The "temporary ceasefire agreement" between Hamas and Israel has expired, and fighting in the Gaza Strip has resumed. According to the local health department in Gaza, dozens of people have been killed in the Israeli offensive. Kazakhstan and Israel insist on their own words, accusing each other of being the saboteurs of the "negotiations to extend the ceasefire." Who exactly violated the "ceasefire agreement"?Who the hell wants this conflict to continue?Let's take the issue from the perspective of a "bystander". Hamas claimed to have proposed an "extension of the ceasefire", but the Israeli side rejected them. Hamas said that during the negotiations, they offered to "exchange prisoners of war and elderly people, and to hand over the 'remains of detainees' who died in Israeli bombing." Israel, on the other hand, claimed that Hamas had "violated the ceasefire" and went to Israeli territory. In this context, we need rational analysis. First of all, the two sides insist on each other's words and shirk each other's responsibilities, can this dispute solve the problem?Secondly, is Hamas's offer of an exchange reasonable?Is Israel's refusal just?
Finally, what is the truth about the Jerusalem bus stop attack?Did this incident become the trigger for the resumption of the fighting?The international community has been paying sustained attention to the conflict in the Middle East. The United Nations said the two sides should resolve their differences through dialogue and negotiation to contain the escalation of the conflict. A spokesman for the United States also called on both sides to exercise restraint and restart ceasefire talks. Indeed, the conflict has caused a great humanitarian catastrophe for the inhabitants of the Gaza Strip. According to The Guardian, medical resources in the Gaza Strip are already very limited, and the influx of large numbers of wounded has left hospitals in a difficult situation. Mahmoud Abbas, leader of the Palestinian Democratic Union** (Fatah), called on the international community to take action to help the people of the Gaza Strip escape the suffering of war. Against this backdrop, we must seriously consider whether the two sides insist on each other's actions and blame each other for their actionsWhat are the political considerations and geostrategies behind the conflict?How can the hostility between the two sides be calmed and a lasting solution can be found?
However, we also can't shy away from reality. The situation in the Middle East is complex, and problems left over from history continue to hamper the peace process. Resolving the Middle East issue requires the joint efforts of the international community, the wisdom and courage of all parties, and, still more, the rejection of all forms of violence and terror in order to promote peace and stability in the Middle East. Finally, we hope that no innocent people will be harmed in the conflict between the two sides. It is hoped that through the efforts of the international community, the road to peace in the Middle East will come at an early date. The recent attack on a bus stop in Jerusalem has sparked tensions between Israel and Hamas. Hamas claimed that the attack was a response to Israel's actions in the occupied areas of Gaza, and through this action it tried to express its displeasure with Israel's actions. Israel, for its part, has resumed its offensive in the Gaza Strip by emphasizing that the Hamas attacks violated the ceasefire. Both sides are trying to emphasize their positions and blame each other for their actions.
From the context of both sides, Hamas considers Israel's rejection of the offer of exchanging prisoners of war and old men unreasonable. Israel, for its part, has resumed its offensive in the Gaza Strip by emphasizing that the Hamas attacks violated the ceasefire. Both sides are emphasizing "reasons" in their favor, trying to justify their actions. Israel hopes for a resumption of fighting and will continue to maintain Hamas's "reluctant" pattern of hostage-swapping. Judging from the current situation and the comparison of forces between the two sides, Israel certainly hopes for a resumption of fighting, and Hamas certainly hopes that this round of fighting will be extinguished. There is a complex relationship of interest and game between the two sides. The reason why Israel is in a hurry to resume the war is that the current international situation is extremely unfavorable to Israel. A prolonged ceasefire would put Israel under intense pressure from the international community and could lose the opportunity to "completely drive Hamas out of the Gaza Strip". The second is the result of the Israelites' behavior of "retribution". Israel considered the Hamas attack to be a violation of the ceasefire agreement and resumed its offensive in the Gaza Strip.
The "temporary ceasefire" agreement reached on November 24 was originally only four days, but under pressure from the international community and the United States, as well as the "persuasion" of the United States, the Israeli wartime cabinet agreed to extend it for two days. This shows that Israel is facing tremendous pressure from the international community and the ceasefire is only a "stopgap measure" and cannot replace the strategic goal of "eliminating Hamas". In this complex situation, both sides are seeking to maximize their own interests, and the pressure of the international community and the United States will also have an important impact on the development of the situation. How to balance the interests of both sides and defuse tensions is an issue that needs to be resolved urgently. Haha, Israel is playing with fire!They now face a thorny question: should they continue the conflict with Hamas?A protracted conflict could lead to greater international pressure, but renunciation of retaliation would violate Israel's credo. This particular way of living was formed as early as 1948, when the state of Israel was founded. At that time, the Arab armies tried to wipe out Israel in its cradle.
Since then, Israel has regarded retaliation as absolutely necessary. Stinged by the terrorist attacks of the 1972 Munich Olympics, the Israelis felt that the world had abandoned them and decided to take revenge themselves. Israel launched an assassination program known as "Wrath of God", which drew up a "death list" of all the planners, perpetrators and facilitators of the Munich terrorist attacks. This "assassination plan" lasted until August 1981, when it was terminated. Israel's intelligence service, the Mossad, has been sparing no effort in carrying out this plan. Does this mean that Israel should continue the conflict now, or consider other solutions?Let's take a look. First of all, it is worth noting that a protracted conflict could put more international pressure on Israel. Over time, the international community's expectations of Israel will continue to rise, and so will resistance to the resumption of military operations. As now, the international community has expressed strong concern and criticism of the conflict between Israel and Hamas.
