Since the fourth quarter, the speed at which commercial banks issue capital replenishment tools has accelerated markedly. On December 4, Bank of China issued 30 billion yuan of secondary capital bonds, and the cumulative issuance of secondary capital bonds since the fourth quarter of the bank has reached 100 billion yuan. Wind data shows that as of December 4, since the fourth quarter, the total scale of "two permanent bonds" (collectively referred to as secondary capital bonds and perpetual bonds) issued by commercial banks has reached 3,881900 million yuan, an increase of 61 over the same period last year58%。
Industry insiders believe that the "two permanent bonds" and other capital tools are an important channel for banks to replenish capital, which is conducive to banks to better carry out credit business, support the development of the real economy, and also help the banking industry to resist risks.
The big state-owned banks are the main force
On December 4, the Bank of China issued an announcement on the issuance of Tier 2 capital bonds (Phase IV), showing that this issue of Tier 2 capital bonds issued a total of 10-year fixed interest rate and 15-year fixed interest rate, with a total issuance scale of RMB 30 billion. This is the second time that Bank of China has issued Tier 2 capital bonds in the fourth quarter of this year, following the issuance of 70 billion yuan of Tier 2 capital bonds in October. Up to now, the total scale of secondary capital bonds and perpetual bonds issued by the bank this year has reached 250 billion yuan.
As of December 4, wind data shows that since the fourth quarter, the total scale of "two permanent bonds" issued by commercial banks has reached 3,881900 million yuan, of which the total issuance scale of secondary capital bonds is 3037900 million yuan, and the total amount of perpetual bonds is 84.4 billion yuan. Compared with the same period last year, the scale of issuance of "two permanent bonds" by commercial banks increased by 1,479500 million yuan, an increase of 6158%。
From the perspective of the pace of issuance, the overall supply of "two permanent bonds" of commercial banks in the first half of this year was weak, but since the third quarter, the issuance has gradually accelerated, and the issuance volume in the fourth quarter has shown a "blowout" trend. On the whole, in the second half of this year, the issuance scale of commercial banks' "two permanent bonds" was significantly larger than that in the first half of the year, and wind data statistics show that since July, the total issuance scale of commercial banks' "two permanent bonds" was 7,341900 million yuan, far exceeding the issuance scale of 341.3 billion yuan in the first half of this year.
Judging from the proportion of the issuers of commercial banks' "two permanent bonds", large state-owned banks are still the main supply force of banks' "two permanent bonds". Since the fourth quarter, major state-owned banks such as the Agricultural Bank of China, the China Construction Bank, and the Bank of China have issued a total of 320 billion yuan of "two permanent bonds", accounting for more than 80%.
Better support for the real economy
There are two main types of capital replenishment channels for commercial banks: endogenous and exogenous. Among them, Tier 2 capital bonds and perpetual bonds, as common exogenous capital replenishment tools of commercial banks, are conducive to improving the capital adequacy ratio of commercial banks.
Zhou Maohua, a macro researcher at the financial market department of Everbright Bank, believes that in recent years, banks have continued to make profits to the real economy, which has had a certain impact on bank performance and endogenous capital replenishment, and the demand for exogenous financing has increased for some banksAt the same time, with the steady recovery of the domestic economy, the demand for physical financing has picked up, and the demand for capital replenishment of some banks is strong.
A number of industry insiders told a reporter from China ** Daily: "After the bank's capital is fully replenished, it can not only enhance the bank's ability to resist risks and meet the requirements of supervision, but also enhance the bank's ability to further increase credit and support the real economy." ”
Hua Chuang** research report said that the issuance of capital instruments such as perpetual bonds and secondary capital bonds is crucial for banks to replenish their capital, and banks with sufficient capital can better carry out credit business, better support the development of the real economy, and also help the banking industry to better resist risks.
In addition, the Measures for the Capital Management of Commercial Banks issued by the regulatory authorities will be officially implemented on January 1, 2024, which may also be one of the reasons why commercial banks have stepped up the issuance of "two permanent bonds" to meet the requirements of the new capital regulations.
Analysts have pointed out that the new capital regulations have increased the pressure on the capital of commercial banks to a certain extent. Dong Ximiao, chief researcher of Zhaolian, said: "Under the new capital regulations, the regulatory requirements for capital management have generally increased, and it is necessary for banks to increase capital replenishment. While speeding up the disposal of non-performing assets, some banks should better meet the relevant capital regulatory requirements, especially small and medium-sized banks need to further establish a long-term mechanism for bank capital replenishment. ”
Banks are under pressure to replenish their capital
Looking forward to the future, the Industrial ** Fixed Income Research Center believes that the next stage of commercial banks' "two permanent bonds" is still the general trend. Since the beginning of this year, the capital adequacy ratios of commercial banks have declined as a whole. Among them, the capital adequacy ratio of urban and rural commercial banks is relatively under pressure, and the capital adequacy ratio of large state-owned banks and joint-stock banks has declined marginally since the beginning of this year. At the same time, combined with the regulatory requirements, the performance of various capital regulatory indicators of commercial banks, and the potential capital consumption pressure in the future, commercial banks are still facing relatively rigid supplementary capital pressure.
In addition, a number of banks have indicated that they will continue to pay attention to and explore capital replenishment options. Yin Jiuyong, vice president of the Bank of Communications, said a few days ago that in the short and medium term, the capital adequacy ratio of the Bank of Communications is stable and sufficient, and there is not much pressure on capital replenishment in the short term. However, in the long run, capital is a scarce resource, and the bank will attach great importance to the decline in capital adequacy ratio and pay attention to capital replenishment.
In the next step, we will mainly improve the overall level of capital from two aspects: 'achieving endogenous capital growth internally and establishing multi-channel capital replenishment externally'. It will also pay close attention to the dynamic changes in regulatory policies, take the implementation of the new capital regulations as an opportunity to further strengthen the refinement and systematization of capital measurement, actively promote the continuous optimization of asset structure, and promote capital conservation and capital value creation capabilities. Yin Jiuyong said.
Original**: China** Daily.