The Myanmar Army** and ethnic armed groups such as the Kokang Allied Army, led by China, held ceasefire talks on December 11. According to Myanmar Army spokesman Zuo Min Tun, the two sides had a frank exchange on security and stability in northern Myanmar and reached some consensus, creating favorable conditions for easing the conflict in northern Myanmar.
The conflict in northern Myanmar has been going on for more than a month, and the cause of the Kokang Allied Army launched an offensive against Lao Cai area controlled by the Myanmar Army in the name of cracking down on wire fraud. Lao Cai area is the largest wire fraud base in northern Myanmar, involving the four major families of Bai Suocheng, Wei Chaoren, Liu Zhengxiang and Ming Xuechang and other wire fraud leaders, they use **, Internet and other means to defraud, extort, threaten the people of China and other countries, causing huge social harm.
China is very angry about this, and has issued a wanted warrant for the leaders of the wire fraud, demanding that the Myanmar military ** arrest them and hand them over to Chinese justice. China also said it would give full support to armed groups in northern Myanmar such as the Kokang Allied Army, crack down on wire fraud, and maintain peace and order in northern Myanmar.
The Kokang Alliance, with the support of China, achieved a series of successes, capturing a number of strongholds around Lao Cai, including strategic points such as the Erawan Buddha Heights. At present, the Kokang Allied Forces have surrounded Lao Cai, leaving only a few positions such as Da Shui Pond and Nantian Gate, and they are still putting up desperate resistance with the Burmese army and the telemail militia. The final battle of Lao Cai seems to have entered the countdown.
However, at this critical moment, the Myanmar Army** suddenly announced that it was willing to hold peace talks with armed groups in northern Myanmar such as the Kokang Allied Army, which surprised the outside world. Analysts believe that there are several reasons for this move by the Myanmar army:
First, the Myanmar military is facing tremendous pressure from China. China is Myanmar's largest neighbor and partner, and has an important influence on Myanmar's economy and politics. China's attitude towards wire fraud is zero-tolerance, and if the Myanmar military does not cooperate with China's wanted warrants, or tries to bargain with China, then it may be strongly countered by China, and may even lead to a deterioration in relations between the two countries.
Second, the Burmese army is worried about the expansion and spread of the conflict in northern Myanmar. Myanmar is a multi-ethnic country with many local armed forces, and their relationship with the Myanmar military has been good and bad, sometimes cooperative and sometimes confrontational. The actions of the Kokang Allied Army have set an example for other armed forces to see the possibility of confronting the Tatmadaw Army. If the conflict in northern Myanmar continues to escalate, it could lead to instability in other regions and even a nationwide civil war.
Third, the Myanmar army has taken into account its own strength and image. Although the Burmese army has a regular army, its combat capability in northern Myanmar is not strong, and in the face of the drone tactics of the Kokang alliance, the Tatmadaw appears to be very passive and has suffered heavy losses. If the Burmese army continues to fight, it will not only be difficult to win, but will also damage its prestige and prestige. Moreover, the Myanmar military ** also has to face domestic opposition and international sanctions, and if it offends a big country like China because of the issue of wire fraud, then it will be even worse and fall into a greater predicament.
To sum up, peace talks between the Myanmar Army** and armed groups in northern Myanmar such as the Kokang Alliance Army are an expedient measure and a wise move. This would not only avoid more bloodshed and sacrifices, but also ease relations with China and create conditions for long-term peace and development in northern Myanmar. Of course, the outcome of the peace talks will depend on the sincerity and actions of all parties, and it is hoped that they can truly achieve reconciliation so that the people of northern Myanmar can live a stable life.