If Israel does not stop its retaliatory actions, the international community may increase its condemnation of Israel and even impose tougher sanctions. This is clearly a thorny issue for Israel. However, it does not seem to be a wise choice to abandon retaliation. Since the founding of the State of Israel in 1948, the Israelis have developed a special way of life that "the eyes will be rewarded". And the terrorist attacks at the 1972 Munich Olympics are even more remembered by Israelis. They feel abandoned by the world and decide to take revenge on their own. Israel developed an assassination plan called "Wrath of God", which was carried out until August 1981. This act of reprisals against the planners of terrorist attacks has become ingrained in the minds of Israelis. Therefore, renunciation of retaliation is not only contrary to Israeli tradition, but may also cause Israel to lose prestige in the international community. On this issue, Israel needs to carefully weigh the pros and cons and think more ways to solve the problem.
They can appropriately reduce the frequency and scale of military operations, while at the same time increasing political and economic assistance to Palestine and seeking more international support and good offices. At the same time, dialogue with the Palestinian side can also be sought through international organizations and platforms to seek a long-term peace solution. As UN Secretary-General António Guterres said: "In the current situation, both sides should exercise restraint and refrain from further hostilities in order to avoid leading to a larger conflict." "This approach to resolving issues through dialogue and diplomacy is likely to bring more international support and understanding to Israel. In conclusion, Israel** needs to recognize that protracted conflict and retaliatory actions will only put Israel in a more awkward position. They need to assess the situation and find more ways to solve problems, rather than relying on military means. Only through more diplomatic mediation and dialogue can the deep-rooted problem of the Palestinian-Israeli conflict be truly resolved.
It is hoped that Israel** will respond calmly, defuse the current crisis, and make more contributions to peace and stability in the Middle East. Does the imminent conflict between Israel and Hamas, with a large number of civilians being claimed in retaliatory actions by both sides, mean that the hope of a ceasefire is becoming increasingly slim?From Israel's point of view, they seek justice and security, and Hamas's violence has become an obstacle to concession negotiations. Why did Hamas take such a desperate action?What are the complicating factors?In fact, Hamas's violent actions are partly to gain more bargaining chips, and partly because they have a limited number of hostages, which makes ceasefire negotiations more difficult. In this ongoing conflict, Hamas's attacks on Israel have caused a large number of **, and Israel has also carried out large-scale military operations. Hamas's attacks sparked anger and retaliation from Israel, and the two sides were caught in a vicious circle. In this case, what can be done to break the deadlock?
Ceasefire negotiations seemed to be the most desirable option, but the two sides were divided over the issue of a hostage exchange. Hamas takes hostages in order to use them as bargaining chips at critical moments in exchange for more Palestinian prisoners. However, the number of hostages in Hamas's hands was not enough to sustain more exchanges, which brought the negotiations to an impasse. During the latest ceasefire, Hamas exchanged a total of 225 hostages with Israel, and while Hamas appears to have the upper hand in numbers, this is not the case. With the insufficient number of hostages in Hamas's hands, it will inevitably face difficulties in making further exchanges. Israel's large number of Palestinians in custody and the arrest of more than 130 Hamas militants during the ceasefire have put Israel in an advantageous position in the exchange talks. As we all know, humanitarian issues have always been one of the difficulties in conflict negotiations. Hamas wants to gain more through the hostage exchange, but their leverage is not enough.
In this case, is it still possible to find a fair and workable solution?Can the two sides achieve peaceful coexistence with minimal sacrifices?These issues require serious thinking on both sides and the search for constructive solutions. If both sides can put aside their preconceptions and work together, they may be able to find a real way out. After all, peace is more important than revenge for the well-being of the people, as well as stability and prosperity for the entire region. Hamas has recently been restrained underground and can no longer take new hostages. As a result, they can only use the "chips" they already have, and even "make up" the dead hostages. In addition, Hamas's attack on the Jerusalem bus station may have been carried out by the lower echelons without authorization, or it may have been instructed by the "financiers" behind it. From a geopolitical and strategic point of view, the resumption of fighting in the Gaza Strip is inevitable. The Kazakh-Israeli conflict not only involves the survival of both sides, but also extends to geopolitics, international games and other levels. The resolution passed by the US House of Representatives also shows the complexity of the conflict, even involving Iran.
In this case, both the United States and Iran have their own considerations. However, in response to the issue of the Gaza Strip, whether there should be a truce or not, more thought and ** are needed. The United States supports Israel and wants to eliminate Hamas in order to stop Iran's influence from expanding. Hamas, in collusion with Iran, is unwilling to stop. At the same time, Russia launched a large-scale ** against Ukraine, and the situation has changed. What are the prospects for a ceasefire in Hamas?And what is the link between the conflicts in the Middle East and Eastern Europe?Is it inevitable that the war will rekindle?All this seems to be the result of "involuntarily becoming".