The New Year is approaching, and many people are paying attention to the trend of pork and grain, after all, it is related to our rice bowls and wallets. However, what you may not know is that this year's pig prices and grain prices have seen unusual changes, which have surprised and confused many people. Pig prices "diving", grain prices falling, what is going on?On December 30, what happened to hogs, corn, and wheat?
Pig prices "diving", why is it so sluggish?
Since the beginning of this year, China's pig production capacity has recovered rapidly, and as of the end of November, the number of live pigs and the number of sows that can reproduce have recovered to 92 in the same period in 20171% and 931%, the number of pigs slaughtered also increased significantly, with a year-on-year increase of 234%, the growth rate hit a new high in nearly 10 years. In addition, imported pork also poured in, with a total of 430 pork imports in the first 11 months70,000 tons, a year-on-year increase of 1242%。The increase in supply has led to changes in the supply and demand relationship in the market, and the pig price is naturally **.
On the other hand, this year's pork demand has also shown a downward trend, mainly affected by the following factors: first, the impact of the epidemic, the recovery of the catering industry and collective canteens is not high, and pork consumption is restricted;The second is the impact of the first meat, although the pork **, but still higher than other meats, some consumers turn to chicken, fish and other substitutes;The third is the impact of the festival, this year's New Year's Day and the Spring Festival are shorter, consumers are not willing to stock up in advance, and pork sales are not prosperous.
In order to stabilize pig prices and the pork market, the state and local governments have also adopted a series of policy measures, such as increasing pig reserves, expanding cold chain logistics capacity, strengthening market supervision, standardizing behavior, encouraging farmers to expand their scale, and increasing pig insurance subsidies. The implementation of these policies has also played a certain role in inhibiting pig prices.
What is the reason for the decline in food prices?
This year, China's grain production reached a new high, and the total annual grain output reached 669.74 million tons, an increase of 5.9 million tons or 09%, which has remained at 1 for 6 consecutive yearsMore than 3 trillion catties. Among them, the output of wheat was 134.28 million tons, an increase of 750,000 tons or 06%；The output of corn was 268.18 million tons, an increase of 11.39 million tons or 44%。The increase in production makes the market **sufficient, and the price of food is natural**.
On the other hand, this year's food consumption has also shown a downward trend, mainly affected by the following factors: First, the impact of the epidemic, people's travel and gatherings have decreased, and food consumption has been suppressed;The second is the influence of structure, people's dietary structure has changed, the demand for food has decreased, and more vegetables, fruits, meat and eggs have been shiftedThe third is the impact of stocks, the grain stocks of the state and enterprises are high, the market demand is not strong, and the grain price is difficult to improve.
Pig prices** are bad news for farmers, because their costs have not decreased, while their incomes have decreased significantly, and even losses have occurred. This will lead to some farmers reducing or abandoning breeding, affecting the recovery and stability of pig production capacity. In order to help farmers tide over the difficulties, we should increase support for the aquaculture industry, such as increasing subsidies, reducing taxes and fees, providing loans, guaranteeing feed, etc., and also encourage farmers to improve breeding efficiency and quality, and adapt to market changes.
It is also bad news for growers, as their income will also be affected, even below cost, affecting their motivation and earnings. This will cause some growers to reduce or switch to planting varieties, affecting the ** and structure of food. In order to protect the interests of growers, we should increase the protection of grain planting, such as raising the minimum purchase price, increasing the amount of reserves, expanding the scope of subsidies, providing insurance, etc., and at the same time, we should also guide growers to optimize the planting structure and technology to improve the output and quality of grain.
It seems to be good news for consumers, as they will spend less and save some of their expenses. However, it may also bring some potential risks, such as the quality and safety of pork, the storage and preservation of grain, and the balance between supply and demand of pork and grain. In order to protect the interests of consumers, we should strengthen the supervision and testing of pork and grain to ensure their quality and safety, and at the same time, we should also strengthen the regulation and guidance of the market to maintain the stability of pork and grain and avoid large fluctuations.
Pig prices "dived" and grain prices fell, presenting us with an unusual market scene at the end of the year. The abundance of pigs and the record high of grain production are the main reasons for the downward trend. This poses a challenge for farmers and growers, but also brings some benefits to consumers. ** should be adopted through strong support policies to stabilize market expectations, ensure the interests of agricultural producers, and at the same time ensure product quality and market stability. In the new year, it is expected that the relevant parties can actively respond to market fluctuations and promote the sustainable development of the agricultural economy. Three rural