcels add up to about 7019 acres, up to about 483251 can be built on the ground, if calculated according to 250 sets, you can ** about 1933 sets of stacked villas townhouses.
For the perennial rare stacked villa townhouse market, this amount will be a huge impact.
In addition, 7 land parcels have been transactedThe floor price is 8,266-18,617 yuanBetween. and now second-hand stacked villas TownhouseThe unit price ratio of 3-60,000 yuan is often usedThere is also a considerable spread.
With a large price difference and a blowout, the stacked villa townhouse market is likely to usher in a structural value reconstructionThe ** system created by scarcity is likely to loosen.
As for the single-family houses with a total price of more than 30 million, they will basically not be affected. The floor area ratio is at 10-1.Between 1, you can only do stacked villas and townhouses, and it is difficult to do double-detached, let alone single-family houses. Generally speaking, the floor area ratio threshold for a detached house is 0Below 6, if you want a real big lawn and a big garden, the plot ratio should be as low as 03 to achieve.
Therefore, this year's land transfer will not have an impact on the single-family market, and the single-family still maintains the scarcity in the state of non-first-class status.
But in October this year, the Ministry of Natural Resources issued a documentIt is proposed to cancel the upper limit of land price and cancel the plot ratio of 10 limits. This news caused an uproar in the marketThere is an expectation that the "villa restriction order" may come to an end. If you really let go of 1With the limit of 0 floor area ratio, the ** of the double-detached house will also be restored, which will directly impact the ** system of villas supported by scarcity.
Property market: Wenzhou, loushiwenzhou
In addition to the stacked villas and townhouses,What other classes of houses will be affected?
December 11 Qidu 2253 acres of super-large low-density land has been successfully sold. Then in the next year, there will be nearly 2,000 stacked villas and townhouses on the market in 7 parcels of landAccording to industry estimates, the total price of these houses will be between 8 million and 15 million.
It can be seen that customers with a total price budget of less than 6 million are basically unable to reach the newly listed stacked villas and townhouses, so the market with a total price of less than 6 million is basically not affected. And the customers with a total price budget of more than 17 million, or customers with a total price of more than 20 million, are already another segment, another group, and the general stacked villas townhouses are not even looked down upon, and they will not have an impact.
Therefore, it is most likely to have an impact on customers with a total budget of between 6 million and 17 million. In addition to the current real estate options, these customers also have the choice of stacked villas and townhouses. There is a substitutionary relationship between them.
At present, the total price of houses between 6 million and 17 million, except for some second-hand stacked villas, most of the new houses are mainly large flat-floor mansions or duplex mansionsAt present, most of these houses are in the core location of the core plate, and compared with the low-density land plots that have been transacted, they have very large location and supporting advantages.
Of course, the low-density product form and the value of the large flat lot are two completely different emphases, depending on the market choice.
This batch of low-density plots traded this year, there are already 2-3 projects that can see the process renderings, and it is expected that the centralized listing time will be in the first half of next year. VisibleThe Wenzhou property market in 2024 will be a market that has never been seen before, a market where stacked villas and townhouses are fighting.