The war is back in flames!The conflict in Gaza could escalate further

Mondo Health Updated on 2024-01-19

At 7 a.m. local time on December 1, the temporary ceasefire agreement in the Gaza Strip expired after a second extension. The Israel Defense Forces (IDF) immediately announced the resumption of operations in the Gaza Strip.

The Israeli army accused the Palestinian Islamic Resistance Movement (Hamas) of breaking the temporary ceasefire, saying that Israeli territory had been hit by rockets fired from the Gaza Strip.

Screenshot of CBS** report.

The Israel Defense Forces (IDF) said that since 7 a.m., Israeli forces have carried out attacks on about 200 targets in the Gaza Strip, some of which are located in Khan Younis and Rafah in the southern Gaza Strip.

According to the health authorities of the Gaza Strip, at least 178 Palestinians were killed and another 589 injured, most of them women and children, as a result of Israeli attacks that day.

The Israeli army also distributed leaflets to residents of the southern Gaza Strip city of Khan Younis saying that "Khan Younis is also a war zone" and asking them to evacuate to the city of Rafah further south.

The Israeli Prime Minister's Office issued a statement on the same day saying that with the resumption of fighting, Israel is committed to achieving the goal of "rescuing hostages, eliminating Hamas, and ensuring that Gaza never poses a threat to Israeli residents."

Hamas issued a statement on the same day, accusing Israel of being responsible for the resumption of hostilities. According to the statement, Hamas and Israel negotiated overnight to extend the temporary ceasefire, but the Israeli side rejected all Hamas proposals for the release of the detainees. The Qassam Brigades, an armed wing of Hamas, are currently resuming their military operations on all fronts to resist Israeli offensives.

According to the Qassam Brigades, rockets were fired at three areas of Israel.

The Quds Force, an armed wing of the Palestinian Islamic Jihad (Jihad), also said it had launched attacks on several cities and towns in Israel in response to the resumption of military operations by Israeli forces.

The Israel Defense Forces (IDF) said about 50 rockets were fired from the Gaza Strip into southern Israeli towns that day.

Israel and Hamas began a temporary four-day ceasefire at 7 a.m. local time on 24 November, after which the two sides extended the ceasefire for two days on 27 and 30 November, respectively. 7 a.m. local time on 1 December is the deadline for a temporary ceasefire after the second extension.

Qin Tian, deputy director of the Middle East Institute of the China Institute of Contemporary International Relations, pointed out in an interview with Global Information Broadcasting of ** Radio and Television that it is very difficult to renew the temporary ceasefire agreement, given that Israel and Hamas, the two most important parties involved, are in a particularly distrustful state of mutual trust.

In the context of hostilities, the temporary ceasefire previously agreed between Israel and Hamas was extended for only two days or even one day, showing how difficult it is to renew the ceasefire.

The ceasefire agreement is actually brokered by many parties, and both Egypt and Qatar are campaigning for it, and any failure in any of these links could make the ceasefire agreement fail.

From a technical point of view, there are also some unexpected events, such as the ** case in Jerusalem, which have increased the dissatisfaction with Hamas in Israel and made the Israeli side may no longer be willing to negotiate a ceasefire with Hamas.

Hamas also faces some technical difficulties, and it is already difficult to release 10 Israelis a day. At the time of the attack, in addition to Hamas, there were a number of other armed groups in the Gaza Strip, who also detained some Israelis. There are also difficulties in getting these armed groups to release the hostages.

Li Zixin, a researcher on developing countries at the China Institute of International Studies, analyzed in an interview with the Global News Broadcasting of the Central Station that there is a possibility of further expansion and escalation of the conflict between Israel and Hamas in the future.

First, Israel's armed actions in the Gaza Strip may escalate, and the Israeli army will suppress Hamas with greater force in order to achieve its set strategic goals. And in the process, it will be more difficult for Israel to rescue more hostages.

Secondly, the likelihood of an exchange of fire between Israel and other armed groups in the region has increased significantly. Previously, Yemen's Houthis and Allah in Lebanon have said that if Israel does not stop or further expand its military operations in Gaza, they will launch a higher-level attack on Israel. As a matter of fact, Israel has already engaged in local exchanges of fire with these armed groups, and similar local conflicts will be staged in the future, and the possibility of an expansion of the fighting cannot be ruled out.

In addition, Israel will intensify its armed repression in Palestinian-controlled areas of the West Bank. After the escalation of the Palestinian-Israeli conflict, in order to thoroughly improve the so-called "security" of its living environment, Israel's military activities in the West Bank have not stopped, and even during the ceasefire with Hamas, Israel's armed activities in the West Bank have been further intensified. In the future, the West Bank region may become a potential risk point for the further escalation of the Palestinian-Israeli armed conflict.

Material**丨Global Information Broadcasting "Live World".

Reporter from the main station丨Yang Zhuoying.

Editor丨Yang Nan and Huang Tao.

Signing and review丨Cai Yaoyuan, Hou Chen.

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