CornAlthough the market has recently seen a certain degree of **, it is still showing a trend of falling more and rising less as a whole. This is not only true for those who have been falling beforeCornFor the market, it's good news. However, despite thatCorn**some**, but the market is more nervous. The market has mixed opinions on this controversy. On the one hand, there is an opinion thatCornIt has touched the bottom of the stage, such as the beginning of the comprehensive purchase of grain reserves, indicating that the policy purchase has begun to support the market, indicating that the marketCornThe bottom is formed gradually. With the change of subsequent factors, it is favorableCornfactors are also increasing. On the other hand, there is an opinion that the current small ** is not a good thing, and there may be greater risks. One of the reasons is, this yearCornThe increase in production has almost been determined, according to the latest report of the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs, 2023-24CornThe yield will reach 28.8 billion tons, an increase of 11.03 million tons year-on-year, mainly due toCornof yields increased. That means this yearCorn**Sufficient, especially in the Northeast. Although the NortheastCornWith the bumper harvest and continuously**, there is a significant profit spread with Shandong North China, which is a good time to stimulate acquisitions, but merchants and drying towers seem to be indifferent to this. On the one hand, this year's main body of grain collection seems to be tacitly aware of it, with a strong wait-and-see attitude, watching each other, not acting on each other, and all waitingCorn**Further**. On the other hand, even if there is a willingness to buy, there are difficulties in transporting grain back from Tohoku, and logistics and freight are problems. So despite the NortheastCorn**Continue**, but the main body of grain collection is not active, and with the increase in volume, it may further drag down the market. For nowCornThe key question in the market is not whether there is more or less supply, but when a seller's market can turnBuyer's market。NowBuyer's marketStill wait-and-see, pessimism is strong, no matter how eager the farmers are, the buyers will not make a move, this is the presentCornThe current state of the market. So when will the buyer make a move?It's only a matter of time before the buyer will eventually make a move. Many people think that there is a high probability of a sale in November. One of the reasons is that in November, the weather gradually cools, especially after the rapid drop in temperatures in the northeastCornStorage becomes easy, which gradually triggers panic buying sentiment and thus decreasesCornThe amount of **. On the other hand, thoughCornBut there will always be a bottom, when ** merchant, and the drying tower thinksCornWhen they have already hit the bottom, it is time for them to strike. So how to judge the ** business and drying towerCornHas it hit the bottom?There are several judging factors: first,CornAfter grinding the bottom many times, the market generally believes that it has basically reached the end. Second,Corn**Repeated**, when** rises and falls frequently in a range, the market is also generally inclined to thinkCornIt is close to the bottom. Third, the impact of policy-based acquisitions will also play a guiding role. However, at present, it seems that these conditions have not been met by any means, and with the uncertainty of weather changes, it is expected that this kind of weather will continue for some time.
CornThere are many reasons for this, but the main one is affectedSupply and demand, policy acquisitions, and climate change. First of all, this yearCorn**Sufficient, the substantial increase in production has led to ***, however, with the NortheastCornThe bumper harvest, ** has been declining, forming a significant profit price difference with Shandong and North China, which in turn stimulates the enthusiasm for acquisition. Secondly, the development of policy acquisitions is also as followsCornprovides some support. Policy purchase refers to the protection of the domestic grain market according to the demand and other conditionsFarmersprofits, maintaining the stability of the grain market, etc., through the purchase of grain storageRegulation**and the market**. Recently, China Grain Reserves has begun to purchase in a comprehensive manner, which means that policy purchases have been launched, which will help boost market confidence and thus promoteCornFinally, climate change is also an impactCorn** important factors. As the weather cools down, crop storage becomes easier, which can lead to:CornThe generation of panic buying sentiment, thereby reducing the amount of ** and further pushing ** grid.
CornThe impact on the market is manifold. First of all, for:Farmersto say,CornAble to improveFarmersincome, especially in theCornHarvest the area, it will be rightFarmerslife andEconomyThe situation has a positive impact. Secondly, for plantingCornof farmers,CornIt means that the market demand increases, so that they can get better sales revenue. This will further encourageFarmersPlantingCorn, drivenCornIncrease in production. In addition,CornIt will also promote the development of related industries, such as feed, food processing, biofuels, etc., and thus have a positive impact on the entire agricultureIndustrial chainMake a positive impact.
However,CornThere are also some negative consequences. First of all,CornThis may increase cost pressures on aquaculture and related industries, which in turn will affect their profitability. Secondly, it may also lead to a decrease in consumer purchasing power, which in turn affects the stability of food and the market. In addition, speculation may be triggered, leading to increased market volatility.
Looking to the future,CornThere are still certain uncertainties and challenges in the market. First of all,Supply and demandStill the impactCorn** Key factors. Although this yearCorn**Sufficient, but demand growth is also a factor that cannot be ignored. With the growth of the Chinese population and the improvement of living standards, rightCornThe demand will increase accordingly. At the same time, the impact of global climate change and ** policies may also have an impact onCornThe market is volatile. Second, the strategy and intensity of policy acquisitions will also be rightCornThe movement of the market has an impact. The acquisition policy and acquisition volume will directly affect the market and the level. In addition, internationalCornThe trend of the market andCornImports will also have an impact on the domestic market. So, forCornThe future trend of the market needs to be closely watchedSupply and demand, policy orientation and the international situation.
In general, thoughCornThere has been some recent upside, but the market is still on edge. CornThe market is highly volatile and uncertain, and it is necessary to consider a variety of factors and pay close attention to market dynamics. In this context,FarmersBoth businesses and consumers need to make rational decisions and reasonable strategies to deal with market changes and risks.